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old nurse

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Everything posted by old nurse

  1. old nurse
    If you look up baseball lotery ticket, Chalmer's picture might be there.
  2. old nurse
    http://oaklandclubhouse.com/oakland-athletics-2018-top-prospects-dakota-chalmers-rhp/ https://www.mlb.com/news/top-draft-pick-dakota-chalmers-adjusting/c-141551706 https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/mlb/dakota-chalmers-rhp-oakland-athletics/vp-BBLJnKb
  3. old nurse
    Rodney did not pass, Oakland claimed.
  4. old nurse
    Tim Brown usually has a fairly reasonable take on things. https://sports.yahoo.com/heres-next-wave-future-managers-mlb-170555905.html
  5. old nurse
    Austudillo appears to like to eat. That might be difficult to lead the good life in Saint's' wages.
  6. old nurse
    It would be a God worthy trick at this point to produce Borgnine for any production. Could he bring back Jerry Orbach, too?
  7. old nurse
    Luis Castillo. No. Luis Rivas and Nick Punto, before that, yes.
  8. old nurse
    In trying to refind the article for Bighat on just how inaccurate rankings are to success I came across something written in 2016 about how the Yankees are one of the worst organizations in baseball in part because they have no homegrown talent. Severino has in the majors, but Yankee draftees Judge, Montgomery, Andujar, Sanchez and Bird would give one pause as to what this expert was looking at. You can check out how many top 20 prospect lists they made. In terms of your comment. . I do not know how one goes from a statement that there is a bust rate of 50 % to the system is random and why are then making it about the team scouting budget. That is quite the leap. That is an Evel Kneivel leap over the Snake River leap. Baseball media and team scouting have ZERO correlation. Since you did not read the article, go back and read it. The bust rate for 80-100 rated prospects is way higher than 50 %. That does not make success random. That does mean the systems in place for ranking prospects has little meaning on an individual basis.
  9. old nurse
    If you look at accumulated war by pick there is a linear regression. You can beat your chest and say you got it right. When there is somewhere near a 50% bust rate for picks they also are not identifing players all depends on how you success. Any system that is labeling prospects that are near major league ready and get it wrong half of the time should not be labeled a good system.
  10. old nurse
    Article one that I posted was from minor league ball and it covered the year 2000. The other article covered Baseball America's list and also covered the rankings from 2000. Assuming you have not blocked me, here is another article, that also references an earlier article https://www.royalsreview.com/2018/3/22/16749948/updating-the-success-and-failure-rates-of-top-mlb-prospects
  11. old nurse
    Garbe's bat speed did not magically disappear with him turning pro. It was there to be seen beforehand. The people ar Baseball America had him as an 18 maybe just turned 19 old as the 79th best prospect in the minors. That would still make him a first round draft pick. Either their scouts were worthless or more proof of the worthlessness of rankings but more likely the difficulty in assesing young talent and projections. Hocking was a JUCO player Eizabethton would be the appropriate level for a JUCO player. and he hit well there. As he just turned 20 he was actually one of the younger players on that team. What he did the rest of the way in the minors is irrelevant as your scheme involves drafting them after seeing them in a first year level.
  12. old nurse
    Morneau had an OPS of .730 and a WRC+of 71 in his first short season of baseball.Garbe has an OPS of .806. 4 plate appearances might have only been 1 game.Your examples do not hold up. Torii Hunter was statistically awful his first short season. Denny Hocking could hit minor league pitching, he would have been drafted much earlier because of the .850 OPS for a middle infielder and then would have been considered a bust rather than an unheralded draft pick that made it
  13. old nurse
    If anything this bit of analysis shows how meaningless prospect ranking numbers are in terms of big league careers. A snapshot in 2014 would be most relevant to where the players for the short term future. Payers develop at their own pace. Some will take more time, some less. Likewise, a player having a career year can make the prospect rankings look bad. Just a little piece that highlights prospect ranking and outcomes https://www.minorleagueball.com/2008/2/6/154949/5717 Another look back http://www.sportsonearth.com/article/67202234/
  14. old nurse
    Is it down to bemoaning that replacement level players have moved on? Hicks would have been considered dumpster diving when the Twins picked him up
  15. old nurse
    Well Curtis might be a real good pitcher cause, you know he did have 6 games where he did not give up any runs. And he did have a high strikeout rate even in the games he was getting shelled. Molitor must have trusted him last year, he was pitching in the 7, 8, 9th innings. As long as I am picking cherries, 8/9 of his appearances were in loses.
  16. old nurse
    The Yahoo twitter feed has led to this. Barrie was released after one season of play . Looks like he got his amateur status back and played for the University of Northwestern Ohio. He will be a senior next year. http://www.unohracers.com/roster/15/3/4111.php
  17. old nurse
    At the end of the year then maybe they will not be.
  18. old nurse
    For that analogy to apply to Molitor he would then have to be uninterested in baseballand have been forced to take the job. I do not see how that would apply to Molitor. You could apply that to a one time right fielder, but not the manager.
  19. old nurse
    Optimism from the Chief that the Twins will be in contention before the All Star break before Pressly retires. I would rather be optimistic that Alcala would be more than capable of providing what Pressly has.
  20. old nurse
    Luis Rijo – 18-years-old, RHP – The Yankees signed Rijo in 2015 and he has one year of DSL experience under his belt and is playing well in his first taste of the GCL. He has a 3.75 ERA and 49 K : 9 BB in 48 innings this season. He’s a low velocity guy, sitting in the high 80’s, low 90’s right now. He has good secondary pitches though and at his age should add some velocity as the years go on. from http://bronxbaseballdaily.com/2017/09/whos-hot-on-the-farm-rookie-leagues/
  21. old nurse
    They would also have to jump over 5 teams to do it. That is counting on the Mets, Miami, Cincinatti, Texas and Detroit to play better and Toronto and the Angels not to fold. Right now there are 7 teams that have the same or worse winning percentages as the Reds did last year. Miami and the Reds could as easily regress to that number. To get worse than Detroit that would mean that Detroit, who has been falling, would have to maintain their current seaso's pace and the Twins would have to play .350 baseball. To get to San Diego's level might be impossible as they traded their bullpen and currently the Twins would have to finish out at .320 Anything is possible except catching the Orioles and KC. We will see after the trade deadline what is left of some teams.
  22. old nurse
    So you look at the batting average and not the result of the batting which shows him to be near the top in run production. RISP to talent suffers from SSS and that SF do not count towards RISP but do count towards run production
  23. old nurse
    What is selling low when the best part of the Familia trade was getting bonus pool money and the best part of the Machado trade was getting a potentially mediocre outfielder and a potential 5th starter?
  24. old nurse
    They will not get a top 5 draft pick as there are so many bad teams. A mid round slot difference of 1 or 2 is a couple hundred thousand of slot money. They did just fine this year year with the money.
  25. old nurse
    What have you been doing on your couch?
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