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70charger

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Everything posted by 70charger

  1. 70charger
    Woo! Baseball!
  2. 70charger
    I'm in the wrong time zone for a rain delay. This isn't working for me. I thought there was gonna be baseball today! I blame Al Gore.
  3. 70charger
    Are we doing this thing?
  4. 70charger
    Sano hits the very first of very many.
  5. 70charger
    Also think it's reasonable to expect a tale of two seasons. Since this is the toughest jump, I'm guessing we may see a rocky first several weeks. Even if that happens, you make like a Bruckheimer movie and keep sending him out there until he gets his confidence back. At the end of the year, I think his batting line will be fine overall, and downright encouraging when you just look at the latter half.
  6. 70charger
    Really interesting stat. Crazy how the results are so disparate too. Silva did one season with a 130 ERA+ and another with a 75 ERA+. Whaa!?
  7. 70charger
    Basically this. The answer to the question "when do spring stats start to matter" is, to me, pretty much never. You mentioned that some pitchers will do things like throw only fastballs the first game of the year. If he doesn't get knocked around, will we fall back on our "pitchers are ahead of hitters at this point" cliche? If he gets knocked around, is that indicative of what he'll do during the season? And when we count up his stats at the end of spring, his ERA will include his experimental and rusty early starts, so what is a spring ERA worth? Then if you want to remove the early starts to make ERA more closely aligned with a real-game experience, you're taking an already small sample and making it tiny, so again, what is a spring ERA worth? This is on the well-trained staff of scouts, coaches, and manager. We can argue about spring stats until we're blue in the face (and we probably should, because otherwise it'd be boring around here), but not a single one of us could reasonably make a stats-based argument that would be better than the subjective judgment of the staff.
  8. 70charger
    Kepler can't play center except in a pinch, and he definitely can't play shortstop. The comparison is wrong.
  9. 70charger
    Go ahead and leave out the foul balls.
  10. 70charger
    He moves really well for a guy his size! Plus, he owns a catcher's mitt, so hey! Third catcher. Boom. Done. I'm having a drink.
  11. 70charger
    Eh...
  12. 70charger
    If he lets them. If not, you're gonna be kicking yourself over about two weeks service time.
  13. 70charger
    Not saying anything about Plouffe, but 15 triples smells fluky and teams tend to stop running on arms that lead in outfield assists. Single season stats are nice and he should have a chance to back them up. But let's not pretend we know exactly what he is.
  14. 70charger
    How about "longish"-term? How about medium-term? How about April 15th or so-term? I guess I'm fundamentally in agreement that he MIGHT be better than what we have right now. But how do you possibly know while at the same time giving a fair chance to those pitchers who deserve it? (Remember I didn't include nolasco in my starting five.) Even if it's true that he MIGHT be better right out of the gate, I think it's smarter business and smarter baseball to wait on him. At least for two weeks. It can't hurt us significantly and it might help us enormously.
  15. 70charger
    I think with about 7 or so starting pitching candidates healthy at the beginning of the year, it wouldn't make any sense NOT to keep Berrios down for at least 13 days. To be clear as to who I'm talking about, I would call Trevor May or Tyler Duffey the 5th guy in line (after Gibson, Hughes, Santana, and Milone), and whoever loses out between those two goes to the pen but gets a legit shot at starting if one of the others is injured or ineffective early. After him, Ricky Nolasco may warrant taking another shot on if his mechanics look good out of the bullpen. I know that the money argument doesn't carry a lot of weight here, but he's at least worth keeping an eye on. Long-term, I think Berrios has a higher upside than all of them, but keeping him for at least a couple weeks to start the season helps us: 1) get another year of control in his twenties; 2) figure out our supposed logjam at starter; and 3) keep focus on winning in the near-term with guys who have experience and won't need an adjustment period. (Yes, I'm aware that 3 is speculative. Berrios could come in and dominate right away. However, I'm a bit skeptical about that personally.)
  16. 70charger
    Is it the squatting 8 pounds? Or is it the fact that he uses gloves to squat 8 pounds? Or is it that they don't match his purse? (Okay, that's my Mauer bashing quota for awhile. Apologies to Joe. I'm gonna assume he's doing four hundred reps.)
  17. 70charger
    I don't see the need for Plouffe at third. No way do you let an average player stand in the way of a (hopefully) generational talent like Sano. Do you think the Tigers regret playing Cabrera at third? Ideally you send Plouffe somewhere else for top-end bullpen help or a lower minors hotshot like May and Meyer were when we picked them up.
  18. 70charger
    I'd really be leaning toward this too. The bullpen was a weakness last year, so it's not like we're disassembling a winning squad in order to get the kids up. The guys we would replace just weren't that good, so even if the kids come up and struggle while taking their first crack at it, we won't have lost much (if anything) in the way of performance versus the status quo. This seems like such a no-lose situation. I have to believe that at least one or more of the potentially shut-down guys you listed is going to be as good or better than the guys we had last year over an entire season. Might as well see what we have.
  19. 70charger
    Agreed. Pretty surprising.
  20. 70charger
    I've kind of wondered about this too. So if you have command, you must have control. If you have control, you don't necessarily have command?
  21. 70charger
    Now hang on. His OBP has gone up every year at every level. And although his SLG went down at a notorious pitchers' league, it's been pretty (league-corrected) consistent every year at every level. Now, I'm a skeptic. I think the jump to MLB will be bigger and more formidable than every jump he's ever made. But there is absolutely, 100%, something to be said for maintaining the same power-heavy and OBP-okay pace he's maintained year-in-and-year-out. Every single level has been the level he shouldn't be performing at. And yet, here he is. If somebody was "stagnant," they'd be doing super well at A-, okay at A+, and pretty bad at AA. What Walker has been doing is super well at A-, super well at A+, and super well at AA. You can disagree that it will continue (and I myself don't necessarily agree that it will), but stagnant!? Only if you believe that Cedar Rapids is the same thing as Chattanooga. And I don't. Much as I dislike the "fan club," Walker hasn't done a single thing to discourage the club from moving him up every single year. This is the next step in his development, and I can't see why he doesn't deserve it.
  22. 70charger
    1. Looks like a pretty good AFL roster. Glad to see some of the power relievers get some more time. And Rogers, though he looked better early on, has got some serious talent and should get the work and experience in. 2. Congrats ABW on a 30/30 season. There is no rhyme or reason to what he does or how, but at every successive level, it keeps happening. Do it again next year at AAA. Then let's see if a miracle happens in MLB.
  23. 70charger
    Any news on Wilkerson? Is he okay?
  24. 70charger
    What does this mean?
  25. 70charger
    Some good news out of the minors today. I like it.
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