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70charger

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Everything posted by 70charger

  1. 70charger
    A German named Dutch? My Opa is harrumphing somewhere...
  2. 70charger
    Entirely possible. I still kinda hope Antony doesn't get a fair shake. Outside the organization seems the way to go. But entirely possible.
  3. 70charger
    I more than strenuously disagree.
  4. 70charger
    Is that Kiriloff's first hitless game?
  5. 70charger
    That can't be right. ...right?
  6. 70charger
    What are they? 20 games out of first place? I haven't checked and don't want it to darken my mood. In any case, there's no chance in hell that they decide to stand pat at the deadline because the second half might be less-than-tragic. Now, whether there's a market for all the players that we clearly want to offload, that's an entirely different question.
  7. 70charger
    This is a fun day so far! Can't wait to see the digest of moves once all this shakes out.
  8. 70charger
    Well.... there's some bad there too, to be fair. Hope the call went okay.
  9. 70charger
    There was a mix there. Focus on the positive! Kepler is killing it, tons of strikeouts from three young and cheap bullpen pitchers, Dozier has turned it around completely, Suzuki's option won't vest. There's some good here!
  10. 70charger
    Yes you did. And I wasn't directing my initial post particularly at you. In any case, we aren't really disagreeing, so it's cool.
  11. 70charger
    It's also possible that I'm not very articulate. I suppose I could try again. There are roughly four million things that have gone wrong this year, and bad luck is one of them. With this article, Seth has not - in my view - placed all the blame on bad luck, and merely listing the things that have gone wrong is not tantamount to saying that they've all gone wrong for the same reason. Acknowledgement of the bad things that have happened, or even of the role of bad luck within that set of bad things, is not the same as claiming that you know exactly why they've happened, and it doesn't let anyone off the hook. Interpreting this article as saying something like "it's all bad luck, so let's not blame the front office," is twisting words.
  12. 70charger
    Read what I wrote again. I acknowledge bad luck. But your interpretation that "it's all bad luck" is badly twisting the facts and putting words into the author's mouth. Bad luck is one component. Don't zero in on it as though there's nothing else there.
  13. 70charger
    How on earth are some people concluding that this is about "bad luck"? The word "luck" didn't even appear in the article. Just because things have gone worse than the baseline level of bad doesn't mean that Seth - or LITERALLY anybody else - is chalking it all up to bad luck. Was there bad luck involved? Yes. Does that justify a wholesale misinterpretation of what it means for things to have gone badly this year? No.
  14. 70charger
    Accurate.
  15. 70charger
    I agree with the move but I also agree with your post. A good business decision doesn't justify vitriol. Not that I've seen anything egregious on this thread, but it always bugs me when people refer to players as "garbage" or the like, which seems to be happening more recently. Just saying. You can agree or disagree with the front office's moves without being an *******.
  16. 70charger
    You weren't kidding about the Popeye forearms...
  17. 70charger
    I mean, I'm not holding my breath, but...
  18. 70charger
    I've heard of it. I'm skeptical.
  19. 70charger
    I keep seeing this over and over in the last month or so. Is this real, or is this just one of those memes without any statistical truth that get repeated because the narrative sounds good? (Remember the whole Twins' trainers are causing Tommy Johns thing a few years back?) I'm naturally skeptical, but if someone has done real research on the following points, I'd like to see it: Does the time spent in the high minors versus the low minors correlate well with major league success? I'm okay with tossing out outliers, and with separating pitchers and hitters. Do the Twins have any tendency greater or less than the major league norm to keep their players at certain levels - or simply high minors vs. low minors - for longer? Are the results any different when you filter for top prospects? I would expect that the players who make it to the major leagues despite being drafted outside of the first couple rounds are more likely to benefit more from more minors time, and vice versa. Does comparing Buxton's time in the high minors to Dozier's make any sense at all? Are the results different when you separate college and high school players? If this sentiment is true, would it be a better strategy to start college players at higher levels and then let them catch up, versus starting them lower and waiting until they dominate?I'm really most interested in #1 and #2. And I want statistics, not memes. Is this something that's real, or is it something we're all attaching ourselves to recently because it sounds good and fits the Buxton profile? Should this be a separate topic?
  20. 70charger
    Yep. And I really hope Joe Mauer ages gracefully enough to be the second.
  21. 70charger
    Pretty much this. If I could interpose a word that I think makes it clearer what (I personally think) he was saying: "If you have a guy that swings at everything you don't JUST want to tell him to take." Which is to say that it is way more than just telling a batter to look at pitches. It's about the approach, the chess match between the hitter and the pitcher. The pitch recognition skill. Basically, JUST telling a hitter to take is the same as just telling a hitter to swing at whatever.
  22. 70charger
    I'm going on record as hating this move. Might it be better for Arcia? Sure, and good for him. Is it likely to be better for the Twins? Of course not, and if they had approached this situation with some common sense they wouldn't be in the position of giving away potential for nothing.
  23. 70charger
    Now your analysis is breaking down. I don't think a ceiling of "above average RF" is correct. And I think the massively flawed All-Star voting process is hardly a useful proxy for talent.
  24. 70charger
    Your analysis is reasonable, but you're way overselling your conclusion. Literally nobody is "likely to hit like [Harper]." If there was a guy like that in the draft, I didn't see him. We also picked 15th, not first. Also, top 20 in WAR is a pretty high bar for "one of the better players in the league." I'd say that's more like one of the superstars. A guy like Kiriloff can absolutely be one of the better players in the league, and for a long time too. I think the idea that position doesn't play any part in their draft planning is a little ridiculous. You balance premium defense with premium hitting, and you do what you can do at 15. And that's what I'm 100% willing to bet that they did. All things considered (and I mean that literally), they thought this was their best choice. But hey, what do I know? I would have nabbed a pitcher.
  25. 70charger
    I think, to add to Bark's post, that it's also interesting to see that some of the very top guys to come out of recent drafts aren't the ones that armchair scouts like the people on this board would have been clamoring for. Was anybody here screaming about not picking Trout? As I recall, the Gibson pick was pretty roundly praised. Maybe some of us ought to take a step back from the ledge as regards the current draft too. We are not clairvoyant. Hell, we're not even that smart. And besides, isn't development a bigger part of the picture anyway?
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