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Han Joelo

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Everything posted by Han Joelo

  1. Han Joelo
    This guy is going to front our rotation, Radke style, for the next decade. I said style, not substance. Meaning results, not peripherals. So just hold onto your numbery rebuttals. I already know that Radke walked way fewer batters. And that he was right-handed. Houston was all over spin rate, weren't they? Didn't Castro work in Houston...with a lefty with a high spin rate who went on to win the Cy Young or not? Connect the dots, people. You don't need a computer program named Carmine or Beacon to figure this stuff out. Castro + Gonsalves = Ace, for under $30 million. Round One goes to Falvey.
  2. Han Joelo
    I keep meaning to ask--how did Javier's signing bonus rank? He was ranked 9 or 12 before signing, just curious where he fell in the actual "cash" draft. How big was his bonus compared to others who signed that summer?
  3. Han Joelo
    Let me gush some melodramatic hyperbole: this guy is going to make 14 teams look really silly. Posters on PhilsDaily are already calling for managements head for taking Mickey M. Over AK. Which reminds me, did you know that if you cut Alaska in half, Texas would be the third largest state? Same with AK, if you cut him in half, Mickey would be the third best prospect from that draft. Beast! Ok, I'm done.
  4. Han Joelo
    Seems like a deal where a bunch of crusty old guys were sitting around drinking Coors Light, candidly discussing players futures, and on the topic of Polanco playing SS, they all agreed-- he wasn't one. They were probably right, and yet…so wrong. In a perfect world, Dozier got traded at the deadline last summer (for an ace prospect,) and Polanco took over 2B. Clearly, that plan didn't work out. Nothing sums up the perfect storm of total system dysfunctionality that occurred last year than the Polanco story. Turn the page, move on.
  5. Han Joelo
    This is where dreams and reality collide. Ten years from now, Gordon will probably still be playing MLB. Wander Javier will possibly/likely be the answer to a "Remember That Guy?" question. It's like that first car dilemma I had back in '87. Do you go with the Merkur XR4TI, or the Honda Accord? (I went with a Chevy Beretta, splitting the difference)
  6. Han Joelo
    I hope he blossoms into Chris Sale. Maybe last year represented the steepest part of the learning curve. On the other hand, given the prospect hauls that Miller, Giles, and that dude from San...Kimbrel. Just remembered. Anyway, given the prospect hauls they garnered, maybe accelerating his development as a Fireman wouldn't be such a bad deal.
  7. Han Joelo
    Tempted to attach a picture of the view from my front porch in Boise. Not winter nor spring...mud season. Looks nice down there. Nice that a few Vikings players are in camp.
  8. Han Joelo
    Three-Lohs, I agree with your above comments re: Kiriloff. I'm a prospect rube, but my equation goes something like this: Potential Upside x (Likelihood) of reaching Potential Upside = Prospect Rank From my very amateurish perpsective, Kiriloff has lower upside but higher likelihood, and Javier is the inverse. For me, for some totally unsubstantiated reason, I have Kiriloff higher. I think he is very likely to make good on his tools; hence I rate him higher. But I'm really just guessing/hoping when it comes to prospects.
  9. Han Joelo
    Tempered enthusiasm. I keep thinking the difference between this list and the lists for the last 5 years is the absence of a player you could somewhat reasonably think has some sort of All-Timer/Hall of Fame upside. Sano and Buxton had that when they were on the list. (Maybe they don't now...) Javier, though raw, is as close to that as this list has. One thing all that Dozier-to-LA trade talk did was make me think about how painful that "third piece" in a trade deal can turn out to be. Kind of like Liriano. As lottery tickets go, giving up Javier in a trade would be pretty painful.
  10. Han Joelo
    Not scarlet! I was thinking more secret society-like. Skull and crossbones...maybe redone as a catchers mask and crossed bats? Honestly, the way you guys talk affectionately about that site makes me a little jealous. Cool kid envy, you know. It is probably the way my wife feels when I get together with river guide friends and we start laughing our asses off at "remember that one time" (while never finishing) or just saying the punchlines to old jokes. Actually, its exactly like that.
  11. Han Joelo
    Great stuff, thanks for sharing. Maybe BYTO community members should get a little asterisk or badge by their name. That way, I'll know when there is a conversation within a conversation going on, and I won't feel stupid for not knowing what the heck is so funny. This is a great community. I'll never forget the semester I read Crime and Punishment and Moby Dick, and I'll never forget this winter, when I read 5000 Dozier to LA comments.
  12. Han Joelo
    11 is a lot. Does that include the entire AAA rotation? It's like a royal rumble though, the outcome is set unless someone really goes off script. Maybe that someone is Gonsalves, or Meija. If I'm Gonsalves, and I've spent my offseason busting my butt, it would be nice to hear I'm at least in the mix.
  13. Han Joelo
    We should do a season long cage match smackdown thread titled "Meija V. Deleon".
  14. Han Joelo
    I hope he unleashes the full arsenal, stays healthy, and becomes the cover-boy for the story about how to develop highly touted young arms. Serious question, statistically speaking, are inning totals the best way to monitor wear and tear on a pitcher? Jose Deleon still hasn't hit over 120 innings, does that mean he has been throwing the same amount of pitches per year of development as Stewart, just less efficiently? I know the Stewart story has been talked about before, but I think he is still pretty intriguing. I'd give him one more year to "break out," and it seems like if there was a master plan, his age 22 season, at AA, would be the crux year.
  15. Han Joelo
    My answer to an above question, one I've been meaning to ask for a long time, is what the hell is BYTO? Buy Yellow Tomatoes Only? Build Your Tostada Omelette? Baste Your Two Ovaries? Blame Yonder Taliban Organization? I'm out of Y words. My virtual journey went Simmons-Batgirl-Gleeman-Seth-Nick/John/Parker. Thanks for doing it, TD. By "it" I mean go hang out in Florida.
  16. Han Joelo
    The thought just occurred to me last night, about Duffy being the closer. He seems to have the stereotypical demeanor. It was him and Chargois at Rice, correct? As co-closers? If Andrew Miller can become the multi-inning Hydra type weapon, then maybe Shaggy and the Duff-Man can become our two-headed Hydra. Too bad one's not a lefty.
  17. Han Joelo
    Thanks for doing these. I really enjoy well-thought out prospect lists. Jorge and Wade are favorites of mine. They represent the kind of under sung prospect that might become sticking points in trade discussions as potential throw-ins, at least to me. Though similarly ranked, I'd be really bummed to give up Jorge as a "third piece/junk throw in" vs. (sorry to his fans) D.J. Baxendale for instance. But then again, I probably have an irrational expectation that Jorge will achieve his ceiling of mid-rotation MLB starter. Anyway, possible the TD formatting, but your first paragraphs, the ones with all the stats, are not very visually accessible for this guy. Too many numbers densely packed in text to my eye. Just an FYI. Again, thanks for sharing; I appreciate your perspective.
  18. Han Joelo
    Like somebody said above (Nick?), if the Twins had lost 103 with scrubs, while B, B, and S kicked ass in the minors, and the tone of this offseason would be a lot different. Let them play! Don't block them! I am disappointed the Twins didn't pull off some amazing trade, but Dave Stewart was not available to trade with. Other than that, I'll drink the same Kool Aid as last winter. The rebuild depends on Buxton and Sano ascending to stardom. The rest is shuffling deck chairs.
  19. Han Joelo
    Awesome. For now, I will view Haley as a mash-up of Johan Santana and Corey Kluber. Folks will look back at this as Falvey "Rizzo" moment.
  20. Han Joelo
    Per Goin's "Culture" comments: If I have disappointment, it is only because moves are fun. Change is exciting. But the lack of moves is sometimes the greatest movement. As the Sphinx said in Mystery Men, "only when standing still can you move forward." It seems like clear expectations are being set. Players (and managers) that show up ready to embrace that challenge will stick. Particularly in the bullpen -- there is a clear message to that group of Chargois, Reed, et al, that positions are wide open. Show up ready and claim your spot. The May and Sano articles in the Trib also speak to that culture -- young guys aren't getting moved around or blocked altogether this offseason. And, while I've been a little disappointed that the Twins haven't signed one of the many relatively cheap reclamation projects (Holland being the latest), I guess maybe they consider Perkins to be in the same category.
  21. Han Joelo
    Good share. Get ready for the inevitable criticisms of the inevitable "best shape of my life" stories like this one. I dig the tarantula haircut.
  22. Han Joelo
    In a way, this thread has come full circle...I'd have traded Dozier straight up for the next Pedro Martinez for sure. Especially if the next Boof Bonser was part of the deal, and Pedro Hernandez was the third piece. (It was Pedro Hernandez in the Liriano/Sux deal, right? Or am I thinking of the horrible tequila we used to make "Riveritas" back in the day?)
  23. Han Joelo
    I'll go with the narrative that we just found out how valuable DeLeon is, rather than Dozier. The Dodgers are probably ecstatic someone bought there buffed out prospect. They are good--they got maximum value out of him. Turns out max value was Forsythe, not Dozier. Will Falvey look better when those other Dodger prospects turn out better than DeLeon? I.E. He was correct in holding out? Anyway, 5000 comments later, I'm mercifully free of this nonsense.
  24. Han Joelo
    This is where I am at. This has been like watching a junior high romance. They're currently "not interested" publicly, and trying to date other people, but they and everybody knows they were meant for each other. Personally, I'll feel best about whatever the eventual outcome is if it in fact happens at the last minute (before ST). Otherwise, I'd always be left wondering if they could've squeezed out a little bit more. And I'd feel the same way if I was a Dodger fan, only opposite. (This assuming neither FO caved to a lopsided deal. Which, obviously, hasn't happened.)
  25. Han Joelo
    Now that I think about it, given that this a mostly static situation, unless the Dodgers find someone else for 2B, I would be surprised for this to get done at all until a week or two before spring training. They have each other over a barrel, and one or the other or even both FOs will look like they caved by dealing now. When Aaron Rodgers fell to the Packers in the draft, they still used up their whole ten minutes before making the pick.
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