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Dodecahedron

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Everything posted by Dodecahedron

  1. Though this is true that he would not be claimed, I wonder if he truly has options left. The minors did not exist last year, which should have been his last option year. He was certainly not with the MLB team all year.
  2. Superstar, no. Place on a contending team? Why not? He is a good guy. He pushes himself hard. He is popular with fans. He hits and fields better than you describe. Astudillo is a better player than 4 starters on the 87 Twins roster and the entire bench. Astudillo is also better hitter than 4 starters on the 91 Twins roster. I think the Twins can find a place for him. You could argue that Astudillo had no place on the legendary 65 Twins, but they did not win a championship. Maybe they should have had an Astudillo.
  3. Garver is better than he showed last year, that's for sure.
  4. I don't know how much you can blame coaching for a veteran player's struggles. For a pitcher, you could blame the catcher, perhaps, at least partly. You can certainly put blame on the defense. At this point in his career, Archer should have some idea of how to do his job, so I don't see coaching as being a factor.
  5. I'm shocked Colome was even available. I'm also surprised the Twins got him at half his salary from last year. Crazy times.
  6. I can't say I disagree with your premises, they are solid. I still believe the Twins will miss Rosario.
  7. There are two fielding positions that are considered acceptable to place poor fielding players when you want their bats in the lineup: 1B and LF. Eddie was at one of those two positions. Left fielders have the worst defensive stats in the game, since first basemen get all those putouts. Even the best defensive left fielders rank near the bottom of leaguewide defense. In most years, Rosario had a positive dWAR. I'll take that any day from a left fielder.
  8. Eddie's OPS+ in "High Leverage Situations" last year was 99, which is right at average. I have not looked, but I imagine this places around the top 3 of the players on the team. When you lose your #2/#3 player, you feel it.
  9. Good reality check. With the way last season went down, I would imagine the distance between ranking 20th in a stat and ranking 15th isn't very large, etc. The Twins have a solid chance to regress toward the mean in many of these categories. I think it's folly to believe that Rosario's absence will not be felt as he was a top-3 contributor to almost all of these categories, if not the leader. The situation is far from hopeless, but yeah we're probably not looking at many top-5 or top-10 finishes at the team level next year.
  10. Good move. With a 1-year deal, the Twins can trade him if they stumble this year.
  11. I don't know if he could be an all-star (I view that as more of a popularity contest), but I think he is a good candidate to squeeze out a no-hitter over the course of his career.
  12. I tried a few times to figure out PECOTA. It always seems way off. Heck, it seems almost random with some players. There's a reason no one uses it. If it works at all, it's incredibly complicated. While the rest of the baseball world searches in vain for an uberstat, Baseball Prospectus settled on a bizarrostat.
  13. Very funny ... but worth pointing out that Tesla makes a profit due to selling offsets, not from selling cars. https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9208443/Teslas-2020-car-sales-resulted-LOSS-car-maker-did-not-sell-zero-emission-credits.html When another company mass produces electric cars at the same pace, not only do the offsets go away but Tesla will also lose market share. That's a 1-2 punch if I ever saw one.
  14. Rosario was the better player in 2020, so in the "what have you done for me lately?" department, Rosario's $8M salary is much nicer than Lindor's $22M. I can only guess as to how a player needs to perform in order to earn $22M, but I would assume Lindor would have to return to his 2018 form in order to be worth it. Rosario, on the other hand, just needs to keep doing what he's doing. I would call this a pretty good replacement, if you want to call it that. Of course. Lindor plays a much more valuable position in the field
  15. The only pitchers I can think of who suddenly had a comedic amount and variety of injuries never pitched the same again. Erickson, Santana, and Pavano -- and all three of those guys were better than Odorizzi in their primes. Two of them were Odorizzi's age when it started. If we ever catch a glance of Odorizzi wearing a bloody sock while still pitching 100% and appearing to be in no pain whatsoever, I will change my opinion.
  16. The Twins let Rosario go; they should be using that extra cash to sign Cruz. It would be surprising if this was not their plan all along. This is likely just another Brett Favre moment. Maybe we will get to see Dave St. Peter drive Cruz to Target Field in a black SUV right before the season starts.
  17. Robinhood is a "free" app, but you are giving them data. This data is used by their parent company, which also owns the hedge fund that lost a bunch of cash for shorting Gamestop. The narrative in the news is Robinhood suspended the ability to buy Gamestop because they ran out of cash. Of course that's false. Their parent company was losing billions. Wall Street truly got beaten at their own game.
  18. Few teams in the AL use the DH spot as it was intended, as a spot for a dedicated power hitter. If anything, they use the extra spot to sign another reliever. The problem with the AL is most of the capital is in the AL East. In the NL, the capital is more evenly distributed ... though one could argue this has changed in the past 5-8 years to benefit the NL West.
  19. The problem with this theory is one of the few players who can actually hit those and get on base.
  20. Dobnak rocketed through the minors and he can toss a sinker. I think he profiles nicely for the division and he might give a team like the Yankees trouble in the playoffs. Not saying Dobnak is a star, but there is a lot to like.
  21. I'm in the camp that this rotation is good enough. It's time to finish the bullpen. Any more FA starter signings would just bump one of these guys to the minors, which seems like a bad plan since any FA available isn't much better than what the Twins have already. If the Twins want more depth, trade for some AAA pitchers who they can use if the team needs a fresh arm.
  22. I'm not sure about the 1-year deal. The Twins do not appear to be "all-in" this year, so a longer deal would have made more sense.
  23. I wonder how Iowa fared. The stormed seemed to sit over Iowa for a very long time.
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