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Siehbiscuit

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Everything posted by Siehbiscuit

  1. Siehbiscuit
    I would not be shocked in the least to see Morneau dealt at the deadline to a contender that sees a solid BA and OBP and hanging onto the potential of Morneau's power being restored at a park other than Target Field. His potential still holds value. He isn't a has been, because he is still hitting well, just not for power. It only takes one team that is desperate to offer a decent prospect. I could also see the Twins pursuing him again this off-season for 2 years $9-10 million if Parmalee falls on his face in the 2nd half with full-time at bats.
  2. Siehbiscuit
    BPA...if its McGuire, take him. If it's not (and its not), move on and take BPA!
  3. Siehbiscuit
    The Twins problem is not Joe Mauer. Stop it. Even if the Twins had an additional 23 million what are the chances that all of a sudden Terry Ryan would change who he is? Zero. He has run the Twins the same way and he will continue to do so. There's plenty of profit now to put FA's on the field and its not happening.
  4. Siehbiscuit
    I'm 100% on Stewart if the Big3 are gone. Stewart>Frazier>Meadows. Although I do like Moran. He seems to have a very projectable hit tool and has a better chance to stick at 3rd than do guys like Bryant, Sano or even Harrison. With so many guys in our system able to move to a corner OF position, I think the Twins should take Stewart or Moran. I would even consider Shipley or Ball before another outfielder, take this discount and spend more on a high upside/tough sign kid later.
  5. Siehbiscuit
    I am all in on two guys (assuming Appel, Gray and Bryant are gone)...Stewart and Frazier. Please no to the HS catchers at #4. Going under slot for a guy like Shipley or another high upside arm is tolerable, but the bust rate in HS catchers is far too great. So to answer the OPs question: McGuire
  6. Siehbiscuit
    I'm in the Frazier over Meadows camp as well. I personally value the power tool more than any other. Hit, speed, defense and arm are important but power is something that can only be developed so much. Much of it is just flat out, God-given ability. Same as the hitting tool. Average defense and average arms can be hidden. But a great power bat ALWAYS has value.
  7. Siehbiscuit
    Thank you John, for both summarizing and showing people how simple it is. Integrity should still means something to us.
  8. Siehbiscuit
    I was at the Kernals game and Buxton DEFINITELY beat that throw to first! No harm done, but it was a pretty terrible call. BTW, if you guys haven't been down to Cedar Rapids to see this group play, get down here (I'm and Iowan that is loving them being close). On Sunday's, all the players stay after for autographs's, kids can play catch in the outfield and run the bases after as well. We paid $11 a seat and sat in the front row. AND Buxton is fast...in case you didn't know.
  9. Siehbiscuit
    I am sure the Twins are waiting till June, so they have two years of extra arb. Hernandez sucks as a starter (Duensing 2.0) and Gibson has had AMAZING outings 2 out of the last three times out. He could be the spark this rotation needs (a la Liriano in 2006)!
  10. Siehbiscuit
    I think people remember "Heroic" moments and that elevates them to another level. Puckett was amazing, but his post-season moments definitely elevates his status to make him a Twins legend or icon. Mauer arguably has a better resume (definitely more individual hardware), but lacks the "heroic" moments that puts him up there with Puckett.
  11. Siehbiscuit
    I will be in Cedar Rapids on Sunday afternoon. Is Berrios pitching by chance?
  12. Siehbiscuit
    One thing that separates both Upton brothers right now from Buxton is the ability to hit for average. Justin may have 70's power but his low contact rate might translate to only 35-40 homers in a good season (See Adam Dunn, Giancarlo Stanton). Buxton may only be a 50's power guy, but his contact rate is better than Justin Upton's so Buxton to be in the 30's isn't at all out of the question. The # of homeruns isn't the best way to figure who has the best "tool" or most "power potential." Think Mike Trout's season a year ago. I would say that Justin Upton has a higher "power" tool than Mike Trout. But Trout may hit more homers than him some years, because he will make solid contact more often. Upton's homers may even travel farther, but a HR is still a HR. There is no doubt in my mind that Buxton has the potential to have a Barry Bonds (pre-'roids) or Ken Griffey Jr type of career based on his skill set and projection. BJ Upton is SKINNY and has never filled out (equals bad comparison, IMO). Buxton is bigger NOW. Justin Upton and Miguel Sano are closer in comparison in my opinion than JUpton and Buxton. Buxton can and will fill out (and get his man muscles) and be a regular 30-30 guy soon. ...and please don't say that I am predicting multiple MVP's and a HOF career for Buxton. Only he has that potential.
  13. Siehbiscuit
    I think the underlying problem is is that most of us do not like the team's philosophy on pitching, period. I don't think spending in FA is always the answer. How many times have the Oakland A's turned out great pitching prospects!??? Thy may not stay in an A's uniform past 6 years (when FA kicks in) but they flip it for more young pitching and they always seem to have it. The A's are always acquiring pitching via trades and the Twins (up until this off season) seldom think like this. Its dumpster diving every offseason and hoping something sticks. The soft tossing, pitch-to-contact guys are cheap for a reason. They get hit and too often hit hard. IMO, the Twins organization needs to seriously change both the type of pitcher it is targeting and also it acquiring philosophy. Enough with the soft-tossers!
  14. Siehbiscuit
    Doumit... I can see Doumit getting moved if the Twins get a solid return. There are enough decent bats to DH (Parmalee, Arcia, Morneau, Mauer) to cover the loss of Doumit. Butera (barf) or Hermann can play backup catcher. Twins could survive without Doumit. Carroll...The Twins could also "survive" without Carroll, but unlike Doumit's situation, who do the Twins have to replace him? I would like to keep Carroll as a needed veteran on this team that would provide more leadership for a very young group of infielders that need a leader. Carroll would also fetch little in a trade. Parmalee...DO NOT TRADE THIS MAN! His value is far too low and he is far too inexpensive to not wait on. He would fetch little in a trade and have I mentioned he is cheap? Expensive and unproductive is a bad combination. Inexpensive and unproductive is tolerable. Morneau...If he keeps putting up RBI's at the current pace and is playing everyday, some GM's will overpay for his run production. He's expensive, a free agent to be and his bat could likely be replaced by a younger, less expensive player. Willingham...First of all, Willingham needs to start hitting the deep ball. GM's don't care too much about the batting average if homeruns and a solid OBP are there. He is not hitting HR's at the moment so that needs to change to get good value. Sell at the right price and let a guy like Colabello or Parmalee play everyday. His contract is pretty team-friendly and he has stayed healthy the last 1.5 years.
  15. Siehbiscuit
    I disagree with those that don't think that Buxton will be a power threat. Ken Griffey Jr is easily my favorite player ever and I watched 100's of his games. He was considered a 5 tool guy just like Buxton, but his weakest tool as a "kid" was his power tool which was about a 40-50 projection. He had the perfect swing to generate backspin and loft on the ball that it carried and he became that power hitter as he gained (a lot) weight. Buxton won't always be a "cut" 195-200lb kid. As he fills out his "man" frame and matures there is know doubt he can be a 40 homer guy. Ken Griffey Jr only hit 16HR's as a rookie, then 22, then 27, before he started hitting for great power. Buxton will fill out and be a major run producer, not just a table setter, by his third season in the big leagues.
  16. Siehbiscuit
    If Willingham is sent packing, PLEASE bring this guy up and put him in the lineup (at 1B, preferably)!!!
  17. Siehbiscuit
    Hicks started switch-hitting because of how his father's basball career pretty much ended. His dad, a RH hitter, took one to the head and was never the same. His dad taught him how to hit left-handed so he could lessen the risk of the same thing happening to his son.
  18. Siehbiscuit
    A lot of the "keep him here" or "send him down" talk with prospects is unfair. Each kid is SO different. Hicks father was a pro ball player, although he never got to the show. Another thing that may play into the intangibles category is that Hicks was a standout amateur golfer that possibly could have done that professionally. The only reason I bring these two points up is to be successful at golf consistently requires a ton of mental toughness. Also, having the family that has been exactly where he is, struggling and struggling yet persevering requires tremendous amounts of character. Hicks may be the kind of kid that will improve far more from Gardenhire, Bruno and other teaching and coaching him very hard than what he would get at AAA. Not all of these young men are wired the same and I think Hicks will be able to persevere through this slump and will be coachable.
  19. Siehbiscuit
    I disagree with the "it doesn't matter" portion. It may not matter as far as the "stats" go, but it does say something to me about his general aggressiveness in those situations. We have all seen him be VERY selective in choosing the right pitch and be overly cautious at the plate, but with RISP his approach has changed and regardless of the outcome of those appearances, that does matter. He needs to find the balance between using his strike zone discipline and being more assertive. That comes with repetition.
  20. Siehbiscuit
    Manaea to me is Liriano 2.0! He can be dominant for stretches (see Cape Cod), but can also be very inconsistent (most of this season). The Twins need to go either "all in" on the upside of a HS kid (any position) or take the best bat available, regardless of position. More and more I am liking Stewart. The best way to acquire ace-caliber talent is via the draft. Last year we had the opportunity with Appel, Gausman, etc....but Buxton is showing he was the right choice. Between Frazier and Stewart this year, I go Stewart. He will play baseball guaranteed. Regarding Stewart's signability issues... there won't be much leverage. I follow CFB recruiting A LOT and he is a top 20 QB, but definitely not a top 5 or 10 guy at QB. We aren't talking about a Joe Mauer-type football talent here. Obviously, Manziel is there for now, but so is Army All-American Matt Davis from the 2012 class. In fact, Stewart wasn't even the highest regarded QB prospect in A&M's 2013 class. A kid named Kenny Hill was. Stewart will play baseball and will sign, hopefully with the Twins at #4.
  21. Siehbiscuit
    I have stated my dislike for Manaea before and to me there doesn't seem to be a consensus best player for the Twins to take. After the Appel, Gray and lately Bryant there is a whole lot of similarity in talent from 4-10 (like another poster said). To me, signing a guy like McGuire, who may be #8-12 on the Twins board, but saves them $1.5 million, is kind of like trading trades that happen in the NFL Draft. You trade back from 4 and get the other teams #8 and also their 20th overall pick. I know its a little apples to oranges, but this may not be too dissimilar to missing out on Andrew Luck and RGIII last year. They moved back one spot and got an extra pick out of the deal. There is very little that distinguishes these next tier of players.
  22. Siehbiscuit
    I'm going to go out on a little limb here... 1. Alex Meyer 2. Scott Diamond 3. Kyle Gibson 4. Vance Worley 5. Alex Wimmers Wimmers was drafted one year after Gibson, but TJ surgery and not having advanced up the ladder as far, puts him likely two years behind him to get in the MLB rotation. Hopefully, he can rebound similar to Gibson and earn the 5th spot by 2016. I don't think the Twins will take Manaea so the honorable mention spot goes to Berrios, a young 22 year old by then.
  23. Siehbiscuit
    I am in the "Say No to Manaea"-camp as well. He reminds me far too much of Liriano. Dominant at times showing ELECTRIC stuff, yet other times looking awful and even disinterested. IMO, a top 5 pick has to project as a future All-Star, not a be a project. If Bryant isn't available, I'm not opposed to either young GA OF or even Moran. Stewart won't take any kind of discount to help us take better than slot talent latter on. Manaea just isn't dominant like a top5 pick should be.
  24. Siehbiscuit
    The Twins lineup and rotations are not too far away. The lineup has a good balance of contact, speed and power. The rotation still needs some development and high-end talent but the outlook is greatly improved compared to this time last year. 2015 Lineup C - Mauer (Pinto/Hermann backup) 1B - Parmalee (Sano or Bryant backup) 2B - Rosario or Dozier 3B - Sano/Bryant SS - Michael/Santana LF - Arcia/Benson CF - Buxton RF - Hicks DH - Vargas/Arcia/Sano/Bryant/Harrison There are good options everywhere except SS. Better talent still needed there.
  25. Siehbiscuit
    That is the best news I have heard all day! Also, Levi Michael showing a little pop in his bat with a 2 run HR yesterday. Hopefully between Santana, Polanco, Michael or Escobar and Dozier, one or two of these guys can stick or move to SS long-term and form a solid infield with Rosario.
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