I agree, which is why I indicated that an import player might be an outlier. And it's all just averages, which means any individual player might beat the odds. Still, one of the major reversals in baseball thinking in my lifetime is that the average player is not entering his prime when he turns 30, but leaving it. Father time has the final say; that IS part of the human side of baseball. But I'm hopeful in the case of Park and the moderate length and dollar outlay of his particular contract.