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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    Minor point, but they moved to the front of the line to grab Curtiss when he was about to be put on waivers for demotion off the 40-man, by giving the Twins a low-minors shortstop.
  2. ashbury
    Although the team has repeatedly said they don't do this, let's explore the "should" aspect of it. Suppose they aim for $130M a year, but this year end up spending only $100M. Do they add $30M to the pot next year and spend $160M? They acquire a couple of expensive guys, and let's say they do well. What happens after that? Suppose the team as a whole does well with this expensive roster, makes the playoffs and even wins a round in the postseason before bowing out. Now the budget needs to go back down to $130M. Talented guys will be disposed of, in one form or another. What kind of PR will that be? I disagree with any excess money being pocketed, for a variety of reasons, but simply carrying over the money has its problems. I'd personally like to see un-used payroll headroom be applied to different ways of making the team strong, such as acquiring prospects. Unfortunately MLB has successively moved to limit the ability to do that, with hard caps on draft spending and likewise punitive policies on international signings past a certain threshold. It's nice to say money should carry over, but the devil's in the details.
  3. ashbury
  4. ashbury
    "The check is in the mail", "something something something", and "52% of revenue".
  5. ashbury
    Your assumption is where this goes wrong at the outset. Team officials have stated on multiple occasions that they do not do their payroll planning this way whatsoever.
  6. ashbury
    Yes, if 2018 Cody Allen is who he is going to be, going forward, nobody wants him. Pretty much any form of analysis will tell you to go with someone younger and with perhaps more upside. His full body of work suggests better, if he can bounce back.
  7. ashbury
    I respect Terry Ryan very much, but that quote came across as someone having trouble keeping up with the sharp increase in payrolls. He sounded like Grandpa at Thanksgiving dinner complaining about "prices these days". I think he felt he was making competitive offers, but they were actually just enough light to not be in the running. Just my guess, of course.
  8. ashbury
    And the Angels seem happy with Curtiss for Parker and Ozoria plus the money saved. I'm especially interested in knowing their views on why they see this as to their advantage. Not that they're going to say.
  9. ashbury
    The chances that the opposing starting pitcher is pretty good have to be higher when you slice and dice the data to look at games where the team is behind.
  10. ashbury
    I got it from Chief. He got it from his great-grandchildren. / actually, for anyone still mystified, it's an anglicized corruption of the French phrase "tout de suite", meaning right away. Wikipedia says it dates back to WWI. I thought it was better known. Guess not.
  11. ashbury
    I'm not sure what you think is "undefined", but here is a specific link, and it mentions a specific percentage (52). https://www.twincities.com/2008/03/01/in-the-family-carl-pohlads-son-says-there-are-no-plans-to-sell/ It dates to 10 years ago, but I've never seen it recanted.
  12. ashbury
  13. ashbury
    Good. And there is a solution for that, if you're the pitcher: go ahead and mow 'em down at the top of the order the third time you do face them. It just won't be in the order you originally envisioned. But with enough success they'll put you out there in the first inning eventually.
  14. ashbury
    Always a first time, honeybun.
  15. ashbury
    He's one of those players of whom opponents say, "he can beat you, even when he's not hitting." Which of course indirectly underscores how important the hit-tool is in our game most of the other times. He needs to figure out breaking-pitches-away, toot sweet.
  16. ashbury
    At catcher we have two guys coming off injuries that can have long-lasting consequences. In my thinking, either guy could come down with a recurrence, or a related malady, that suddenly leaves us short. Injuries are part of the game, and many are unforeseeable, but this situation seems higher risk than average. Who do we have stashed at AAA on a make-good contract, in case Willians suddenly is our starter and we have no backup?
  17. ashbury
    There actually is a Rule 6. But it's not a draft, it just explains what is done subsequently to drafting players via Rule 5.
  18. ashbury
    Ask Cuddyer to do that magic trick where he makes your drink disappear.
  19. ashbury
    Moderator's note: This bickering tangent, about who knows anything with certainty, has nothing to do with Seth's response to someone complaining that Buxton will receive a pay increase relative to 2018, namely that the arbitration system under the Basic Agreement bakes pay raises into the system, and I ask that it stop.
  20. ashbury
    Nothing about a MiLB deal obligates the team to do anything. I think the concern being expressed is about the front office not having the discipline to leave the spare tire in the trunk if none of the tires on the ground are running flat. And maybe, given past experience, that's a fair concern. But a signing itself, if one does occur, shouldn't be.
  21. ashbury
    I suppose the hope would be to use such luck to balance out certain kinds of bad luck. For instance a couple of starters go on the 60-day DL during spring, and only one of the young guys is deemed ready to face major league hitting full time. With spots on the 40-man thus available, you have someone you can plug in right away; if he does well, then you have an interesting decision to make in 60 days. I believe that would be the thinking.
  22. ashbury
    Get a few new guys and then depend on Team Chemistry to solve everything.
  23. ashbury
    Besides the mystery guest, what are the chances that Brian Duensing is also included, as a sweetener to the deal?
  24. ashbury
    Your memory is apparently better than mine, and I don't have time to go back and re-read my review of it earlier in this thread, so I guess we'll go with that.
  25. ashbury
    At this moment, I believe the chance is low of Buxton filing an official grievance regarding the lack of September call-up. But... would the formal offer of a long-term extension give him ammunition for one? "Hey, apparently I wasn't good enough in their eyes last September, now four months later they want me on a multi-year contract? What changed during the off-season?" I'm no lawyer but my instinct would be to tread carefully if I were in the Twins front office.
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