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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    Agreed. Back in the day, other teams in a tight situation would pitch to Puckett and walk Hrbek. Of course Puckett brought more to the table on defense. But Hrbek was up there. But I disagree that a team needs to limit their number retirements to national HoF standards anyway.
  2. ashbury
    Regardless of where each of us might rank Sano on such a list today, how depressing it is to think back to 2012 and imagine someone from the future coming back to tell us then that we'd even have a discussion someday about Sano being somewhere in the second-ten in a team asset ranking.
  3. ashbury
    This kind of recap is really cool. We had a clunker or two for rookies, but also some contributors and rays of hope.
  4. ashbury
    There's agreement here that the owner is not a sportsman in the sense we had a century ago for some teams. The team is treated as a for profit business. But only a business with cash flow problems would let a perceived financial mistake limited to a prior year affect their decision making for a coming year. Decisions are made based on market forecasts etc. And conversely a windfall profit doesn't carry forward. Pohlad does not have cash flow problems, and he's been explicit in the past about not carrying over unused payroll. The way Chief stated it fits my understanding as well.
  5. ashbury
    Baseball-reference.com provides average age for batters, weighted by PA and games (in some mixture). A quick sampling across the past century: 1918: 28.1 1938: 28.4 1958: 28.4 1978: 27.7 1998: 28.9 2018: 28.1 Pitching is roughly similar. If I had better database skillz I'd draw you a graph using every year. Anyway I'm not seeing a definitive trend - we're about where we were 100 years ago. I'm actually surprised by that, since a long time ago it was commonly said that a player didn't reach his prime until 30. Turns out they didn't actually believe it.
  6. ashbury
    The presence or absence of a minus sign also plays a role.
  7. ashbury
    Mod note: Agreed, characterizing another poster rarely ends well.
  8. ashbury
    I see we are on the same page in this.
  9. ashbury
    It would make for a less interesting place if everyone operated under the same definitions. I do hope that Nick can extract from these various comments a way to further refine his description of how he values assets. I have asked similar of Seth when he provides his prospect rankings. Prospect A is ranked higher than Prospect B because he is... uh, more... um...what? One way to arrive at a sharp definition is to imagine a team liquidating its assets by auction. The highest bidder would scoop up Player B for $5M, Player A would fetch $20M, etc. While we amateurs would be purely guessing at these values, even a GM would be unwilling to sign his name to his estimates - no one can know for sure. But at least it would be something pretty well defined, and would allow for a ranked list. But... since teams don't liquidate, and haven't done so for more than a century, would this neat and tidy definition correspond to any kind of actual reality? I have my doubts. Also, highest bid for each player, would not necessarily correspond to any given bidder's rankings of all the players. There are some paradoxes contained even in thought experiments (which here boil down to game theory), to say nothing of real-world complexities. It's hard. I don't forecast real satisfaction from pressing Nick too earnestly. JMO.
  10. ashbury
    What a coincidence! The team with the highest payroll, not to mention one of the more longstanding analytics departments, just happened to win a championship. We can go talk payroll or chemistry or analytics in some different thread devoted to those topics, and I don't want to get off the topic of Nelson Cruz here, but this kind of nonsequitur shouldn't go unmentioned. For what it's worth, I expect Cruz to be a plus in the clubhouse. But I don't particularly overstate his value as a mentor - teams hire coaches and managers to handle those roles as well. Another player will listen to Cruz because he is a peer? Even though Rocco is a year younger?
  11. ashbury
    We probably get for Austin only about what we gave up to get him in the first place. Defensively, in the outfield, he'd probably be about like Wil Myers or Franklin Gutierrez, if my favorite QnD scouting source* is to be trusted. Just to set the expectations, at least for myself. Very average, probably plodding, but not embarrassing. Definitely an option to consider. * Out of the Park, the baseball game - they claim to put in some effort in this regard, as a aggregator of scouting opinions
  12. ashbury
    The thread title has "best tools in the minor leagues" so I think that's a useful assumption on anything stated about "the organization". I too would like to see a foot race.
  13. ashbury
    Oh, I suppose a .300 BA with a SLG above .600 is considered good in some circles. A bat-only guy for DH needs to be an elite hitter. He isn't young but I think he can still be one. This is what you demand positional flexibility from other roster spots for - the license to try for a stud at DH.
  14. ashbury
    Dunno. I'm getting a real 2012 vibe right now.
  15. ashbury
    /thread
  16. ashbury
    When you fire the manager, in effect you're saying the players aren't the problem, and the new guy will get more out of them. So, sticking with what appears to be a core makes sense. But I am perplexed at the apparent lack of interest in acquiring some high-end new talent to replace the expiring contracts and supplement this core, nonetheless. All I'm seeing is buy-low, some-upside, kinds of moves. If this is a rebuild situation because the core's no good, they could have just stuck with Molitor.
  17. ashbury
    What do you base this on? I mean, apart from what they do for any rookie to help him try to amp down and just let him show what he can do?
  18. ashbury
    Then that makes them the only team to go from 100 losses to playoffs to irrelevance in 3 consecutive seasons.
  19. ashbury
    Haley suffered a season-ending stress reaction on his elbow?
  20. ashbury
    Holding out for the baseball road trip you promised.
  21. ashbury
    Rosario's agent replies, "the top free-agent contracts last off-season were Eric Hosmer, who played nothing but first base for his old team and nothing but first base for his new team. Yu Darvish. He plays pitch. JD Martinez. He can barely track a slow roller to right field. Lorenzo Cain. Nobody asked him to branch out and play a corner OF spot, much less second base. My client is not a superstar but profiles as a cornerstone player like these guys. You're asking him to be Eduardo Escobar, who just signed for $6 or $7M a year, or Marwin Gonzalez, who MIGHT crack $10M a year, both for just three years; positional flexibility doesn't really move the needle on salary. You're not going to have a happy player if you insist on this during the remainder of his time in Minnesota. My compliments to Granny." Tyler Austin, yeah. Guys on the bubble should be all-in if offered any kind of chance. Plouffe, he wound up like Austin but for a while there looked to be on a different trajectory. Don't get me wrong, I adore positional flexibility. It's just that it swims against a very strong current.
  22. ashbury
  23. ashbury
    While I routinely use this strategy when playing OOTP on my computer, how do you deal with the real-world complexity when, for example, Rosario protests, "I'm not a utility player"?
  24. ashbury
    To possibly save anyone else from a bit of searching when trying to look him up, his name is spelled with an 'e'. Dusten Knight.
  25. ashbury
    Yeah, fair's fair, and I've expressed my qualms over some moves by this FO so they deserve credit here.
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