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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    You should give this album a try and reconsider:
  2. ashbury
    We could have used him in Minneapolis yesterday.
  3. ashbury
    So, you're OK with not being buyers at the trade deadline?
  4. ashbury
  5. ashbury
    Another double. It took me a while to parse this one.
  6. ashbury
    On the phone with my 96-year old dad this afternoon, I asked him a simple "this or this" question. His snarky answer: Yes. So now I realize that I've been tormented by Chief jokes even before I knew there was a Chief. Is this a good thing, or a bad one?
  7. ashbury
    Another fundamental principle - play for the tie at home, but not when on the road.
  8. ashbury
    Moderator's note: while I took the initial comment about socialism to be intended humorously, we do draw a pretty firm line on tangents like that in the baseball threads, so yes, please let it end here.
  9. ashbury
    Man, he and Scherzer are going to be an awesome 1-2 punch!
  10. ashbury
    Sadly, this bit of what Wikipedia short-sightedly calls "vandalism" has already been undone. Looking at the History tab for this page, the sequence is entertaining. Added during the hijinks of last night: "He is the legal father of Cleveland Indians pitcher, Trevor Bauer, as he [vulgarity deleted] in 5 straight ABs while facing Bauer.""He is also the daddy of Trevor Bauer after he hit his 5th straight home run off of him.""Trevor Bauer's Dad""Current owner of Trevor Bauer""He is also the daddy of Trevor Bauer after he hit his 5th home run in as many at bats.""Kepler also owns Cleveland Indians pitcher Trevor Bauer"I may have missed one, but apparently this vandalistic Van Gogh has yet to find exactly the right palette that will pass muster. Someone named ChanDat - do you know him?
  11. ashbury
    I oversimplified. But this doesn't address the additional point that Parker was also warmed up (from having been used) and had thrown only 15 pitches. Also, I have absolutely no problem with managers deciding things. Rocco has done a few things I've noticed, and doubtless many that I haven't, making a statement that this is his team. Good leaders do that. "I'm not the manager because I'm always right, but I'm always right because I'm the manager." -- Gene Mauch Rocco is the anti-Gardy in regard to closer usage. At a BoSox game I attended earlier this year, sitting next to the visitors bullpen, Shane Greene was up and fully warmed up, then his Tiger teammates scored a couple of runs making it no longer a save situation; down he sat and another guy who had been warming up came in. The chump allowed enough runs to make it a save situation again, so in came Greene. Nothing remarkable about that, but I suppose times are changing.
  12. ashbury
    Summary: "Why did you bring in Rogers with a 4-run lead?" "I decided to."
  13. ashbury
    If you expect WPA to be an all-encompassing stat that tells you if a player is "good" or not, well, that's pushing it beyond what it was designed for. However, Baseball-reference.com has something right next to the WPA display, that you may like. It shows an "average leverage index" (ALI), which reflects the "blowout" effect you are geting at, and then next to that is WPA/LI, which is not simply the ratio of two numbers but is the sum of a lot of little ratios for each plate appearance. This sounds in the spirit of what you were describing. Here is the table ("Team Win Probability") for batters and pitchers, respectively, on the 2019 Twins: https://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/MIN/2019-batting.shtml#all_players_win_probability_batting https://www.baseball-reference.com/teams/MIN/2019-pitching.shtml#all_players_win_probability_pitching
  14. ashbury
    Yeah, you never see a hockey player take umbrage at anything.
  15. ashbury
    So when we get breaks it's lucky, but when the other team gets them it proves our guys' lack of what it takes, or something? Other teams get seeing-eye singles against us. That's basically what Kepler's overturned out-call was, had it been called correctly in the first place. (And I'm not faulting the ump on that, we're in a new era of precision that made no sense in times past.) Sano committed an error, then got on base from one. That's the breaks evening out for the team, perhaps a little more directly than sometimes. Their CFer misjudged a fly and didn't go in the right direction immediately. Last year Jake Cave was placed on my Do Not Fly list for an opposite mistake (diving and missing on a dying quail) that lost a game on the spot. It happens. I feel such a lack of balance, in our collective reactions to events as they unfold. Every bad thing happens because of lack of ... something. Every good thing is luck. We have a good team. We won a game. I enjoyed the part that I tuned in for - am I lucky, or did the breaks just even out for me?
  16. ashbury
    Crash Davis is a heck of a coach.
  17. ashbury
    Here's an article from 2016 in which the writer made the comparison to Cabrera, paraphrasing team scouts. http://www.startribune.com/how-the-twins-found-miguel-sano/368707081/ Perhaps the team itself never issued a press release saying Sano was the second coming of the Tiger superstar, but I doubt the writer simply cooked up the comparison himself. It's a gray area to determine the team's role but I can't find a reason to think they were especially uncomfortable with the article either. And I can't be too hard on a poster for remembering something from an article and thinking it was more official.
  18. ashbury
    So was Terry Ryan, and he was younger than Levine when he was promoted to GM. I don't think anyone derisively called him a wonderkid.
  19. ashbury
    Yep. In his past 10 games he's batting .325 on a very reasonable BABIP of .323, and he adds enough other goodies to the base hits to have an OPS of .931 in that span. CALL HIM UP!
  20. ashbury
    Wouldn't it be fun if some parks had the pitcher's mound 60'6" from home plate, some parks had it 63', and others had it 59'? Conversely, we could ban the change-up.
  21. ashbury
    ??:HUH
  22. ashbury
  23. ashbury
    I have nothing of substance to contribute to the blueprint. I'll add a comment about how success should be measured, though: in addition to how things look on July 31, and then of course as the post-season passes, I'll be looking later on to how the Rule-5 Draft plays out. If we lose a couple of prospects, with a shrug of the shoulders to mean "hey, we can't add all our prospects to the 40-man, right?", it will invite scrutiny over the previous trade deadline. Best, then, to err on the side of slight overpays in trade - "you can't take it with you", so to speak. Just want to get that out there, so that it isn't 20/20 hindsight later on.
  24. ashbury
    Best Free Agent Signing: Nelson Cruz
  25. ashbury
    The problem is also that Schoop just is not a fast baserunner. You have to give him time to score. Buxton's speed actually worked against him and was part of the problem here - if Cron had tried that, the ball would have reached 3rd base just as quickly, but Cron would not have been tagged out until Schoop (who wasn't hustling, to my eye) made it home. "Don't make the first or third out at third base" is usually a decent rule of thumb anyway. Buxton can score on essentially any single. Being on third with two outs gives him a shot if there's a WP/PB, but it's just not that valuable, compared to the risk of NOT EVEN SCORING SCHOOP'S RUN. That's the kind of bonehead play I would have made*, back in my slow-pitch or vintage-ball day. Thinking you've found an edge, instead giving the opponent one last shot at salvaging the situation. * Harsh criticism of anyone, I know. Sorry, Byron, not sorry.
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