Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

ashbury

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    42,492

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    471

 Content Type 

Profiles

News

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospects Ranking

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

Minnesota Twins Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Pick Tracker

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Tracker: Picks & Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    This time of the year, don't waivers operate across MLB, in reverse order of 2013 record, and not league-first?
  2. ashbury
    I'll go Nishioka Money.
  3. ashbury
    That was 2012. In 2011 they signed Nishio-... wait, weren't we talking about 2014?
  4. ashbury
    Also Mozart, Einstein, Da Vinci, and Neil Armstrong. The five tools, apparently: write music think up equations draw real good fly real high play baseball
  5. ashbury
    In practice, it's probably rare for a front office to try to do it in terms of years, and somewhat more common to do it in terms of weeks or a few months to avoid hitting a particular threshold of service time a year earlier than necessary. This only happens on players they think will have multi-year careers. And with the very top echelon player they have to be careful not to build up resentment that manifests itself later on in major contract negotiations.
  6. ashbury
    No photos of Larry Casian on hand?
  7. ashbury
    http://miscbaseball.wordpress.com/2010/02/22/rod-carews-seven-steals-of-home-in-1969/ : Box score (April 19, 1969): http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/MIN/MIN196904190.shtml Looks as though it only tied the score, and then they won it in the bottom of the 9th, this time because Killer did take the bat off his shoulder to drive in Uhlaender. Box score (April 19, 1969): http://www.baseball-reference.com/boxes/MIN/MIN196904190.shtml
  8. ashbury
    All the stats on the back of his baseball card count. But if you are trying to use his 2013 season at age 23 to forecast what's to come, I think he (more than most) deserves a closer look. I've posted this before, but it gives me comfort to review it again. By my reading of his game log, there was a six week stretch starting in late April where his OPS was almost .700. Not bad for that age. Then he got hurt and was out three weeks. When he came back, he seemed to pick up where he left off and posted OPS above .800 for a couple of weeks. After the All Star break he was really terrible at bat, and I believe it was said he had some physical issues again sometime before being sent to AAA after July. Because he had been clearly getting himself out, the first two weeks in April, and then had a bizarre week right after that where his OBP was .476 based on top of a .167 BA, presumably having adjusted to the pitchers' approach to him, the start and end of his season combined for horrifying numbers. If that's cherry picking, so be it, but the Small Sample Size of 29 games where he stunk was smaller than the Small Sample Size of 52 games where he was a useful major league player. He still, to me, has fantastic promise.
  9. ashbury
    I don't think it was anything quite as simple as those. At the time there was a perceived oversupply of young starters, and in dealing from strength they opted to get the maximum in return they felt they could, and that meant dealing Garza. My opinion at the time was they had it backwards, and he was the one to not trade, even if the return would be less, but then again I don't have access to internal scouting reports, and my personal crystal ball is pretty much of a random number generator that happened to be right the one time.
  10. ashbury
    It's a game of musical chairs, except that at some stages of the game there are more players than chairs, and at other times there are more chairs than players, and everyone's blindfolded (yes even the chairs) and never quite sure of the exact layout.
  11. ashbury
    I haven't read the BP article either. The audiocast is interesting, as a Twins specialist giving some national podcast guys a more in-depth lowdown on the organization; I'd be hard pressed to disagree with anything he said. "I heard a lot of words, but I didn't hear really a prediction." Maybe the funniest line, from one of the hosts.
  12. ashbury
    So far I haven't noticed the difference.
  13. ashbury
    The press release sounds optimistic in its prognosis and I will hope for even better than that.
  14. ashbury
    OK. As Brian said, it's fine, if your questions were sincere. Hopefully the answers have been clear.
  15. ashbury
    While my example was a bit of a strawman to make a point, I would say from watching colleagues in the business world that if you aren't careful about how you define success then the people charged with achieving that success can be awfully creative about how they get there and you can end up with unwanted long-term results as they pursue their career objectives via short-term activities.
  16. ashbury
    OK, seriously, are you just playing around here? The related issues you've raised are interesting, but the previous two have already been answered from the perspective of moderation, and this one is clearly the same. If you were to raise a serious topic in a new thread, you can expect the moderators to use discretion and allow sufficient leeway to discuss it like adults. If you abuse this leeway, or post in every thread "wah, teh Poladzes are teh cheap!", then expect the discretion to be used in the other direction.
  17. ashbury
    And in particular, if you feel a topic hasn't been examined sufficiently, starting a new thread about it is a way to guarantee that at least your opinions will be relevant. I can imagine the mods needing to delete a thread if it violates the other standards such as minimal respect, but in practice I can't remember the last time I even debated internally whether a new thread required moderator action. (Except commercial Spam, not an issue here.)
  18. ashbury
    We could probably achieve that by trading Buxton/Sano/Meyer for established players in the final year of their contracts who intend to explore free agency no matter what. Would 88 wins that way be success? I'm not in favor of any single metric - as a previous poster stated, I'd like to see progress in multiple directions at once, while keeping any backsliding to a minimum. Appreciably closer to a .500 record, with yet more additions to the talent pipeline, will suit me.
  19. ashbury
    Moderator's note: please avoid characterizing groups of TD posters. Few have opinions in lockstep with one another, but this kind of thing leads to increasingly polarized arguments for no reason.
  20. ashbury
    I take this as a hope that the bottom-feeding days are nearly behind us. A player of borderline value to another team being the guy we need? I hope not, and soon!
  21. ashbury
    Strikeouts by themselves don't bother me. Houston's hitters led the league in that stat, KC's hitters had the fewest; both teams posted OPS+ of under 90. The teams that led the league in OPS were generally in the middle of the pack in strikeouts. I'm more interested in what the hitters do when they put the ball in play.
  22. ashbury
    I thought about taking that tack as well, using approximate trade value as a metric, for constructing a list to share. The same thought process as yours led me to put Meyer third. OTOH, I think you have to be a little careful - or maybe I should say, more thorough than to look at just any one trade candidate. With our big-three being comped in another thread with the likes of Trout/Cabrera/Verlander, it's such a broad range of skill sets that trade value will depend greatly on the specifics of whom you're trading to. In general, I wouldn't expect another GM to trade us a young but established ace for an even younger pitcher who holds out that promise but hasn't demonstrated it yet at the MLB level. And I wouldn't expect to trade Buxton for a Trout, nor Sano for Machado. So the trade value for any of our prospects needs to be blended over the broader universe of possible targets. I also quickly decided that this metric only makes much sense for evaluation when looking at the top prospects in our organization. Which player would gain more value in trade, Mason Melotakis or Dalton Hicks? I have no idea! So I doubt I'll construct a list after all. It wouldn't be any kind of independent opinion, just some more group-think as mentioned in another thread elsewhere.
  23. ashbury
    In 2017 when the Twins start blowing out the opponents these out of towners will not go?
  24. ashbury
    So have their fans, going by the legendary 0.0 Nielsen rating for one of the games last season. http://sports.yahoo.com/blogs/mlb-big-league-stew/astros-drew-0-0-tv-rating-sunday-houston-215342880--mlb.html
  25. ashbury
    If you pick bats the same way, you can wind up with Joe Benson.
×
×
  • Create New...