Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

ashbury

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    42,576

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    473

 Content Type 

Profiles

Minnesota Twins News, Rumors & Analysis

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospect Rankings

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Minnesota Twins Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Minnesota Twins Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    What do we win? / and to anticipate the smartalecks: "nothing so far, we're 0-7"
  2. ashbury
    I'll say it a different way, for anybody with an engineering background: endpoints have a defining impact on a solution.
  3. ashbury
    Sure, because you have to poke around in the stats to find a correct combination of 7 games that gives you the 3-4 you want. Those combinations are far less rare than 0-7, but by doing so one has still corrupted the random-data assumption that underlies a statistical approach.
  4. ashbury
    Also not the meat of this (excellent) article, but: "CERTAINTY ALWAYS ENGENDERS OUTRAGE."
  5. ashbury
    I agree and want to say more. It's not just the baseline. Cherry picking is always a risk when looking at subsets of stats. A mid-season losing streak is cherry picked, in the sense that the start date and end date are chosen after the fact. Every such streak is preceded by a win, and also followed by a win, except at the beginning or ending of a season. Thus we're talking about a 2-7 stretch of games, and 0-7 is how it's expressed to make it sound worse. Not so, here. The starting date for a season is also arbitrary in a sense, but is the time when we tell our team, "OK, show us whatcha got". So far, they've shown no wins. We don't actually know what result would have occurred if the league had started playing for keeps a day earlier - maybe we'd have an 8 game losing streak on our hands, and that is never true for midseason 0-7 streaks, as explained above. We also don't know for sure how long this streak will go. Maybe we'll be 0-8 after today, maybe not. That is likewise not the case for cherry-picked 0-7 streaks. So this situation is almost surely worse than garden variety 0-7 streaks. Which might be why I see written (I haven't checked independently) that there have been postseason-bound teams that go 0-7 at some point in the season, but none that have gone 0-7 out of the gate.
  6. ashbury
    I"ll pile on with the kudos. Never stop, Cody.
  7. ashbury
    A nice followup/rebuttal is summarized here. What is painful is this observation: "The author of the piece... crafts a fairly persuasive argument. At least, to the eyes of a non-lawyer." I plead guilty, Your Honor. Oh well, it was a fun idea.
  8. ashbury
    Hey Van, any truth the rumor the Twins won't be serving beer from bottles at Target Field this season? I heard the team lost the Opener.
  9. ashbury
    The panel would also have accepted "Yeah, well, you know, that's just like, uh, your opinion, man."
  10. ashbury
    Now that I've already hung up, is it too late to order a pizza? If so, then I guess I'll ask another question. I saw on StubHub two Twins tickets for $40 each. Is that enough money for him to give me to take the tickets off his hands or should I hold out for more?
  11. ashbury
    Wait, I left out a step. What could we get in trade for Buxton? What if we threw in Sano as a sweetener?
  12. ashbury
    First time listener, long time caller. Thanks for taking my call. I'll hang up and listen.
  13. ashbury
    365-1305 for a .280 BA in 2015, compared to a .227 BA with bases empty. Were you lobbying for a contract extension for Ryan after last season, based on these clutch results?
  14. ashbury
    Enjoy the game, Brock. I be outta here.
  15. ashbury
    We need to move that foul pole deeper into fair territory.
  16. ashbury
    While pondering an answer to your question I missed how a Sox runner got to third. Thanks a lot.
  17. ashbury
    Common sense, Mike, common sense. Game talk is encouraged here. Sweeping generalizations can go find an appropriate thread in the other Forum areas. A post about the lineup can definitely be fair game in a game thread.
  18. ashbury
    Go see Zootopia.
  19. ashbury
    Sano snares one on the run for an out.
  20. ashbury
    First pitch, 3:17. We're underway, and have an out already. Circus Boy Update #1.
  21. ashbury
    As http://site.mansionathletics.com/lib/0094/InsetImages/Big-League-Portable-Bat-Cage-Black-0.jpg As a token of the extreme admiration major league ballplayers have for this umpire, story goes that some wit taped a label saying "Joe West" on a batting cage one spring training not too far back.
  22. ashbury
    http://4.bp.blogspot.com/-p2muYFceOLI/UjH0cu_nl_I/AAAAAAAARoY/SjDDOczV3wg/s200/Bones+Drug+Journey+2.png You! What PLANET is this?!
  23. ashbury
    Not according to Bluto.
  24. ashbury
    To give your question the serious consideration it deserves, I am actually in the opposite camp to what you stated. It exists if the transmission occurs, regardless of whether anyone or anything is inclined to receive it. Much like a TV broadcast of a 2013 Houston Astros game.
  25. ashbury
    .
×
×
  • Create New...