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21bdp21

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Everything posted by 21bdp21

  1. 21bdp21
    I didn't have time to complete this. My mother in law is visting. and I have to spend time with my wife and her mom and not make spreadsheets about baseball...... But here is the start of the spreadsheet to have the empirically best bang for the buck team. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1frtQvthYaCH_PH7QanX8kHO5K64HjEgDzm3XXfueEoo/edit?usp=sharing
  2. 21bdp21
    I do want to say that DJ Lemeihui was injured for the back end of last year and was playing with a broken foot.
  3. 21bdp21
    He's won half of all Batting titles by catchers in league history
  4. 21bdp21
    It wasn't a steel but remember Morneau's concussion was an impact at 2nd base.
  5. 21bdp21
    This looks like a perfect time to post this spread sheet I made. It's a little out of date made it last off season I think. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1_fIMrnEV8x44_GeHX-kDq4d4rqoCuTll/edit?usp=drivesdk&ouid=113796250486978022042&rtpof=true&sd=true
  6. 21bdp21
    buy out and drop Sano Obviously pay Grey (or extend) Buy out Bundy, then sign him at less than 11 mil maybe 5 or 6, worse case scenario he is an opener that will pitch 1-3 innings and then let the real starter get 5-7 innings.
  7. 21bdp21
    Trout and Buxton in the OF and Ohtani pitching and DHing, WS HERE WE COME. I would add Kepler, Martin, Sano, Cave, Celestino and a couple more. Angles get 3 players capable of CF since they are loosing there CF. Throw in a couple of high upside low flow pitching prospects from the lower minors and some cash and I think we can get this done. Trout would have to wave his no trade clause to come her. I would move Trout off of CF when Buxton is playing, this should help with his own wear and tear. The rotation of Ohtani, Ryan, Gray, ???, should be good enough for the Playoffs don't need all five of the rotation for that. Maeda would be another Japanese player in the dugout and bull pen that may be an advantage in getting Ohtani to stick around. If we can keep Correa for the next 2 years with Miranda at 3rd and Kirilloff at 1st and Polanco at 2nd, and Arraez as SU that would be one heck of a Team.
  8. 21bdp21
    okay so we can get Ohtani???? LETS DO IT,
  9. 21bdp21
    Sometimes you have to just pick a number as a starting point. 100 is a nice round number and accounts for about 4-5 10 day IL visits with Rocco's generous rest day policy. 81 would be half the games 100 games is roughly 62% of games. I know both parties would love more, but somewhere to start.
  10. 21bdp21
    I am in the position that IF the Twins extend Correa to say 8 year 240mil contract or what ever it is. Than either you trade Lewis for a haul OR you need push someone else out to make room for him and trade the other guy. The thing is if others believe Lewis is a SS and will be a good SS long term his trade value might be better as a trade piece than an above average 3B or a skilled outfielder which are easier to come across.
  11. 21bdp21
    And with the 8th pick the MN Twins pick a slugging college hitter below average fielding 1B.
  12. 21bdp21
    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/19VfDcfllzN6AsgZouf829ldQ9eO3ZGRU/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=113796250486978022042&rtpof=true&sd=true As of good time as ever to post a spread sheet I made about Pick performance.
  13. 21bdp21
    The only issue I have with this deal is it is essentially 1 year 35.1 mil. We will need a SS next year and if Lewis isn't the one we are in a bind again.
  14. 21bdp21
    Probably because 11 games is only 6.7% of a season so say you get 5% less out of a team than expected that would be a hair over 8 games worse. So even with worse pitching and some downgrades I would expect what happened is last year was a lot worse than expected so you have some reversion to mean performance and last years team did a lot worse than expected and we lost Berios and Cruz at the trade deadline so it isn't as if we had the whole team the entire year.
  15. 21bdp21
    Catcher is a lot tougher on the body than 3rd..
  16. 21bdp21
    Having Pick #1 is a clear advantage https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/19VfDcfllzN6AsgZouf829ldQ9eO3ZGRU/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=113796250486978022042&rtpof=true&sd=true
  17. 21bdp21
    What % of players ever get to the level of Nick Gordon? I would argue that he is another example of father son combos, Just shows us how hard it is to get to the show. Also Kiriloff is the son of an ex-Pirates scout. Which while not a pro player he also runs Language of Hitting.
  18. 21bdp21
    Younger brothers/siblings tend to do really well if not excede their older siblings. (https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-are-great-athletes-more-likely-to-be-the-younger-siblings/) However, I wonder if this trend really applies to children of professional athletes. Although they have there own advantages. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/mlb-is-increasingly-a-father-son-game/
  19. 21bdp21
    No, he is boarder line hall of very good. He had 2 AS appearances over 19 years with only one year of WAR over 4 (4.5). He was durable yes and played average offence over his career with good defense. Now I am not necessarily a small hall kind of guy, but even for a big hall he doesn't make the cut. For reference AJ career 23.8 WAR in 19 years Yadier Molina 42.1 WAR in 18 years Joe Mauer 55.2WAR in 15 years
  20. 21bdp21
    Gotta mix in MoneyBall to watch the Twins win an postseason game also.
  21. 21bdp21
    Hall of very very good borderline hall of Fame. If hall of fame it's for fielding.
  22. 21bdp21
    I did some digging on baseball reference. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/19VfDcfllzN6AsgZouf829ldQ9eO3ZGRU/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=113796250486978022042&rtpof=true&sd=true It appears the # 1 pick is roughly worth twice what the #5 pick in terms of WAR. In addition is roughly has a 20% increase in odds of making the major leagues. I am still compiling data and eventually I will maybe might do an blog post here on what I find.
  23. 21bdp21
    Dylan Neuse excites me, with an older brother in the Dodgers system that gives me hope for the younger see article listed below. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-are-great-athletes-more-likely-to-be-the-younger-siblings/
  24. 21bdp21
    From what was said about the last offer it wasn't the base garmented salary that Buxton balked at. It was the incentive package, Base of 14/y with a total of 35-40 with incentives would get the job done.
  25. 21bdp21
    If I were Chapman it could have been worse. Donaldson and Cruz are some of the best in the game.
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