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21bdp21

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Everything posted by 21bdp21

  1. If I had to choose cities I would do the following. Montreal Portland OR Vancouver. Personally I would choose Vancouver give Canada 3 total teams. Also that might be more palatable for the Mariners as it would be different country. Although the Seattle Sounders FC and the Portland Timbers have a great rivalry. Las Vegas Charlette Than San Antonio/Austin Texas could use another team by its size. Then move: The A's to San Jose OR Sacramento. Separate them from the Giants and tap into one of those other large markets. I would choose Sacramento over San Jose as it is slightly farther away and isn't on the Bay. San Jose is also connected to San Fran Via train so its more likely to feed to the Giants.
  2. Created a forum post for expansion talks: https://twinsdaily.com/forums/topic/54638-mlb-expansion/
  3. 1) Should the MLB Expand? 2) Where would it expand too? Making this thread as a better place to discus a MLB expansion instead of the comments of CBA talk. Previous discussion was here: https://twinsdaily.com/forums/topic/54575-new-cba-whats-good-for-the-game/page/5/
  4. I agree per person income is important. I would still put Mexico City and 1 or 2 Mexico teams as contenders because of the sheer number of people. When you have 20mil (Mexico City) you probably still have enough people who are able to buy swag and go to games to make it worth wile. 1)Also yes move the A's to San Jose, spread the love and the $$$ 2/3) Right now there are 30 teams. If you add 2 teams to get 4 div of 4 in each league I like the choices that were made. I think there are 3-4 really good places in the US and Canada for new expansion teams though. If you add 6 teams there could be 3 6 team divisions per league, but that seams like alot.
  5. So because I could I looked up the top 50 Metro Areas in North America, ignoring any outside Canada, USA, and Mexico. I then Figured out how far away they were from the closest MLB team. Here is what I found. Metropolitan area Country Population Has Team Closet Team Distance Mexico City Mexico 20892724 N Houston 750 Guadalajara Mexico 4887383 N Houston 800 Monterrey Mexico 4689601 N Houston 420 Montreal Canada Canada 4045877 N Boston 250 Puebla Mexico 2941988 N Houston 750 Vancouver Canada Canada 2509942 N Seattle 120 Charlotte United States 2426363 N Atlanta 230 Portland United States 2389228 N Seattle 140 Orlando United States 2387138 N Tampa Bay 80 San Antonio United States 2384075 N Houston 190 Sacramento United States 2274194 N San Francisco 80 Toluca Mexico 2202886 N Houston 770 San Juan Puerto Rico Puerto Rico 2196538 N Miami 1000 Las Vegas United States 2114801 N Las Angeles 220 Columbus United States 2021632 N Cleveland/Cincinnati 100 Austin United States 2000860 N Houston 100 Indianapolis United States 1988817 N Cincinnati 150 San Jose United States 1976836 N San Francisco 45 Tijuana Mexico 1840710 N San Diego 15 Notes: -Mexico City, Puebla, and Toluca are all really close to each other. -The Houston Asterisks might suffer the most here. -I am not sure that Ohio could support a third team. -Same goes to the Bay area with 2 teams within 80 miles -Orlando will not happen because of Tampa, although I could see a move if Orlando built a stadium for the Rays.
  6. The mariners would fight tooth and nail to prevent either a Vancouver or a Portland team. I would add some teams in Mexico also. I personally am pro expansion.
  7. Also as stated before NFL teams are all but guaranteed to sell out every game they play at home. So ticket sales should be about even. Also basically every game is televised nationally so you have less worry about smaller tv markets. All in I would suspect NFL teams to have a much more equitable income in the first place meaning revenue sharing is less of a burden.
  8. I would say probably not. There are probably markets that could support a team. However, the question is also does the talent pool support more markets. There are enough first basemen and corner outfielders, second basemen, that the caliber of the average team at those positions probably wouldn't change. However, are there enough playable short stops, CF, and starting pitchers. Or will even more teams be full of 3-5 pitchers now with the top teams still having the same amount of high caliber arms. To extend on this point the avg price of pitching and high demand position players would increase. So even if a market could support a team with the current costs would those same markets be able to support the new higher cost of players?
  9. What % of players ever get to the level of Nick Gordon? I would argue that he is another example of father son combos, Just shows us how hard it is to get to the show. Also Kiriloff is the son of an ex-Pirates scout. Which while not a pro player he also runs Language of Hitting.
  10. Younger brothers/siblings tend to do really well if not excede their older siblings. (https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-are-great-athletes-more-likely-to-be-the-younger-siblings/) However, I wonder if this trend really applies to children of professional athletes. Although they have there own advantages. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/mlb-is-increasingly-a-father-son-game/
  11. Actually they are Barry Bonds just his first 13 years prior to when we think he started (again never tested +) using PEDs.
  12. I thought it would be fun to take out the name and fame from players and see if they would be a HOFer. Here are the Stats Career length 13 years BA .289 OBP .408 SLG .557 OPS .965 AVG OPS+ 163 WAR 99.9 8X AS 3X MVP, 5X 2-10 in MVP voting and 12th in MVP voting once 8x GG 7X SS 411 HR (Averaged 31.5/year) Led the League in HR 1X, BB 5X, OBP 4X, SLG 3X, OPS+ 4X.
  13. The thing is Barry Bonds should already be in the HOF. The cancerous is he supposedly (never tested positive) started using PED's after the '98 season. In Bond's first 13 years of playing is stats look like: BA .289 OBP .408 SLG .557 OPS .965 AVG OPS+ 163 WAR 99.9 8X AS 3X MVP, 5X 2-10 in MVP voting and 12th in MVP voting once 8x GG 7X SS 411 HR (Averaged 31.5/year) Led the League in HR 1X, BB 5X, OBP 4X, SLG 3X, OPS+ 4X. If you gave that resume to a HOF voter and said hey should Jon Doe be in the HOF. The answer would be yes.
  14. No, he is boarder line hall of very good. He had 2 AS appearances over 19 years with only one year of WAR over 4 (4.5). He was durable yes and played average offence over his career with good defense. Now I am not necessarily a small hall kind of guy, but even for a big hall he doesn't make the cut. For reference AJ career 23.8 WAR in 19 years Yadier Molina 42.1 WAR in 18 years Joe Mauer 55.2WAR in 15 years
  15. Gotta mix in MoneyBall to watch the Twins win an postseason game also.
  16. Hall of very very good borderline hall of Fame. If hall of fame it's for fielding.
  17. I did some digging on baseball reference. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/19VfDcfllzN6AsgZouf829ldQ9eO3ZGRU/edit?usp=sharing&ouid=113796250486978022042&rtpof=true&sd=true It appears the # 1 pick is roughly worth twice what the #5 pick in terms of WAR. In addition is roughly has a 20% increase in odds of making the major leagues. I am still compiling data and eventually I will maybe might do an blog post here on what I find.
  18. Dylan Neuse excites me, with an older brother in the Dodgers system that gives me hope for the younger see article listed below. https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-are-great-athletes-more-likely-to-be-the-younger-siblings/
  19. From what was said about the last offer it wasn't the base garmented salary that Buxton balked at. It was the incentive package, Base of 14/y with a total of 35-40 with incentives would get the job done.
  20. I would do 7 years 15M a year garneted. This would get the base value over 100M. Then provide LOTS of incentives. Make it stupid easy to hit 20M. So say 5M per 40 games played. So if he plays 120 games he would get 30M. That would put him up with Trout. Than throw a couple more incentives in for benchmarks and goal posts for a max yearly value of 40ish M. This would be a min value of 115mil with a max value of 280M more likely Buxton would hit 20-25 mil a year easily. so it would be 140-175M.
  21. If I were Chapman it could have been worse. Donaldson and Cruz are some of the best in the game.
  22. Automate the f-ing strikezone.
  23. I defiently misremembered the math on that deal I was trying to use that number. I guess I just had the 7 in my head.
  24. Agreed, from what I heard it seamed that the incentives where the sticking point. I do not mind if the base salary is 7 mil a year. However, have some quick incesntives to get to the 15-20 a year range.
  25. It will all come down to the base salary and the incentives. I believe they should include both games played and performance incentives. With a max of 40mil a year. If he checks all the boxes and gets 40 mil thats cool he deserves it.
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