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ThejacKmp

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Everything posted by ThejacKmp

  1. ThejacKmp
    Tell that to Ben Revere!
  2. ThejacKmp
    June 7th. Only 5 games out. June 7th. This team is not just Escobar and Rosario. Dozier, Sano, and Buxton are eminently capable of an extended nuclear explosion. Mauer and Polanco will be back relatively soon. Morrison and Grossman seem to be getting over their funks. We can hope for a bit of help for Garver. Sano still has all the potential in the world!
  3. ThejacKmp
    It's a risk reward thing. Let's say the Twins offer him a 6 year $72 million contract. He's got to think about it right? And $12 million sounds like a lot (you can change it to $15 or $10 if you think that's more reasonable) but the Twins have minimal salary commitments and that number isn't crazy for a good defensive CF who has a .650 OPS (seems pretty doable with BABIP going up). And there's the potential for getting an all-star. Buxton is exactly the guy I'm going to for an extension. You're going to get a deal and the reward is huge.
  4. ThejacKmp
    http://www.thesportsbank.net/core/wp-content/uploads/2012/01/prince-fielder-kid.jpg Pretty sure Prince Fielder was always pretty hefty. His dad thickened up pretty quick too. I don't see how weight has anything to do with hitting. I'd get it if Sano was terrible at 3B or was hitting balls off the wall and getting thrown out at 2B. But it's just hitting. Weight shouldn't matter.
  5. ThejacKmp
    True. Or the Twins are smart and offer him a big extension this offseason. And you get those age 28-21 years on the cheap.
  6. ThejacKmp
    Do you think that Miguel Sano's performance in the field has slipped? I've seen nothing like that. He's the same marginal baserunner he always was. For hitting, weight doesn't matter (to a point obviously, a 500 pound guy would struggle). You think Fielder would have hit 65 homeruns if he'd been 50 pounds lighter? Is there any aspect of Sano's swing that you think is weight related? I can see saying that the career might be shorter due to weight on knees. That's not something we're worried about with Sano now. This is about performance at 25. Weight has nothing to do with it.
  7. ThejacKmp
    Nope. Cecil Fielder. Prince Fielder. David Wells. Big Papi. Bartolo Colon. CC Sabathia. Baseball is not like other sports. Many positions involve little prolonged running. You can either hit a ball or you can't. Michael Jordan struggled in AA. Lebron James would too. It's an entirely different beast. If you're going to say that Sano's performance is based on health, then you need to prove it. It's not on me to disprove it - I'm pointing to the many successful fatties in MLB.
  8. ThejacKmp
    A month ago the Dodgers were one of the two or three worst teams in baseball. Now most people expect them to win their division. I repeat. We must chill. Also, there's not that much to sell. Dozier is underperforming, Mauer is hurt and the franchise, Santana is hurt, Lynn has to rebuild value, the pen is mostly under control for next year or is not something that gets great value. No reason to sell. We must chill.
  9. ThejacKmp
    All players naturally lose their speed and defensive coverage; Father Time is undefeated. I think the concept is that Buxton will continue to develop other skills as he gets older. He is 24. He is in no way a finished product. He won’t have the range in three years but he’ll take better routes. He won’t have the raw basestealing speed but he’ll be better at reading pitchers. Randy Moss has nothing to do with Byron Buxton. Sometimes an analogy springs to mind but then it should be suppressed. This is one of those. Ragging on Sano for weight is tired schtick.
  10. ThejacKmp
    This is pretty outrageously negative, even for TD message boards. Buxton is 24 years old. 24. He may have had 1074 PA at the MLB level but he still has time to develop. He has raked at every level of the minors (and the majors for two months last year) and it hasn't been because he's got a lot of infield hits. He's in no way who he will be at this point in time. Suggesting it seems willfully focused on raining on an already dismal parade. Let's take a big deep breath and let this thing play out. Buxton will be better than this, we just need to wait.
  11. ThejacKmp
    I think there are two big things with Sano. 1.) His strikeout rate has jumped to the "oh crap" levels. That's hopefully a matter of comfort or adjustment but that's the part to be worried about. 2.) His BABIP is phenomenally low. Maybe he's making worse contact but I haven't seen that. I expect that will normalize as the sample gets larger.
  12. ThejacKmp
    I can't give you anything from Buxton but I can say that the guy is 24. There are lots of athletes who struggled with injuries early in their career before figuring it out. Steph Curry jumps to mind. Some of that is their body getting stronger as they fully mature. Some of it is figuring out how to take care of their body to maintain a consistently high performance. A guy being injury-prone early doesn't mean he always will be.
  13. ThejacKmp
    I think it matters when it comes to playing basketball. I think it matters when running the bases. But it doesn't really matter when you're hitting a baseball. Cecil Fielder wouldn't have been any better at hitting a baseball if he was a trim 180lbs. Same thing with Big Papi. The issue is his ability to identify and react to what pitchers are doing. His weight plays no role in that. I also think we look at Sano and say "He's fat, therefore he's out of shape." That's an assumption, not a fact. Body sizes and shapes change as people get older (I know this all too well sadly) and that doesn't mean that Sano is out of shape. I haven't seen him be any worse in the field (maybe the defensive metrics will disagree) and he's the same running the bases by the eye test (he's just not running or trotting them enough).
  14. ThejacKmp
    It's June 7th. We must chill.
  15. ThejacKmp
    I was gonna go D. Nik Turley but his terrible game wasn't until his second game. Though the first was not ideal.
  16. ThejacKmp
    What if they drafted a future three-time MVP in the 29th round and a future Cy Young winner in the 34th? Then this will be a great day in Twins baseball!
  17. ThejacKmp
    Also they're only five games out. We really shouldn't be so gloom and doom. Buxton and Sano are capable of hot stretches. So is Dozier and Polanco and Mauer should be back at some point. I'll give up in early-to-mid August and not before.
  18. ThejacKmp
    I've never heard anything that says that guys who are heavier strikeout more. Sano has been acceptable in the field and that's where you would see the weight matter most. I'm pretty sick of the Sano-is-too-fat-and-it-shows-he's-lazy-and-doesn't-care obsession. He's just not hitting. That's the problem. The power's fallen off but not that much - it's mainly the average. The strikeouts explain some of that but a big chunk of it is his BABIP has dropped like crazy. Maybe that's luck, maybe that's approach.
  19. ThejacKmp
    Jon Olsen? C'mon Twins. That name is so boring it doesn't even bother with the h in John.
  20. ThejacKmp
    My big hope is that they draft some guys with great names.
  21. ThejacKmp
    1.) I think the pace has already picked up, see above. He's been catching most games of late. This points to injuries being less of a concern than "Is he ready to be a full-time guy or should we ease him in a bit." 2.) There is no indication that catchers who catch more games suddenly end up on the DL in August/September. Realmuto, Zuzino and Posey didn't end up on the DL. You've made a pretty bold claim and have nothing to back it up. Garver is pretty young and he doesn't have the MiLB catching mileage on him that any of these other guys did. It won't be injury that stops him, it'll be inexperience.
  22. ThejacKmp
    Buster Posey did. Realmuto did. Russell Martin did. If you eliminate the injury-shortened 2004, Mauer did between 2003 and 2005 (and that's coming off a knee injury in 2005)
  23. ThejacKmp
    I would guess almost every catcher since minor league seasons are often much shorter - 20 to 40 games. Stands to reason many catchers would catch more in the bigs than in the minors. I don't think it's a matter of being extremely more likely to break down, I think it's just the day-in-day-out things that go into being a catcher: knowing batters, learning the game plan, dealing with the minor injuries from the day before. Garver may not have been ready to be effective as an everyday catcher yet and will need to phase up to that. He has been catching more often in the last two weeks (2/3 DET, 2/3 SEA, 2/3 KC, 2/4 CLE) than he was previously. He'll catch 2/4 of this Chicago series but that's due to the double header creating two day games. I'd be surprised if he wasn't catching 2/3 and 3/4 of the remaining games.
  24. ThejacKmp
    I always find the rankings sites overrated. It's not about where everyone sees a guy, it's about where you see them and where another team sees them. You obviously shouldn't reach to get a guy but if you want him and you know another team values him a similar amount, you gotta move. I'm not sure if it's the best thing or the worst thing about the MLB draft but it's really hard to get worked up about it like you can for the NBA and NFL. Who knows how good these guys will be? Lewis could crap out in AA and we'll flip the narrative again. And then he could become a shutdown reliever and we'd flop once more.
  25. ThejacKmp
    Yeah 2020 sounds right. Thanks for the write-up Seth. Not to nitpick too much but it is tail not tale. Unless the batters are telling stories about his changeup. Which could be true.
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