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ThejacKmp

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Everything posted by ThejacKmp

  1. I think it matters when it comes to playing basketball. I think it matters when running the bases. But it doesn't really matter when you're hitting a baseball. Cecil Fielder wouldn't have been any better at hitting a baseball if he was a trim 180lbs. Same thing with Big Papi. The issue is his ability to identify and react to what pitchers are doing. His weight plays no role in that. I also think we look at Sano and say "He's fat, therefore he's out of shape." That's an assumption, not a fact. Body sizes and shapes change as people get older (I know this all too well sadly) and that doesn't mean that Sano is out of shape. I haven't seen him be any worse in the field (maybe the defensive metrics will disagree) and he's the same running the bases by the eye test (he's just not running or trotting them enough).
  2. It's June 7th. We must chill.
  3. I was gonna go D. Nik Turley but his terrible game wasn't until his second game. Though the first was not ideal.
  4. What if they drafted a future three-time MVP in the 29th round and a future Cy Young winner in the 34th? Then this will be a great day in Twins baseball!
  5. I think it's semantics and a lay person talking about the vagueries of health care terms. Doctors draw a line between concussions and concussion symptoms but to Joe, it's all the same. It's like if you're tripping on acid vs. having an acid flashback - you're seeing weird things either way, what does it really matter to you? But to a doctor, it affects treatment. When has Joe lied about his health? He had a weird think in his leg and as a private guy, didn't talk about it a lot. Also not in his interest (or the Twins) to be forthcoming about injuries - Belichek has made an art of this in the NFL. The press blew it up because of the contract he'd signed and because it's the press and that's what it does. Concussions are a weird thing. Doctors know less about the brain than any other part of the body. Some guys can take blows to the head and be relatively fine and some can't. Symptoms linger and get triggered by weird things - my brother has had a number of concussions and avoids driving more than 15 minutes at night because the headlights can give him problems. Non-story to me.
  6. Also they're only five games out. We really shouldn't be so gloom and doom. Buxton and Sano are capable of hot stretches. So is Dozier and Polanco and Mauer should be back at some point. I'll give up in early-to-mid August and not before.
  7. I've never heard anything that says that guys who are heavier strikeout more. Sano has been acceptable in the field and that's where you would see the weight matter most. I'm pretty sick of the Sano-is-too-fat-and-it-shows-he's-lazy-and-doesn't-care obsession. He's just not hitting. That's the problem. The power's fallen off but not that much - it's mainly the average. The strikeouts explain some of that but a big chunk of it is his BABIP has dropped like crazy. Maybe that's luck, maybe that's approach.
  8. Jon Olsen? C'mon Twins. That name is so boring it doesn't even bother with the h in John.
  9. My big hope is that they draft some guys with great names.
  10. You don't trade Sano because you're very likely to be trading low. And because the weight issues are mostly a media overreaction. And because he's only 25 years old. The same people screaming "Trade Sano" will be complaining if he turns into another Big Papi. Anyways, the Marlins likely don't want Sano, he's about to get more expensive and doesn't fit their timeline. They want prospects they can control for awhile. Realmuto is a good catcher but he's not that good and the price he'll command is outrageous. The Marlins have no need to trade him unless they get blown away so that price isn't dropping - it's never bad for a team to hold onto a veteran catcher when they're bringing up youths. The Twins have Castro and Garver next year and that should be good. Shop in the one-year bargain bin for guys like Lucroy who paper over the hole this year.
  11. I don't think that anyone thinks of Castro as a star catcher. I don't think Castro thinks of Castro as a star catcher.
  12. 1.) I think the pace has already picked up, see above. He's been catching most games of late. This points to injuries being less of a concern than "Is he ready to be a full-time guy or should we ease him in a bit." 2.) There is no indication that catchers who catch more games suddenly end up on the DL in August/September. Realmuto, Zuzino and Posey didn't end up on the DL. You've made a pretty bold claim and have nothing to back it up. Garver is pretty young and he doesn't have the MiLB catching mileage on him that any of these other guys did. It won't be injury that stops him, it'll be inexperience.
  13. Buster Posey did. Realmuto did. Russell Martin did. If you eliminate the injury-shortened 2004, Mauer did between 2003 and 2005 (and that's coming off a knee injury in 2005)
  14. I would guess almost every catcher since minor league seasons are often much shorter - 20 to 40 games. Stands to reason many catchers would catch more in the bigs than in the minors. I don't think it's a matter of being extremely more likely to break down, I think it's just the day-in-day-out things that go into being a catcher: knowing batters, learning the game plan, dealing with the minor injuries from the day before. Garver may not have been ready to be effective as an everyday catcher yet and will need to phase up to that. He has been catching more often in the last two weeks (2/3 DET, 2/3 SEA, 2/3 KC, 2/4 CLE) than he was previously. He'll catch 2/4 of this Chicago series but that's due to the double header creating two day games. I'd be surprised if he wasn't catching 2/3 and 3/4 of the remaining games.
  15. I always find the rankings sites overrated. It's not about where everyone sees a guy, it's about where you see them and where another team sees them. You obviously shouldn't reach to get a guy but if you want him and you know another team values him a similar amount, you gotta move. I'm not sure if it's the best thing or the worst thing about the MLB draft but it's really hard to get worked up about it like you can for the NBA and NFL. Who knows how good these guys will be? Lewis could crap out in AA and we'll flip the narrative again. And then he could become a shutdown reliever and we'd flop once more.
  16. Yeah 2020 sounds right. Thanks for the write-up Seth. Not to nitpick too much but it is tail not tale. Unless the batters are telling stories about his changeup. Which could be true.
  17. If you're not going to pretend that you know more than the scouts and front office, you have no place on these message boards. I say good day to you sir.
  18. Name one who was available. You keep saying they're there but don't provide a name. As stated, Carlos Gomez got a deal as a starter. He's not going to come to MN to be a 4th OF unless you give him a lot more money (like $8 million instead of $4 million) or multiple years. And even if you got him, not sure he hits much more than Grossman. This year he has a .624 OPS with a .632 OPS vs. lefties. Last year he hit .645 vs. lefties. Likely a better fielder than Grossman but Granite can do those numbers. My point is that shopping for 4th OF puts you in bargain bin territory. Good players get starting jobs or are under team control and are expensive and don't make sense for a Twins farm system relatively loaded with outfield talent.
  19. If you knock out the first three weeks of the season, Robbie Grossman has a .785 OPS and is an above-average hitter. I'm not saying that's a fair way to look at him but I think we should wait a bit longer to say he's 2017 and not 2016.
  20. They can. The Rays have a few down years from time to time but they don't ever rebuild or tear it down. The Cardinals aren't totally mid-market but they aren't the Yankees and they have been consistently competitive. I think that's a main issue: consistently competitive vs. all-in. The Cardinals showed that consistently competitive can yield some titles. The Rays showed that it can not. The Royals show that all-in can be great. The Padres, not so much.
  21. Again who? I'd like them to find a guy who throws 110 and doesn't need any rest but if I don't give you an example, I might as well be wishing for a my little pony. The 4th OF market was predictable bare this offseason. Not a lot of vets looking for any job and those that were hit LH. Hard to blame the Twins for not finding something that didn't really exist. Unless you have an idea?
  22. First of all, their window is just opening. Not time to worry about it closing. But even if it was closing: That's easier said than done. You have Buxton, Kepler, and Rosario who all are going to start. And coming up you have Kiriloff, Baddoo, Rooker, Davis, and Wade and maybe Lewis in the OF. So you’re going to have competition for 4th OF as soon as the second half of this season (Wade, Rooker). So you’re looking for someone who is an upgrade over Grossman and co. but who isn’t so good he’s going to block someone farther down the line. That’s a tough place to hit. Not to mention you’re giving up prospects to add to an area that looks to be a pretty considerable strength for the Twins going forward. Grossman isn’t amazing and LaMarre/Cave aren’t either but they’re likely a decent backup plan. You can’t anticipate all major injuries and the Twins are unlucky enough to have Mauer, Castro (Garver could have played RF) and Buxton all down at the same time. Mauer and Buck will be back soon, lightening the load for Grossman.
  23. The Twins should drop Peit and bring up Cave. They should platoon Cave and Lamarre and hope that works until Buxton is ready to come back. A righty 4th OF should be easier to grab at the deadline when teams are selling and guys welcome a trade to a contender even if it is a bit role (my hope is the Twins use the Hughes savings to take on McCutchen’s salary and get the Giants under the luxury task in exchange for a C prospect). The issue with that is it leaves you a bit short in the IF since Adrianza becomes the only backup for 2B, 3B and SS. It makes it tougher to DH Sano since an injury at 2B, SS or 3B means you either move Rosario in to 2B, try a backup catcher at 3B for an inning or two, or lose the DH. But that seems like an unlikely thing and it’s a short term thing until Polanco comes back in 25 games. Wade needs to play every day and should be up in AAA any day now. Granite never hit in the majors (.611 OPS) and doesn’t have a minor league track record that says that’s a SSS aberration (.770 at AAA, .729 at AA). Easily one of the more overrated “prospects”. I’m continually surprised he’s listed as one of MLB’s top 30 prospects. The draft should knock him off that list but his ceiling is 4th OF.
  24. Who did you want them to go get? Look at the guys who signed this offseason, there wasn't anybody. The best of the bunch was Carlos Gomez and he was able to get a starting job in Tampa so there's little chance he'd come to the Twins even if they gave him more than $4 million. The reality is that finding a 4th OF means looking at guys like Cave, Lamarre, Grossman etc. If guys are good enough to be guaranteed solid OFs, their teams don't let go of them or they take starting jobs. The Twins have done remarkably well with Grossman and LaMarre in a short sample.
  25. If you do all of the players over for the whole draft, you get Gibson at 29th in WAR. That's not too shabby. If you redid the draft with hindsight, the National would have Harper and Trout. Wow.
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