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ThejacKmp

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Everything posted by ThejacKmp

  1. ThejacKmp
    Why has Mejia only pitched nine innings this year?
  2. ThejacKmp
    LoMo making up for it.
  3. ThejacKmp
    Realmuto is two months younger than Garver. Let's not go overboard on younger. Realmuto is a free agent in 2021. Mitch Garver is a free agent in 2024. It's not all about age. It's about expense and free agency. I expect them to contend but it's not time to go all-in for a guy who isn't the final piece and who may not be a significant upgrade over the guy they have right now. How are the Twins going to make the jump from playoff contender to World Series contender? Is it by adding a catcher? I think not, that barely moves the dial. They're going to need to replace a few aging veterans (Mauer and Dozier) while building a competitive pitching staff from within (not likely to get an ace in free agency). That makes Gordon important as an option to replace Dozier and Gonsalves important as a starter with #3 potential in AAA. A 2020 pitching staff of Romero, Berrios, Gonsalves etc. is going to be way more important than having Realmuto in a contract year.
  4. ThejacKmp
    Jason Castro is not an elite hitting catcher but people are really falling victim to recency bias here with the slow start. Castro has a career OPS+ of 92. That's pretty solid for a catcher known for his defense. There's no way there are five Castros sitting in AAA. If there were, they would be in the majors soon. I think Bobby Wilson is the best argument that Jason Castros don't grow on trees.
  5. ThejacKmp
    Oh Thrylos. You crazy crazy ---___-. You want to trade Brian Dozier for Chris Hermann and a AA reliever. We'd give up an all-star second baseman and get back a bad catcher who can't make the major league roster and a lottery ticket. I vote for anyone to become GM over Thrylos. Literally anyone.
  6. ThejacKmp
    Yeah but Houston was a World Series contender that traded prospects for the piece that could put them over the top. The Twins are not even a favored Wild Card contender and by most people's view, are a year or two away from a real Championship Window. I guess the first question is "Does Realmuto make the Twins a contender?" I think few people would say Yes to that. That makes developing Garver a smarter call - especially since Gordon and Gonsalves line up better with the heart of the Twins window.
  7. ThejacKmp
    Lance Lynn has two to three weeks to step up before Santana comes back. As is, it's not a tough choice to see who goes. The tough choice is whether to try to trade him, release him or move him to the pen.
  8. ThejacKmp
    But hopefully Garver would be getting 70% of the at-bats as he showed himself. The deal with Castro was always predicated on him potentially morphing into a backup if Garver showed himself.
  9. ThejacKmp
    I just can't stomach trading 6 years of control of Gonsalves and Gordan for three years of expensive control over a guy who doesn't hit that much better than Garver (but I'd assume is a better defensive catcher). And who makes you either trade Castro for pennies on the dollar in the offseason or send Garver to AAA. Seems like giving up too much and getting too little. Especially since Lucroy would likely cost a relatively marginal prospect and let you go back to the acceptable Castro/Garver pairing for next year.
  10. ThejacKmp
    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2018/05/jason-castro-knee-surgery-six-weeks-twins.html I believe you need to compare it to other catchers?
  11. ThejacKmp
    You're ensuring a better rested Joe all year. Other than that throw, LoMo has looked good at first. Nice scoops, good range.
  12. ThejacKmp
    Adrianza didn't cost the Twins a game with his baserunning. With one out he has to slow up to make sure the ball isn't caught, particularly with Mike Trout in center. He made a nice slide to the plate. The Angels just executed two perfect throws after getting a great bounce off the wall. Tough luck. Adrianza is a way better defensive shortstop than Gordon. I still am okay with Gordon getting a chance but Adrianza has value.
  13. ThejacKmp
    Would not get it done. It will take at least two top prospects (think Gordon and Gonsalves) plus mid-range guys.
  14. ThejacKmp
    Last year Castro was an above-average hitter for a catcher. He has always gotten reviews that range from average to excellent for his defense. And he's a lefty who pairs excellently with Garver. The Castro hate has always been overstated. He's not Joe Mauer but that's why there are currently nine threads debating whether or not Joe Mauer is a HOFer. Castro is an above-average C. The Twins would be better spent seeing if those prospects pan out.
  15. ThejacKmp
    That's a lot of prospects for a guy whose career OPS is .760. Garver is working on a .736 OPS this year. Realmuto is clearly the better player but is he that much better? Those are real prospects the Twins would be giving up. I don't think Realmuto moves the dial that much. The Twins need a short-term solution for this year since they have Castro and Garver for next year. Lucroy makes so much sense.
  16. ThejacKmp
    Even better. He should for sure be back by next year.
  17. ThejacKmp
    They will ask for at least two top prospects. Realmuto would have a painful cost that will likely be prohibitive. You ain't buying low. I'd be more interested in Lucroy, who could get in the mix at DH and 1B while splitting time with Garver. He doesn't hit lefty but there won't be a perfect solution. Not sure what Lucroy will cost. Assuming that there are no other teams bidding, it seems like not that much? He was available for $6.5 million on a one-year deal so there isn't a huge market for him. Strange since he still has a nice bat.
  18. ThejacKmp
    Pretty clear he's talking about Castro as a baseball player and not Castro the human being. Or did you think that some TD poster had a vendetta against Twins catcher Jason Castro? This is pretty combative for no real reason or logical purpose. C'mon.
  19. ThejacKmp
    ACL's regularly take 9 months for MLB players, he has a good shot to be okay for opening day and if not, early in the season. Adam Eaton tore his at the end of April last year and was back for opening day. Catchers don't tend to make the quick cuts that are so hard on ACLs so Castro being a catcher shouldn't change things too much. In good news, lead knee recoveries generally go better than back knee recoveries. Since Castro is a lefty at the plate, he should be in better shape there since it's his right knee.
  20. ThejacKmp
    This is laughable. Littell will not headline a trade, Realmuto would cost significant prospects. When Lucroy was traded in August 2016 with 1.5 years left on his contract at age 30, he cost the Rangers Baseball America's #16 prospect and #64 prospect (though the Rangers got a decent reliever as well). Realmuto is 27 and has 2.5 years of control left. He would likely cost you multiple top prospects - think Gordon and Gonsalves plus something else worthwhile. WAY to expensive when the Twins have Garver and Castro for next year. They should be looking at one-year options. Lucroy would be the class of that crew but the A's will wait til closer to the deadline unless you blow them away.
  21. ThejacKmp
    Two thoughts: 1.) That's got to be crazy to have to tell a pro athlete that they're done for the year AFTER you do surgery. They're knocked out and you don't have time to chat with them when you make the discovery. It's just bad news to break as they wake up. 2.) Gotta upgrade Bobby Wilson somehow. I don't want Realmuto because it'll be too expensive but Lucroy at the deadline wouldn't be the worst idea. Depends on the cost.
  22. ThejacKmp
    Realmuto would cost significant prospects. When Lucroy was traded in August 2016 with 1.5 years left on his contract at age 30, he cost the Rangers Baseball America's #16 prospect and #64 prospect (though the Rangers got a decent reliever as well). Realmuto is 27 and has 2.5 years of control left. He would likely cost you multiple top prospects - think Gordon and Gonsalves plus something else. That seems like WAY too much to solve a 4 week problem. Not sure what Lucroy would cost. He's more of a rental player but it's also early in the season so you have to overpay to get a guy like him (the A's may want to wait for the deadline, especially since they are 20-21 and not out of it). Stand pat at catcher. It's 4-6 weeks and Garver has looked good.
  23. ThejacKmp
    1.) Lamonte Wade solves nothing offensively. He's an upgrade over Grossman defensively but does not profile to be some power bat. The prospect hype far exceeds reality. 2.) Nick Gordon is an interesting idea. Not sure the defensive drop off from Adrianza to Gordon will be worth the offensive pickup but it certainly makes sense to drop Petit and bring up Gordon. I'm not sure I'd play him everyday and I'd send him down when Sano gets back so he can get more seasoning (unless he forces your hand) but he'd be a nice spark potentially. 3.) Castro is back in 4-6 weeks. No need to go crazy dropping prospects for Realmuto (whose OPS+ is not much bigger than Garver's) because what do you do when Castro gets back? Not play Garver? Seems like a crazy overreaction to a 4 week problem. I also think it's not fair to blame the Twins for not having a great third catcher. Almost nobody has a great third catcher unless they have a prospect in AAA. Bobby Wilson is likely similar to most other guys you can get (though Gimenez would be fun to bring back for a reunion). 4.) The biggest thing is to just wait. The Twins are winning games against good teams and they're not getting blown out of the games they lose. There are natural lulls to offenses and this is just one of them. The solutions are all in house (Sano back, Polanco back, Buxton healthy, Castro back) and none are all that far away. Tread water around .500 and make a push in the second half.
  24. ThejacKmp
    Certainly most trades take place in July but there are trades of consequence that happen in June. 2016: James Shields traded to White Sox by Padres 2015: Mark Trumbo moves from ARI to SEA as ARI ties to dump payroll These two both seem like decent comps. Veteran guys who are biggish names but who don't fit a fading team are dumped early because of payroll concerns and a need by a team that wants to contend. The Twins have a definite need for a 4th OF who hits RH. I guess here's a question: Would you trade Wade or Granite (and the five to six years of control) for McCutchen (and his salary) today? I wouldn't with Wade (he's only 24 and may develop a power tool that could make him useful) but I think I'd pull the trigger with Granite. He's almost 26 and seems like a 4th OF - that seems reasonable to get a guy who makes more sense for a team with hopes to contend. Thoughts?
  25. ThejacKmp
    Defense does matter (BTW, I never said it didn't) but it isn't the sole thing. Also, Lamonte Wade isn't a defensive whiz, he's a decent fielder. Grossman is below average but he matches other needs (switch hitter) that Wade does not. In an overall picture of the 4th OF role, the defense seems less important, especially since the Twins have the guy Grossman replaces as a defensive sub in late-inning situations. Wade's defense is useless in games he does not start (he's not a defensive replace for Buxton, Kepler or Rosario) while Grossman's ability to PH as a switch hitter makes him potentially useful every game. I use the data we have at hand, the more we have the better. We don't have any other data of Wade in the high minors or majors. Another point in Grossman's favor. He may not be perfect but you know what you get. Wade is likely to be overmatched at times simply because of inexperience. If he checked every other box, great. But as is, he doesn't fit the team. This does raise some long-term concerns for Wade and Granite. It's hard to see the Twins having much of a role for either one (and certainly not both) in the upcoming 2-3 years. It'll be interesting to see if they become trade chips at the deadline.
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