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ThejacKmp

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Everything posted by ThejacKmp

  1. ThejacKmp
    Also, we have a lot of underlying numbers for LaMarre. Those would be his minor league numbers and his struggles at the MLB level in the past. It would be one thing if LaMarre had solid minor-league numbers like Grossman (.772 OPS in AAA), Garver (.905 OPS) or Granite (.830 OPS). But he doesn't. His AAA OPS is .726 with 19 home runs in almost 1000 at-bats. Guys with that track record better be elite CF or have elite base running skills to hang on as 4th outfielders. Ryan LaMarre is not that guy; he profiles to have a sub .700 OPS in the majors with little pop and average corner outfield defense and base running.
  2. ThejacKmp
    Garver is rated a B-/C prospect by most lists (B = could be an everyday player, C = likely a role player). He's not an elite prospect and has been built up a bit too much on TD. I like Garver great as a backup catcher who also profiles as a nice bench bat and spot starter at 1B/DH. It's also nice that he can play corner OF in a pinch and has some pop. But he's not some elite hitter and he shouldn't be the Twins DH when he's not catching. Maybe the occasional DH spot against a tough lefty?
  3. ThejacKmp
    Grossman is far more likely to be an enduring part of this team than LaMarre. The Twins should invest at-bats in him over a guy who is a fringe 25-man guy. I'm also always baffled by the hot bat thing. I agree that there are times that guys look dialed in. And maybe it works for guys like Dozier or Mauer where the hot streak runs for 2-3 weeks. But for a guy like LaMarre, aren't you also going to get two 0-5 games at the end before you find out that the hot streak is over? You've gotten maybe two games of hot streak and gotten two games of "Oh yeah, that's why we got this guy for nothing." There are reasons to worry about Grossman and reasons to upgrade on the 4th OF at the deadline (Andrew McCutchen is my target) but Ryan LaMarre is not likely to be that upgrade. Grossman has proven himself on the MLB level and deserves a little more time before we write him off. Same thing with Logan Morrison.
  4. ThejacKmp
    LaMarre should definitely get one of the games. I'm not sure he should get both. Grossman is a better player historically and is much more likely to be an enduring part of the Twins team than LaMarre. It'd be smart for the Twins to get Grossman one of those two games. Garver DHing is not a bad idea though again, the Twins might be better off getting Grossman some RH DH at-bats that game and keeping Garver as a PH for Castro late in the game against a lefty reliever.
  5. ThejacKmp
    But he does have enough at bats that he qualifies as a "hot bat"? Can't have it both ways, either he has enough at bats for us to draw conclusions or he doesn't. People are arguing that his results this year demand more playing time. That couldn't be farther from the truth. His hits are all singles and every ball he puts in play has landed safely. He's been striking out a lot - 5 times in 12 at-bats. The only thing keeping it going is that 7/7 batted balls are hits. If he had a regular BABIP of .333 he'd be 2 for 12 with five strikeouts and people would be fishing through the Rochester box scores to see who should be brought up for him. We need to get some perspective on Mr. Lamarre. People are setting themselves up for disappointment.
  6. ThejacKmp
    Archer has pretty pronounced splits that make having left handed bats vital. Removing Grossman or Morrison from the lineup for LaMarre would be reverse strategy. If we want to get LaMarre a game, great. But let's make it against a lefty. Same thing for benching Castro for Garver. You want left handed bats. More fair is to sit Sano for a game and get Adrianza a shot to hit from the left side.
  7. ThejacKmp
    LaMarre doesn't have a "hot bat". He has struck out a lot, has no extra-base hits and literally every ball he's put in play has happened to not get caught. He's showed weakness in the form of striking out, a lack of strength with no XBH and he's been lucky. If we're going to get mad at Molitor for not taking statistics into consideration, we need to be consistent. The underlying numbers on LaMarre clearly show that his hot streak is a mirage.
  8. ThejacKmp
    SF gave up a middling reliever, international money and their 2016 2nd rounder (a college OF) for McCutchen. If you go to midseason and the Giants are out of it, I'd think that Andrew Bechtold would get it done. Might even be an overpay by the Twins, depends what the market is for OF help and depends what McCutchen does this year. If he continues to slump early, it could even be just a salary dump where the Twins hope he bounces back to the norm a bit.
  9. ThejacKmp
    I don't know that you need to replace him. He's not a bad bench bat for situations where you need baserunners (not all pinch hitting is in a 1 run game). He's just maybe not a great 4th OF who is getting a start or two a week. I think the ideal would be to find a 4th OF who is a RH power bat and shift Grossman to that 25th man spot. That RH 4th OF isn't coming up within the organization so you have to go out and find it. It'll depend who is selling at the deadline but to me it's someone like Granderson last year (but RH). A vet on an expiring contract who wants to play for a winner before hitting free agency. LA gave up Jacob Rhame, an utterly forgettable reliever, for Granderson. So it doesn't cost much at the deadline but it shifts roles around a bit. Grossman is a Sano caddy on the bases late and is capable of coming in and having a decent at-bat. Veteran is the guy in that HR pinch-hit and start a few days a week. I did a very unscientific look but guys like Carlos Gomez or AJ Pollock might make sense. In an ideal world, McCutchen might be available if the Giants flop. Not sure he'd be a willing 4th OF but that would be a great pickup and likely wouldn't cost much since he's on an expiring deal.
  10. ThejacKmp
    I joined in the 12th after I came home drunk from bowling. Regretting and not regretting it today.
  11. ThejacKmp
    This Twins rotation could be pretty solid for a potential playoff series (knock on wood) if Berrios is a #1. Santana is an acceptable #2 when he gets healthy and Lynn/Odorizzi/Gibson are likely to include okay #3 and #4 options. The big thing would be if Romero/Gonsalves is ready to come up and Liriano this thing to be a #2/#3 option. Obviously doesn't match up with the Nationals or Cleveland rotation but it's not far off of the rest. Of course that's in an ideal world.
  12. ThejacKmp
    Ryan LaMarre has a 1.000 BABIP that will not stand. Part of that is that he has struck out 5 of his 12 at bats. And he has no extra-base hits. If he had a normal BABIP we'd be calling for him to be cut. He's a nice story but he's not someone who deserves a role any bigger than the one he currently has. Morrison doesn't look good but trying to trade him or DFA him is ridiculous. You couldn't sell any lower. He's only 30 so it's unlikely he's dropped off a cliff. He's got a career 109 OPS+ so he's got a track record of success. He's just in a big slump. I'd like to see the Twins give him the Tampa series (revenge games sometimes shake a guy out of a rut) and, if that doesn't work, sit him for the Yankees series to give him a breather and get out of his head. Logan Morrison will be fine long-term. We just have to be patient. Robbie Grossman I'm more worried about. 2016 looks more and more like an outlier the further we go into this season. It's looking like the Twins should be thinking about upgrading their 4th OF at the deadline.
  13. ThejacKmp
    Why do you say he obviously isn't this good? He's got great stuff, a great motor and he's young enough to be taking a step. I'm not saying he will stay this good but Berrios always had ace ceiling. He just might be reaching it.
  14. ThejacKmp
    Contact!
  15. ThejacKmp
    Stay thirsty my friends
  16. ThejacKmp
    I feel good if he puts it in play
  17. ThejacKmp
    Pinch hit for LoMo! Mid-at-bat
  18. ThejacKmp
    But seriously, if he wins a Cy Young and only pitches three years (knock on wood both ways?) does that make him the best? Cuz Javier Vazquez is eminently forgettable
  19. ThejacKmp
    I've always meant to ask you about your user name. Bob Sacamano from Seinfeld? An r-hating tribute to Sacramento? Gasp, your actual name?
  20. ThejacKmp
    How is Javier Vazquez the best Puerto Rican pitcher? He's nothing special. What does Jose Berrios have to do to be the best Puerto Rican pitcher?
  21. ThejacKmp
    My wife and I were on our honeymoon in Puerto Rico in 2013. We want to see a Nicaragua-DR World Baseball Classic day game at this stadium. Made the mistake of sitting in the outfield bleachers. We were alone for a reason. It was so hot that my wife made us leave in the 5th and go buy new tickets to the shaded region.
  22. ThejacKmp
    I guess that's a good sign? I told a bunch of fantasy baseball guys I know to draft Max, hope he gets a chance to have the dominant year I think he'll have.
  23. ThejacKmp
    Missed Kepler injury. Did it look bad?
  24. ThejacKmp
    I feel good about Josh Tomlin.
  25. ThejacKmp
    Smithwicks Red Ale. I'm a Hamm's guy but I'm only human, sometimes I cheat with a classy dame.
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