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ThejacKmp

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Everything posted by ThejacKmp

  1. ThejacKmp
    This assumes you can't trade a healthy Pineda. If the Twins have seven quality starters and no room for Pineda, they should be able to at the least get another team to take on that salary (and almost certainly get a piece or two back). Only way this is a bad signing is if he can't come back from TJ. But you have to take risks. Low cost, high upside move.
  2. ThejacKmp
    I'm a fan of just signing Arrieta. I know there are some concerns health-wise but he's got less mileage on his arm than most because of his slow development and all he costs is a second round pick. He also seems like a guy you can get for four years instead of going five or six. That contract might be rough the last year but that's the risk you take.
  3. ThejacKmp
    When your playoff odds are under 10% and you're team on the rise, that would be irresponsible. The front office shook off the temptation to blow things up and let the guys play while still getting some pitching depth for unneeded pieces. What are you referring to in the prospect part? Ynoa? He's a lottery ticket - it could come back to bite you but bad results doesn't mean the process is wrong. They got better prospects and more prospects out of the deal (basically Ynoa for Littell, Enns and Moya).
  4. ThejacKmp
    See and I think he's ranked way too high. He seems like a 4th OF type to me - I don't see him ever being an average starter. With his lack of pop and average OBP skills, he's got to hit over .300 to be an offensive plus. I just don't really see that happening. If he hits .270, he's got to be an elite defensive CF. He's fine out there but not elite.
  5. ThejacKmp
    Outside of trading legit prospects in the division for Justin Verlander, what addition was really going to make the Twins anything more than a team that loses in the division round? They traded marginal pieces that didn't hurt the Twins and resisted the urge to trade a Santana or Dozier who would likely have kept them from winning. Sometimes not making moves is a cause for celebration. What international talent have they missed out on? Marte had a vision problem and they made the smart choice to void that, especially since Ohtani's situation let them turn that into two young prospects. If we're mad because they didn't get Ohtani we're mad that they aren't a West Coast team. A lot of the criticism of Flavine seems pretty nitpicky. Some people just want to see the glass half empty.
  6. ThejacKmp
    I think this is the mistaken assumption you've made - you're assuming a causation when we don't even have a correlation. I think the Marte void was separate from going after Ohtani. No one else has gone after Marte (including the Yankees who have more money than the Twins and aren't in on Ohtani) so the eye thing must be serious (and with how cheap and state-of-the-art Lasik is today, it has to be something more than "he has 20/100 vision"). Plus, if the Twins liked Marte enough to give him top money, they wouldn't give it up for the very small chance they had of getting Ohtani to come to MN. There just seems to be way more of a story here. Assuming causation or correlation between the Marte voiding and the Ohtani sweepstakes seems like a stretch.
  7. ThejacKmp
    I tend to think that the players union wouldn't care about this. This isn't the Twins getting out of paying Mauer money. They're extending his career by paying him a faire wage. If they tried to pay him $4 million, the union would flip. But if they pay him a fair market wage of $8-10 million, I don't think the union bats an eye.
  8. ThejacKmp
    I know the term seems like nitpicking but it's not. The Twins did not send $1 million to the Angels and Mariners - there was no wire transfer of funds or anything like that. They simply traded their right to spend $1 million on international players. The best analogy would be if you're at Circus Pizza and you have won 400 prize tickets and you traded them to a friend for his roller blades. You haven't lost money, you've lost a currency you can only spend in a specific system with certain rules. That matters for two reasons: (1) First of all, the state of that system. Late in the year, that international money isn't worth as much since the cupboard is pretty bare. (In our circus pizza analogy, lots of other kids redeemed their tickets for toys already so the good toys are gone). The Twins likely wouldn't have been able to use that international money to get as quality of prospects as they got via trade. (2) Secondly, the Twins still have that $2 million they would have spent (since they never sent actual money, just the right to spend money). That $2 million in the budget can now be used on free agents or scouting or a kickass trip for employees to Circus Pizza. That's where opportunity cost comes in - the Twins have the opportunity to use those funds elsewhere. It's a good trade, especially if the Twins use the remainder to sign Marte at a lower price as is rumored. They basically will have traded Marte at a high price for Marte at a low price + 2 B/C prospects + 2 million to spend elsewhere.
  9. ThejacKmp
    "Upon request by a Major League player to the Commissioner, the Commissioner may, on such conditions as he stipulates, consent to such player accepting a renewal of his contract at a salary rate less than eighty (80) percent of the rate stipulated for the preceding year, providing the salary rate is mutually agreed upon between the club and the player prior to January 10 and providing the request for consent to accept such salary is made by the player and received by the Commissioner prior to January 10." Twins not hamstrung by this at all.
  10. ThejacKmp
    Mauer isn't going to make $4 million. You're looking at $8-$10 million per year and if he hits like last year, he's well worth it. Anything else is insulting. I think you'll see a 2 year $18 million extension at some point this winter. Gives Mauer some stability, he still draws fans to the park and he can shift into a 120 games type of player. Even though free agent pitching contracts are almost always awful, I'd much rather the Twins go after Darvish than trade away assets for an inferior pitcher. In a perfect world, the Twins just go with the youth but that seems to be unlikely to happen due to optics and what not. But ugh I don't want to trade Gordon and other prospects for a #3 pitcher we have to pay $8 million.
  11. ThejacKmp
    It's not really $2 million, the Twins didn't send over the money. They traded the ability to spend $2 million in the international marketplace. So it comes down to an opportunity cost thing - are these two players (plus the saved $2 million) better than the players the Twins could have gotten in the international market? I'd argue that once Maitan was gone, the Twins probably used this money as well as it can be. Especially since they still have $1.2 million they can use on Marte or another prospect. You could argue they should have gone after Maitan two weeks ago but that would have meant giving up their one advantage in the Ohtani sweepstakes, money. I'm glad the front office took a swing at Ohtani rather than the safe play of Maitan, even if it means we are where we are now and missed out on both. Ohtani could have changed the trajectory of the franchise, you have to swing for the fences sometimes.
  12. ThejacKmp
    This is a fitting article for an auspicious day. Sixteen years ago, mayor Norm Coleman proclaimed Dec 7th, 2001 to be Joe Mauer Day in recognition of his Gatorade Football Player of the Year award and each year we remember our hero. What's that you say? It was the 60th anniversary of the attack on Pearl Harbor? Over 2000 people died? Pshaw, that's old news. High school football success is clearly more important than some silly old war! Long live Joe Mauer Day!
  13. ThejacKmp
    It's important to note that Mauer's 2017 campaign isn't an aberration or luck but rather a return to his norm. Mauer's career BABIP was .348 from 2004 to 2014. For whatever reason, in 2015 and 2016 Mauer posted a combined .305 BABIP. There wasn't anything in the obvious underlying factors to explain it - similar LD/GB/FB rates etc. I think Mauer's 2017 resurgence is likely due to health and the absence of bad luck -- though we'll have to see a solid 2018 before I'm certain of that.
  14. ThejacKmp
    All I want for Christmas is Ohtani.
  15. ThejacKmp
    Rooker bats RH and can play some corner OF so he'd actually be ideal in a situation where Mauer stays - he can be a 5th OF who spells Eddie and Max against tough lefties and be the right handed half of a 1B platoon when Mauer needs extra days off (with Sano in the mix at 1B on those days as well). He fits this Twins teams a lot better than the left-handed hitting Granite.
  16. ThejacKmp
    Ha. Lewis Thorpe as a household name is pretty hilarious. Pretty sure 19 out of 20 twins fans have no idea who he is todsy, let alone in 2013. I love thorpedo more than almost anyone but household name made me laugh.
  17. ThejacKmp
    I think we will get Otani. I don't know why I think that but it's out there. He can do some DHing too, which would be fun.
  18. ThejacKmp
    Start on the DL and get 100% healthy on a rehab assignment. Escobar can play 3B to start the year. Sano at full health is key for the Twins taking the next step.
  19. ThejacKmp
    Someone has to DH and that person doesn't have to be able to field. It's nice to have all players who are both hitters and defenders but that isn't realistic. The Twins need a DH and a backup 1B who can hit from the right side of the plate. Vargas is a cheap internal option to fill that role and should get every chance to do so.
  20. ThejacKmp
    Vargas is why I don't want the Twins to go get a free agent bat. If they're going to make a change to the position player group, I would rather see them trade Grossman (wont' get much in return of course) and pursue a right handed hitting corner OF. Vargas is too young and too cheap not to give another shot.
  21. ThejacKmp
    Keep the prospects. Spend money on a free agent if you need that impact bullpen arm. The Twins have money to spare unless they start signing young guys to extensions - the prospects are not limitless.
  22. ThejacKmp
    Oh I'm not a huge Kyle Gibson guy. I think he's a cheap pitching option for this year but if he was an okay #4 starter, Twins fans would be ecstatic. My point was more that Twins fans rag on Kyle Gibson like he's a piñata and he was a markedly better pitcher than Colon last year. Better stats, better peak, more upside. The only explanation is that Colon is fun to cheer for so we forgive his warts while Kyle Gibson has crapped in our shoes for many years and we mistrust him.
  23. ThejacKmp
    This is a fascinating stat. Someone should do an article about this (probably can't do much in modern baseball because it happens so infrequently) but it would be a fascinating view of baseball history to see who could have used a closer and who didn't really miss one.
  24. ThejacKmp
    Marvin Miller not being in the hall is the biggest travesty. If you made a list of the five people who changed baseball the most, Marvin Miller would be on that list and could rightfully be at the top. It is a travesty that baseball's owners have blackballed him from the Hall - especially because he undoubtedly made them money. Miller paved the path for baseball to go big business, forcing the owners to get the players on board to expand the game the way it currently is. It's so sad he never got to go in during his lifetime. No one loved baseball more and no one did more to make baseball the game it is today. It's only America's irrational hatred of union leaders that keeps his absence from being a front page story every election year. Ugh.
  25. ThejacKmp
    Early season Kyle Gibson. Who was loathed on TD and went down to the minors while Colon still has his defenders because we love the concept of big fat old pitcher. Kyle Gibson only got some love when he started to pitch well. His 11 games in August and September (3.55 ERA, .720 opponent OPS, 8.0+ K/9) are loads better than any equivalent Colon stretch. And even the love he got was pretty muted.
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