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drivlikejehu

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Everything posted by drivlikejehu

  1. drivlikejehu
    Again, that's plainly wrong. He had 182 strikeouts in 2010 - a huge number that no one "ignored," but the scouting reports on him have always expressed reservations regarding his fastball, offspeed stuff, and command. Minor league numbers do not always translate to the Majors, something any prospect watcher should know. If May now has a plus changeup, it's a very new development. He didn't have a good one last year or at any time before then. I didn't see any talk about it in Spring Training. When exactly did he master the pitch, and does any objective support for your assertion exist?
  2. drivlikejehu
    May has been a name for years in prospect discussions. Just as a random example, here is a December 2009 Hardball Times blurb on him: "6. Trevor May: May sports a low-90s fastball with strong movement and an average curveball that could grow into his out pitch. Just 20 years old with impressive strikeout numbers in the Sally League, the 6-foot-5 May has room to grow but much to learn when it comes to locating his arsenal." If people are wrong about May, it's not because of a random 2014 Keith Law quote. May has had skeptics since before he was even drafted. So unfortunately the narrative you came up with is completely wrong. Edited to add: Here is a Phillies' fan site scouting report on him from 2012: http://crashburnalley.com/2012/10/17/fall-from-ace-scouting-trevor-may/ And a scouting report from 2010: http://rotoscouting.com/trevor-may-scouting-report-2010/
  3. drivlikejehu
    Actually that is still a subpar ERA. The Eastern League average last year was around 4.00. And giving up more than 3 ER in 50% of AA starts is pretty terrible. Look, it would be great if something clicked with May and he became a #3/4 starter or whatever. The Twins desperately need it. The chances are just really low. He has the stuff and command of a reliever.
  4. drivlikejehu
    His ERA was about a half run above league average in 2013, and worse in 2012, quite bad really. Out of 37 pitchers that threw over 100 innings last year, he was 29th in ERA. So maybe I should have said "far below average."
  5. drivlikejehu
    His two main pitches are a straight fastball that gets few groundballs, and a breaking ball that fools minor leaguers a lot more than it's going to fool big leaguers. To put things in perspective - May is a more extreme flyball pitcher than Phil Hughes. Without making some adjustments I don't see how he can be an MLB starter.
  6. drivlikejehu
    May spent the past 2 years being a below average AA pitcher. And he wasn't really young for the league or anything, he's just is an extreme flyball pitcher who walked a lot of guys. Three starts isn't enough to know if his control is really better. And even if it is, his overall profile is not overly encouraging.
  7. drivlikejehu
    I'm fine with throwing him out there indefinitely since the Twins aren't contenders and don't have a meaningful alternative. But I don't think he can hit and doubt he is more than a 4th OF even in his prime.
  8. drivlikejehu
    Neither Meyer nor May are ready to be called up.
  9. drivlikejehu
    The Twins have one of the worst rotations in MLB. The notion there is "depth" makes no sense at all. Pretty much every team has "depth" in terms of AAAA players, and even if they didn't the waiver wire offers up that level of talent regularly. In Rochester the Twins have Meyer, who didn't throw many innings last year and is deserving of some caution, and May, a gopher-prone pitcher with subpar command who was mediocre for 2 years in AA. Johnson and Darnell could maybe pitch some middle relief, but don't provide real rotation depth.
  10. drivlikejehu
    Brilliant point. That explains why Republicans so loved Bill Clinton, a white southerner.
  11. drivlikejehu
    Well he did basically say opponents of President Obama are gussied-up Klan members. That's an incredibly ignorant and inflammatory statement, so while it doesn't justify hate mail, it certainly is quite a different thing altogether from Jackie Robinson being abused for just playing baseball.
  12. drivlikejehu
    Florimon is not going to have a .300 OBP. He cannot hit at all. He's easily the worst-hitting regular in MLB. It's not for sure he can even hit enough to stay above replacement level, which shouldn't be hard considering the SS positional adjustment and the fact he's above-average (though overrated) defensively.
  13. drivlikejehu
    Gibson hasn't been particularly dominant in the high minors, and obviously not the Majors. He's already 26. We're lucky if he's a #3... he's certainly no ace.
  14. drivlikejehu
    Wow. I would really love to see a single post anywhere in the history of this website that said free agents carried "zero risk." Inexplicable comment. I'm not a huge Deduno fan. He's a fine 6th starter since pretty much every team needs a 6th starter, and often a 7th, and 8th, etc. The problem is the lack of a #1 starter, #2 starter...
  15. drivlikejehu
    BP did a study of prospect promotions a few years back. The Twins were clearly on the conservative side, particularly with respect to pitchers.
  16. drivlikejehu
    Herrmann's career AAA line: .227/.297/.312 Herrmann's career MLB line: .189/.268/.297 And he was only moderately above average in AA, and if you consider his age it really wasn't noteworthy at all. The guy can't hit... he will continue to prove this over and over as called upon.
  17. drivlikejehu
    The problem with Herrmann is that he can't hit. He's a below replacement level corner outfielder without a doubt. His only conceivable role is as a 25th man who can be the 3rd catcher and 5th outfielder. He may be the most overrated player in the organization at this point... it's just a strange phenomenon. If he starts a game in LF, he will be the worst player to start a MLB game in LF all year.
  18. drivlikejehu
    There's not much intrigue in this area. Since Deduno is the 6th starter, Tonkin comes up when either a starter or reliever hits the DL. And pitching being what it is, that means he will spend most of the year with the Twins (assuming he himself is healthy and pitching OK).
  19. drivlikejehu
    Florimon just cannot hit. As MLB pitchers see him more, I think it's only going to get worse because he has so many weaknesses to exploit at the plate.
  20. drivlikejehu
    Looking at Drew is not a "knee jerk" reaction. The Twins do not have a legit shortstop on the team and knew that going into the season. The issue is the same as before - the Twins aren't contenders and don't want to give up a draft pick. Ordinarily I would agree with them, but it's such a huge hole.
  21. drivlikejehu
    Florimon could legitimately hit .150 this year. No joke.
  22. drivlikejehu
    Pinto should be the regular catcher. The Twins are rebuilding and need as much opportunity to develop and assess younger players as possible. Suzuki is irrelevant in the long-run and therefore using him more than Pinto is contrary to the club's long-term interests. Lots of small sample size fail in this thread as well.
  23. drivlikejehu
    I don't see it as "pessimism" to expect the most probable outcome. That's realism. The bigger issue is that, even putting aside the various prospect setbacks, having a highly-rated farm system doesn't guarantee anything. At this point, optimism is just a substitute for confidence, because there is no objective reason to have any.
  24. drivlikejehu
    The Twins management and staff are certainly more capable than, say, a random selection of Twins Daily posters. The trouble, of course, is that the Twins have to compete against 29 other professional organizations, and a number of those other organizations are clearly better-run. Having said that, the Worley thing doesn't really bother me. If you get two pitchers in exchange for Ben Revere, there are going to be some serious question marks as part of the equation.
  25. drivlikejehu
    The Twins are just an awful baseball team at the moment. It's been mystifying to see so many opinions to the contrary in the off-season, even considering typical baseball pre-season optimism. In terms of position players, they are easily among the worst in baseball. There is very little quality and very little upside for 2014. This team is not going to score runs and, while the rotation will be better, its not great and neither is the defense. They still are going to allow plenty of runs. The Twins have been so bad that "bottoming out" doesn't really seem applicable, but they certainly are still deep in the wilderness.
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