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Everything posted by Riverbrian
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Exactly the guy the Twins front office needs to replace Margot. Exactly the guy the Twins need to make sure that they will need to sign another one just like him for 2026. Exactly the guy the Twins need to make sure that Trevor Larnach's will be less value to our team as a player and other teams in a trade.
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Why is he still on the 40 man? Why was he ever on the 26 man? .575 OPS is a bar so low to clear that it is almost under ground.
- 53 replies
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- ryan jeffers
- christian vazquez
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I don't like it one single bit and I want to be clear that it's not my idea but I have no reason to expect different simply based on consistent utilization of the 26 man roster for the past two seasons. If Keirsay makes the club out of spring training. Assuming Wallner and Larnach also make the club out of spring training. That is three left handed OF's on the roster. Wallner, Larnach already require a right handed handcuff... Keirsay will require the same I assume. We can't put 6 Outfielders on the 26 man roster... three lefthanders and three right handers on the roster so Wallner, Larnach and Keirsay all avoid left handed hitters. So... it stands to reason that Keirsay will be taking the roster spot that is needed for Canha or whoever the Margot replacement is going to be and Canha is needed because we have been starving Wallner and Larnach all of this time. This forces Keirsay to wait for a Larnach or Wallner injury opportunity to get the call. He may play CF when he comes up while someone else plays in the corner but Keirsay will have to wait for Larnach or Wallner to go down because not waiting will force Wallner or Larnach into the lineup against left handers because we will have too many of them. Also if Keirsay has to wait for Wallner or Larnach and he would have to wait based on 2024 utilization. The lefty swinging Erod will probably be the first choice... so in reality... Keirsay will have to wait for two of Wallner, Larnach and Erod to be unavailable to get a chance. All of this doesn't even factor Julien on the roster because Julien's presence on the roster is going to require a Farmer replacement or pull Miranda into a short side hell on the 26 man roster. Bottom Line: If the Twins continue with this overweighting of the Right/Left Platoon split. You might as well release Keirsay right now.
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I understand all of this. I'm not diminishing the need for a catcher with defensive abilities. What I don't understand is the thought that Vazquez is somehow not replaceable... necessary to the health of the bull club because of his defensive abilities. Surely there is some catcher who can play defense and not hit a bit out there in the universe that can play for the league minimum. If Good Defense and horrible hitting costs 10 million and can't be replaced. How much is it going to cost to find someone with good defense and good hitting?
- 53 replies
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- ryan jeffers
- christian vazquez
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I never really understand this point. I understand the value of defense but I never really understand this point. Surely there is another catcher somewhere in the universe who can frame pitches and can't hit a lick. Maybe it's a young catcher who holds the bat cow-handed and closes his eyes when he swings but the guy can play D. Surely this guy is out there somewhere and ready to make the major league minimum. If framing and defense at the catching position with absolutely no offense at all is worth 10 million a year. FRONT OFFICES... please take your catching prospects with defensive skill, coach them up and advance them up the ladder as quickly as possible. Bat skills are not necessary. 😉
- 53 replies
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- ryan jeffers
- christian vazquez
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Even if we don't undo it now. It opens us up to trouble if Jeffers breaks his leg in April. 😎
- 53 replies
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- ryan jeffers
- christian vazquez
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Keirsay on the roster will force Wallner or Larnach to hit against left handers. We will be over our allotment of left handed bats. I'm Ok with this... Are the Twins? I don't believe they are. Keirsay on the roster will also take a spot that is needed for a right handed bat that has to play against left handers so Wallner or Larnach can sit. If the Twins don't change their extreme left/right policy that limits their roster construction decisions. Keirsay will need to wait for an injury to Wallner or Larnach. A Buxton injury has nothing to do with it. Castro and Martin will continue to be the Buxton insurance policies.
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No they can't shake up their catching corps. If they are able to trade Vazquez... they most likely have to eat some money or include prospect value to amke it happen. I don't believe they can put the full 10 million in their pocket. If they trade Vazquez and get some money to spend. Let's say 7 million to spend. They will have to spend that 7 million to get someone decent because CATCHERS COST A LOT. If they all of sudden say... we will take that 7 million and spend it elsewhere... that's great. I could get behind that but I have one big problem with that scenerio. Here's the problem. Camargo is all of sudden the guy. The same guy who sat for 20 plus games and couldn't get a sniff of the lineup card while Vazquez was deemed not replaceable while compiling an OPS of .575. Camargo couldn't clear that low bar without damaging the Twins chances to win last year but this year he won't be a drain on the teams chances to win ball games for some reason. Trading Vazquez to install Camargo would be a bunch of bull crap based on how they handled catching last year. Yet... Here Camargo is... once again taking up 40 man roster space as the primary option and the Twins have already told everyone that they don't think he can improve a .575 OPS hitting catcher draining 10 million out of severely depleted funds. . So... to answer the question. No the Twins are not ready to shake up their catching corps. They were too busy locking in to the current catching corps.
- 53 replies
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- ryan jeffers
- christian vazquez
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I like what you say about development not being in a straight line. I agree one thousand percent. I hate the AAAA tag. I get what it means but like you said development isn't in a straight line. There is no reason that age 27 means spoiled. Coaches don't stop working with you at age 27, you can find that adjustment that unlocks something at any time. Development isn't linear... however,,, the CBA imposed timelines are linear in regards to how long you can develop someone before advancement is required... like 40 man placement, 3 options yada yada. My point that I'm trying so hard to make everyone see and I know that I'm failing with some. It's not that we lost Rooker. IT'S WHO WE KEPT INSTEAD. Who we kept makes it X amount easier to lose someone like Rooker. I get the attempts at justification being made by many... however the responses afterwards "Oh Well... It Happens". "Who could have seen this coming"... "we had a Log Jam"... don't see it. Letting a Rooker type talent get away for no value sucks especially for an organization that can't survive without development... especially for an organization that can't afford to sign a ROOKER type talent via free agency. It sucks but it happens to all teams... maybe not Rooker large but assessment mistakes happen to all teams. However... it's not the main problem that is hurting our development. The development problem is the players that we kept instead. Getting absolutely no development out of multiple rosters spots. Players that are out of baseball today taking up roster spots yesterday. Rooker destroying baseballs in Oakland is the BILL COME DUE for Garlick, Astudillo and Celestino taking up roster space instead. I don't care who among us could predict what Rooker was going to become. I'm telling everyone that the FRONT OFFICES can't predict it and if they can't predict it... why are they locking into below average? Garlick, Astudillo, Celestino... Specialists just prevent you from locating someone better. I've been saying this for years. Rosters spots are limited by the CBA. There is a large pile of players on a non linear development course crashing into linear timelines outlined in the CBA. Yet Right Now... the Twins front office is combing through spreadsheets trying to find another Margot... to dip Wallner, Larnach and Julien into cement... dip them into cement to ensure that their will always require a Margot type and ensure that their value to a team or trade value to other teams will never exceed Joc Pederson. Only to rinse and repeat with Erod and Jenkins in the future. I can make a reservation at this same restaurant right now for three years in the future. Twinsdaily can repeat the "Oh Well It Happens" discussion in 2027 when someone else that we gave away is in an all star game in a different uniform. Rooker strikeout rates? Was that the issue? Maybe... who knows but I have an argument against that. That argument is just one year later... The Twins signed Joey Gallo. Who has done nothing but demonstrate a high propensity of striking out. Spent 10 million on him knowing he would strike out a high rate. Gallo kept his spot all year. Who'd we lose because we kept Gallo all year. I don't know but because Gallo kept his spot all year... the odds increase that we lost someone.
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With respect I ask. When did he lose that shine? What caused him to lose that shine? He hit a home run every 14 AB's in the minors. Did a .688 OPS in 189 Major League AB's cause the shine loss? Please don't take my questions the wrong way. I am curious. He's been labelled as AAAA and such by others.
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The Twins are not going to sign Juan Soto. We all know that... we should all know that by now. The new owner most likely is going to be more of the same. We don't have the luxury of filling roster spots with top level free agents.,, we have never had that luxury. Correa signing with us is pretty rare thing in the history of this franchise. Big picture. Development is the only way that this franchise survives year after year. It isn't going to survive just patching holes with Margot and Kyle Garlick for a year and then finding the next Margot and Kyle Garlick to replace them the following year. We are not going to sign Juan Soto... we have to develop Juan Soto. Rooker isn't Juan Soto but he was a better hitter last year then anybody on our 2024 roster. This is the bill you pay when you choose Kyle Garlick for a specialist role. Franchise sustaining development is going to be much harder to accomplish when Wallner and Larnach are strip mined for parts instead of fully developed. Franchise sustaining development is going to be much harder to accomplish when Margot and Garlick types are needed to take additional roster spots so you can strip mine Wallner, Larnach and Julien for parts. I was for the Paddack Rogers trade when the trade was made. Actually... in all honestly... I was excited about it. Acquiring Starting pitching is expensive and I saw a starting pitcher as more valuable than a bullpen arm because of the potential to throw 3 times as many innings. I saw Paddack... liked the deal. Rooker... I had no idea what he would become... how could I? If the Twins are not going to utilize Rooker... might as well let him go. However, in hindsight, If the Twins knew what Rooker was going to become what he became. Would they have included him in the deal? They would not have. Why would they? Rooker would return more in a trade today than any of the pieces in this deal combined. Misses happen. The Twins obviously missed and they obviously didn't know. It happens. Who they kept instead is the development problem.
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When Camargo was added to the 26 man roster, sat on the bench for over 20 games while he watched Vazquez OPS under .600 every other day. Any threat to Vazquez playing time was neutralized by the decision makers. Camargo was not allowed to compete. The decision makers predetermined the outcome, Many don't see the big deal. Many justify it. I say it's a big deal. It is opportunity robbed for the purpose of locking in terrible performance. It is this type of thing that lets a Rooker gets away. Rooker Nah? We got Garlick for this specialist role and because we got Garlick taking up a roster spot. We have no room for Rooker. Oh well... we missed out on Rooker... What a shame... It happens... There was simply no room. The people who don't see this sort of thing are often talking about Log Jams on this website. I often hear of log jams but I have never seen one. I just see a bunch of predetermination that doesn't work out as planned. Many don't see the big deal if we add a Margot to the roster so Wallner doesn't have to face left handers. It's a big deal. Margot isn't good... Wallner doesn't fully develop and you don't have room for a Rooker who it turns out can hit both left handers and right handers. All teams miss... Predetermination, not allowing competition, keeping Margot for the entire year, committing roster spots to specialists is how the other players are killed off due to lack of opportunity. The People who make these predeterminations are good at their jobs but they are the same ones who chose Garlick and Celestino who are both out of baseball two years later over one of the best hitters in baseball two years later.
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LOL... there is something you are not getting. Excuse me but this stuff drives me nuts. How many times do I need to type "Everyone Misses" in this discussion before you don't reply back to me "everyone misses" like I haven't been saying that? Did you not understand what I meant when I said "decisions are tough in the GM chair"? Am I not real enough when I acknowledge that? Yes the Royals and Padres whiffed they didn't have as much time with him but yeah they whiffed. The A's almost whiffed. He was the last player added to the roster in 2023. It wasn't like the A's knew what they had either. He would have been the 1st player added to the roster if they knew. The superstar Conor Capel (Currently out of Baseball) opened up 2023 as the left handed DH while Rooker waited for a left hander. Rooker started the season 1 for 9 over the first 9 games of the year. He was getting splinters before the mighty Seth Brown (102 Career OPS+) got hurt giving Rooker playing time. Where is he supposed to play? My point isn't just that the Twins missed on Rooker... that can't be argued... The Twins missed on Rooker. MY POINT is that not only did the Twins miss on Rooker,,, they also missed on THE PLAYERS THAT THEY KEPT. Which is literally the difference between one of the best hitters in baseball and a 25 year old who is out of baseball because no one wants him. You listed the players that we kept like it was a no brainer. Yep those players plus the ones that I added are players that got to play OF. You are asking me "Where is he supposed to play"?
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Some players get chance after chance. Some players barely get a chance. Predetermination is the culprit. It was predetermined that Kepler was going to get chance after chance. It was predetermined that Rooker was some sort of redundancy. In two years time Rooker becomes one of the best hitters in baseball. Celestino is hoping to sign a minor league contract at age 25. Two years ago... they were a tough decision.
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I'm aware of all the players who made up the roster. I'm aware that decisions are tough in that GM office. I get it. Don't forget the Garlick. Plus Refsnyder, Astudillo and Cave. I'm counting on Larnach and Wallner this year. Everyone else on your list. Swing and miss. Gordon cleared waivers. Celestino is 25 and looking for work. Kepler... Was offensively below average for those 3 years with the exception of two months late in 2023. Decisions are tough in the GM chair. They missed. This can't be argued. I get everyone trying to justify the miss. The miss is justified.... but it was a rather large miss when the players they chose are no longer in baseball.
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Agreed. All teams miss. My dander isn't up about them missing. I actually don't know what dander is but I know that all teams miss. They missed... it's clear... it can't be argued. They chose a couple of players who are out of baseball this year over a player who was one of the best hitters in baseball last year. My war against specialists clogging up rosters continues on.
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Twinsdaily posters can agree, complain, be excited or be apathetic all we want. If none of us saw this coming... it's easily explainable because it's not our eyeballs attached to the authority to make things happen. I just don't see how there is any argument here. The Twins let Rooker go and they kept Garlick, they kept Celestino. That's a Canyon. Twinsdaily not seeing it isn't an issue. Those who are paid to watch and decide not seeing it... is kind of an issue. 😉

