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Riverbrian

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Everything posted by Riverbrian

  1. Riverbrian
    Your post is awfully good... Had to reply just to avoid a deafening silence. It's not an open secret in regards to prospects. It's the same difference as always and it is often clearly misunderstood. Let them act naturally and it will sort itself out. Create competition, player X being the only choice will cause Rocco and Player X to be alone together taking the team down the wrong path. Don't look for an exact estimate... get out of the way and let the players tell you through performance.
  2. Riverbrian
    People who know such things have often said that if you own a book store. They say you should name your book store "Books" so everyone knows what you sell. Therefore "Chart Title" is a perfect name because everybody knows that they will be reviewing a chart. I'd like to see all 30 teams on that chart but come this time of year it can be a little misleading post trade deadline. The Twins for example started with 8 pre-arb and have risen to 18 post deadline. The Tigers started with 18 Pre-arb and have dropped to 13 post deadline. All in all.. I'm just trying to show everyone that pre-arb players make up a majority portion of the majority of teams and I'm trying to show that youth isn't necessarily scary and that vets are not necessarily guaranteed producers. I believe that Pre-Arb players have a similar production range that free agents on one or two contracts produce. I believe they have similar production ranges from Bad to Good with one major consideration. The Pre-Arb players makes the minimum along with club control that provide potential production upticks and the one year contract free agent cost at least double if not 10 times more per player and provides no future benefit to the club. The Twins have shot up to 18 pre-arb players and that's good. (let's see if they invest the money saved in the off-season which remains to be determined). I just wish that reaching 18 pre-arb players didn't happen all at once with massive amounts of deadline deals. I wish it have been something that was accumulated year by year. I still hope for that day.
  3. Riverbrian
    I haven't really been able to update while I was on my road trip. I'm back home now so let's get caught up. As of this morning. The Chicago White Sox have 18 pre-arb players. The Twins also have 18. The White Sox are 47-83 while the Twins are 59-71. I didn't update the previous series so let's do get caught up. The Athletics currently have 21 pre-arb players. The Tigers have 13 and the Yankees have 9. The A's are 60-72, Tigers 78-64 and the Yankees are 70-60. Youth doesn't means wins. Youth doesn't mean losses.
  4. Riverbrian
    I have selected my poison. I will take a vial of Ortiz please. Did the same thing with Frelick and Turang in 2023 and 2024. Turns out… it wasn’t ingesting… it was investing.
  5. Riverbrian
    This is the best post of this thread. Discussion of weather Ortiz worked out just pulls the big picture into the weeds. It’s why I don’t want to discuss individual players because it just leads to missing the point. He makes the minimum and the Brewers are winning with him. The Twins ran out of money. We had 7 roster spots to fill with very little money. They tried to cheap one year vet their way to a playoff spot and this approach was going to crash and it did. The Brewers… instead of playing Ty France everyday like he couldn’t be replaced went with youth instead. Some acquired in trades, some homegrown but youth. Their efforts produced ranges on individuals from poor to pretty good just like our cheap one year vets produced ranges from poor to pretty good. The end result. The Brewers could sign Kyle Tucker (they won’t) in the off season and still be below our payroll this year. The Twins had to tear it down just to get where the Brewers were 5 years ago. Develop or Die. We don’t have the budget to be the Phillies and we were acting like the Phillies. What we did have all along was the ability to be the Brewers WITH MORE Money! We chose cheap vets over youth. We strip mined youth for parts. Why is the big question. Lack of trust in youth in general or lack in trust in what your farm was producing. Either option isn’t good and it cost us.
  6. Riverbrian
    Greetings from the Bronx it took about 9 hours to drive here from Cincinnati. The last 6 miles took about an hour. Uff Da. This is nothing like North Dakota. The Yankees have 10 Pre Arb players on the Roster. The Twins have 17 with the return of Buck. Yankees are 63-56. The Twins are 56-62.
  7. Riverbrian
    Congrats to both Matt and Carson. Exciting days for both of them. it’s interesting that they are giving away Carson McCusker bobble heads tonight in Wichita. I’ll be holding the box with his bobblehead in it when he is playing up in Minnesota. Hope I’m lucky for him.
  8. Riverbrian
    Greetings from Wichita. The Royals came into target field with 13 pre-Arb players. The Twins with 18.
  9. Riverbrian
    I ran across your post and responded before I ran across his post that's why I added a second post to something that was already addressed. It's quite possible I'm putting words in his mouth because I can never be sure what he is thinking but I gave his comment a like because I agree with what I thought he was trying to say. I didn't take his response as an attack on you personally. You are one of X number of writers, bloggers and cat jugglers who grade trades after they happen. It's quite common. I read his post as a caution that the trade grades are premature because the winners and losers are yet to be determined. You just happened to be the lucky example to illustrate what he was trying to say. You seemed to be a little defensive in your response (Could be words in your mouth) and I was just trying to clarify what I thought was happening and that defensiveness isn't necessary. That's all. I completely understand. Content is everything... and you need daily content when let's be honest... yesterday was like the day before and day before that making that necessary content difficult to come up with. I totally get it. This trade deadline was obviously big news and the bloggers would not be doing their job if they didn't come up with multiple angles to present for public consumption. I totally get it. In the grand scheme of things. My opinions are just as worthless as anybody's. I do embrace them, I spend thousands of words defending them and it takes guts to stand up to that wind. The thing that I personally have stopped doing is trying to predict what anybody will be in the future so while these articles are necessary and I read them for fun. I take very little stock in them.
  10. Riverbrian
    15 current managers with no love.
  11. Riverbrian
    Nurse is not attacking your analysis. He's using your analysis to show that these immediate trade reaction opinions are worthless. If he thinks that these immediate trade reaction opinions are worthless. I don't think he will put his worthless opinion out there. He knows his opinion is also worthless. He has the guts to express that these opinions are worthless... that's his opinion. His opinion is to not pay attention to these types of opinions. Deep Breath
  12. Riverbrian
    Everyone has a different clock.
  13. Riverbrian
    That is odd but I think one Zebby beats it.
  14. Riverbrian
  15. Riverbrian
    Agreed... Rough year in Colorado. Nobody walking out of a dispensary is feeling much hope in the mile high city. However... I'd love to be the GM of a team with Freeman, Tover, Goodman, Beck, Moniak and Bernibel hitting 1 through 6 in the order. However... I'd hate to be the GM of a team with Freeland, Sanzatela and Marquez 1 through 3 in the starting rotation.
  16. Riverbrian
    It doesn't have to take 2-3 years to build. Turn all the faucets on. See what produces water. Replace the faucet that isn't producing water.
  17. Riverbrian
    I like this thread. Thanks for keeping it up. It'll be interesting to see the overall results of this. To be able to compare and contrast pre and post deadline.
  18. Riverbrian
    They all sell hope. Even the Dodgers are selling hope. Nobody wants to be hopeless.
  19. Riverbrian
    You and I have been through this before. Myself... I'll grade the trades later. When the actual term papers are finished. That's when you get the red marker out and put down a C- on it. This patient assessment approach has improved my March Madness bracket accuracy to perfection. I never get a game wrong when I fill out my brackets. It's easy to do... just stay patient and wait until the game is over before declaring a winner. It's nice because I don't have to get into silly arguments with anyone who thinks passionately that Louisville is going to wipe the floor with Wyoming.
  20. Riverbrian
    What was around him? Good Gravy!!! Does anyone think resupplying Ty France, Manual Margot the latest lead vocalists of the revolving door of low rent one year contract rebound candidates band is producing gold records. It has been the performance of the supporting cast around him that led to this. Thank You to Byron Buxton for announcing publicly that you found a home in Minnesota and plan on retiring here. You've become one of my favorite Twins players of all time just for that public statement. I look forward to your eventual statue on the plaza. Thank You for your commitment to helping your new surrounding cast get your team and my team to better place sooner rather than later. Ladies and Gentlemen... it was shocking... it's not the end of the world. It could be the beginning.
  21. Riverbrian
    What I suggest is an option because the bullpen is really questionable right now and it just might require some creativity to get through it. I'll be surprised if the Twins actually do it like that but I can't see why it can't be figured out this way. You are correct... The more innings you throw... typically the more valuable you are. And the more money you make when Arbitration starts. That's why it would be hard for a rebuilding GM to pass up these deals. Duran - Abel, Jax - Bradley, Varland - Rojas. If the other team is willing to give up legitimate starting talent with the potential of 150 innings a year over guys that throw 60 innings a year. It would be hard to turn down. These trades work out real nice for the Twins if one thing happens. That they are able to develop the players acquired. If Abel, Bradley and Rojas are develop into above average at the very least. We potentially won't have to worry about starting pitching for awhile. Meanwhile... The Bullpen... They will start over and have to rebuild that thing. Using Creativity or duct tape.
  22. Riverbrian
    My assumption is that they liked the return.
  23. Riverbrian
    Nope... Been there done that. I'd rather listen to Ferry Across the Mersey while driving through Chicago. The Ferry has a novelty to it that last about 10 minutes. You park your car on the boat and you go up and sit next to other folks in the where folks sit area. You can go up top and take in the lake as you watch the shore fade in the distance but once you are in middle of Lake Michigan. Up top doesn't have a lot of appeal anymore because all you see is a bunch of water and you just go back down to the where folks sit area and wait for the shores of Wisconsin. It's about 250 bucks for just you and a car. Bring family members and it costs about 7 million dollars. (Won't be listening to Gerry and the Pacemakers on my trip... not in my Spotify account).
  24. Riverbrian
    Starter or Bullpen are just designations. What matters is the amount of innings that they throw. They are all on inning counts. Lopez, Ryan and Ober probably have higher innings (or pitch) counts but the rest are pretty young arms who will be on stricter inning counts. Therefore Matthews, Festa, SWR, Abel, maybe even Bradley would probably routinely pulled after 3, 4 or 5 innings. The Twins could therefore have multiple starters (Just a designation) on the staff on stricter inning counts. Doesn't matter if they start or relieve what matters is getting the innings in. If Matthews is going to go 4 innings, Abel can follow with 4 innings and you can get through the game that way. The starters don't have to be converted.
  25. Riverbrian
    Been on a few of these. I haven't figured out the meaning of life yet but it's probably in a song lyric from the tunes I'll be listening to. Who knows... it might be Mungo Jerry who figured it out back in 1970.
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