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amjgt

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Everything posted by amjgt

  1. amjgt
    Given how extraneous Clemens is, I think it actually can work. It just means more time for Bell and/Caratini at 1B and probably more time for Wallner at DH. Not perfect, but doable.
  2. amjgt
    Larnach and Clemens serve no purpose and should be gone. Outman can provide some value as the 25/26th man on a decent team. He can stick around for now. If he stinks though May, then Fedko can come up and play that role Wallner has enough positive history that he should get a much longer leash than Larnach. Ride with him until midseason. If at that point he’s performing like last year or worse, then reduce his role. Ober, same as Wallner, but with less of a clear replacement so he probably gets the full season to prove if he can be serviceable at 89mph ERod should be up in a week when his MLB service time clock stays at zero for 2026. Roden should also be up with the Larnach/Clemens exodus, but without any real service time concern. Culpepper and Jenkins can be midseason replacements for underperforming players (Like Wallner and Lee/Lewis), assuming they both keep performing well. Prielipp? Not sure what the Twins are doing with him. I’d probably keep him as a starter through June to build up innings, then call him up and use him in the bullpen for the rest of the year. With the goal of getting him to 120 innings on the year Zebby…. Find a role for him once he has a solid month at AAA. Anyone else?
  3. amjgt
    My biggest complaint is that the Twins rarely spend beyond their bonus pool. It’s not a hard cap. There are just penalties for going your pool. The penalties start rather small and then escalate to very severe. Many (most?) other team spend beyond their pools. ——— "A team that exceeds its bonus pool faces a penalty. A club outspending its allotment by 0-5 percent pays a 75% tax on the overage. At higher thresholds, a team loses future picks: a first-rounder and a 75% tax for surpassing its pool by more than 5 and up to 10 percent; a first- and a second-rounder and a 100% tax for more than 10 and up to 15 percent; and two first-rounders and a 100% tax for more than 15%." ——— Said more plainly… The Twins could spend 17.78M on draftees and then pay roughly a $635k fine on the overage. Beyond 5% (17.78M for the Twins) the penalties become future draft picks, which is why nobody has ever done that.
  4. amjgt
    My crazy prognostication is that MLB will shrink the strike zone vertically this coming offseason. This will sort of accomplish what you’re talking about.
  5. amjgt
    I’m not super interested in defending Outman, but spotting him against a lefty (Because of the Buxton injury) isn’t setting him up for any possible success.
  6. amjgt
    Caratini might have challenged 2 of those ball calls (in the 4 pitch walk) if Bell hadn’t burned our first ABS challenge
  7. amjgt
    Man, our hitters gotta stop challenging in ultra low leverage situations
  8. amjgt
    Oops… wrong thread
  9. amjgt
    After the first strike of the Fralick AB there was a very brief graphic that popped up. I can’t get a freeze frame of it. It sort of looked like a live ABS
  10. amjgt
    I don’t think you have a good read on the rubes or TD
  11. amjgt
    If that remains a hit for Sal Perez, that should be final nail in the coffin for the “error” statistic.
  12. amjgt
    I love Keaschall, but an average 2B makes that out
  13. amjgt
    That’s 3 outs (With the Keaschall play) that our defense has given the Royals. When people complain about elevated pitch counts, we need to keep this in mind
  14. amjgt
    As punishment for his stupid ABS challenge, Shelton should make Wallner watch the last 90 minutes of this game on a loop for his next 4 team flights. Absolute torture. And filled with perfect examples why he can NOT do what he did.
  15. amjgt
    Well… Mick Abel pitched about 2 hours today.
  16. amjgt
    We’ve managed to shoot outselves in the foot AND get incredibly unlucky in the last 10 minutes
  17. amjgt
    Wellness check on Nick
  18. amjgt
    Kaelen with a 3-run jack to tie up the Saints game at 5 Royce must’ve gotten nervous because as I was typing the first part, Royce hit a homer!
  19. amjgt
    My problem with Kody batting lead off is that I view him as a very non essential part of this team and that he’s pretty redundant positionally. I was hoping he was going to have a pretty short leash on this roster, but the fact that he’s batting lead off makes me think that Twins leadership likely doesn’t view him as non essential and redundant
  20. amjgt
    If you're a baseball fan and you can't find at least a handful of things to be excited about on your team's opening day, then I think you're either just being stubbornly negative, or your baseline expectations as a sports fan are too high.
  21. amjgt
    This. 100% this
  22. amjgt
    I'm not a huge fan of referencing Vegas over/unders when talking about projected wins. Vegas is not setting lines where they think the results will be. They are setting the lines where they think they will get equal money on both sides.
  23. amjgt
    Wallner has had 13 months in his career with 20 or more plate appearances. In 10 of those 13 months he's had an OPS+ over 110.
  24. amjgt
    Probably true. His 50th percentile offensive outcome is probably a higher average than Larnach and a similar OPS, so mostly a wash overall. The advantage gained by Roden's defense probably offsets the known of Larnach's career health. He hasn't exactly been the picture of health, but he also hasn't really spent a ton of time on the IL. Maybe that's a little recency bias though. The 50th percentile health outcome for just about any major leaguer has to be below what Larnach has done health-wise for his career.
  25. amjgt
    I’m in the minority, but I have no problem with Outman making this team. It’s not a perfect fit of course, but he’s the type of guy that teams in the Twins situation need to take one last shot on. And if nothing else, he can be a defense first, speed guy. There’s a roll for that type of player on Major League rosters. And I wouldn’t actually want Roden filling that roll. I’d rather having him playing more often than that (on the Twins or Saints). Having Outman be the 5th OF is just fine to me. Not perfect, but fine. Larnach is the one truly blocking Rodon. I, like many others, just don’t see why he’s still a Twin. Once he was offered arbitration, it seemed inevitable, but as many have said, it just doesn’t make sense.
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