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Nine of twelve

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Everything posted by Nine of twelve

  1. It's my understanding that the primary factor in the increase in the number of home runs last year was due not to changes in average exit velocity or in average launch angle or in the hardness of the ball, but rather to the decreased air resistance of the ball. This means that the distances of home runs hit would be the most important variable to consider. A player who hit a lot of dingers less than 400 feet will probably see a large regression. A player who hit a lot of them more than 400 feet will probably regress very little.
  2. That's the thing about the free agent market. It's the anti-draft. Instead of the team choosing a player the player chooses a team. If a player doesn't want to play for a team it doesn't matter how much he's offered. In spite of 101 wins I would guess that many players still view the Twins as perennial non-contenders. I think we're going to have to prove ourselves by putting together a few more years of high-level performance before players consider Minneapolis to be a worthwhile destination.
  3. Since your second sentence is an insult of others with a different vantage point you should be able to answer the question you ask in the third sentence. Were you aware of the extreme irony here? Did you intentionally use that for the purpose of making a point? Or are you being hypocritical? I honestly can't tell.
  4. Your point is well taken. I have to admit that the 2015 Toronto team came about 1% closer than the 2002 Twins team.
  5. I think we all remember Jim Pohlad's famous comment about total system failure after the 2016 season. That was not just an idle comment. He took seriously the need to make changes, and so he initiated a complete restructuring of the entire franchise. It is easy to become impatient, but keep in mind that it takes a number of years to implement a top-to-bottom change in personnel and philosophy in a franchise and even longer for the results to be seen at the major league level. We are only three years in so it's still early. Even though I don't know the inner workings of the organization I get the strong feeling that Derek Falvey knows what he is doing. I share Mr. Schwerzler's optimism and snide remarks such as those above do not dissuade me.
  6. Who has said a team should shoot for sustained mediocrity? It certainly wasn't me. I said a team should shoot for sustained contention for the postseason. And BTW the Twins lost the ALCS to the eventual WS champs in 2002. The BJ's did it in 2015, an interval of 13 years. Is 13 almost 30?
  7. Highlight of the second decade of Target Field: MIguel Sano hits a home run over the third deck in left field.
  8. Could be. But I noticed you stopped short of saying you think he should be traded.
  9. I agree with the first sentence. I strongly disagree with the second sentence. Even though the team may not be an owner's primary business it doesn't mean the owner doesn't care about the bottom line. Owners are in the sports franchise business to make money off their teams.
  10. I haven't read all the posts so I apologize if this restates earlier points. I've said before that the goal of any franchise should be to contend for a postseason berth every year. EVERY year. That means scouting and player development must be the highest priorities. Good scouting means good drafts, trades, and free agent signings. Good player development speaks for itself. If a team takes care of this infrastructure it means that mortgaging a franchise's future to go all-in would never be necessary. In cases where a significant trade or free agent signing would be indicated such moves would not hamstring the franchise's future. BTW, Toronto should also be mentioned in this discussion. I think it was 4 or 5 years ago that they went all-in and got nothing. Now they are nowhere. They have been reported to have agreed to terms with Ryu, but if that comes to pass it would at best move them up to contention for a winning record.
  11. I have the first Jayhawks album on vinyl. I'd be willing to contribute that if it helps to sign a good starter.
  12. Actually, it has a natural harbor right on the Atlantic Ocean. Plus you could probably get a good deal working as a spokesman for LL Bean.
  13. When it comes to free agent pitchers, show them our offensive stats from 2019 with the mention that many of the players are just entering their primes.
  14. Thanks for finding this info. I distinctly remembered us getting some big hits off him this past season. That's why my initial reaction to this signing was not enthusiastic. Now seeing that his ERA was 2.01 in games not pitched against the Twins I give it a definite thumbs up. No mystery about why he thought we'd be a good team for him to pitch for.
  15. You may have seen the article as criticizing Astudillo. I saw it as evaluating him.
  16. In 1997 when the NHL had awarded an expansion team to Minnesota there was some discussion (and maybe even a contest?) to name the new team. I came up an idea for name that I didn't share it with anyone at the time but now I think I should have. The name I came up with was a variation on Vikings. Vikings were sailors from Norway. As anyone who has done crossword puzzles knows, the term "tar" is a slang term for sailor. And another term for "Norwegian" is "Norse". So I thought it would be fitting for the team to be named the Minnesota Norse Tars.
  17. What if the Yankees hadn't had so many injured players during 2019? What if the Twins had kept David Ortiz? What if the Red Sox hadn't traded Babe Ruth to the Yankees? As my late grandfather was fond of saying, if my aunt had balls she'd have been my uncle.
  18. You are correct, ma'am! How do you suppose Rafael Palmiero wound up as a spokesperson for Viagra? This is how.
  19. The discussion of the importance of defense is a bit tangential but here is how it applies to the thread topic: When all aspects of the game are taken into consideration I think Sano will be one of the best, possibly the best, third basemen in the majors in 2020. For that reason I think looking to replace him at this point in time is foolish.
  20. Calling the 2020 baseball a potential dead ball is probably an overstatement. I anticipate that the ball will have greater air resistance restored but in any case this would only slightly increase the importance of fielding. Pitching and batting will still be far more important.
  21. Of course those plays are beneficial. But with good pitching and/or good hitting there will be fewer tense innings and the occasional gapper will be much less likely to cost your team a game.
  22. Baseball has four aspects. In order of importance they are pitching, batting, fielding, and base running. There have been many teams that have overwhelmed their opponents with good pitching. There have been many teams that have overwhelmed their opponents with good batting. There have been no teams that have overwhelmed their opponents with good fielding or good base running.
  23. Sano had a major injury in 2017 followed by major surgery. In retrospect it should have been expected for him to struggle in 2018. Regarding 2019, he was rushed to the majors with no spring training and a rehab assignment that was far short of adequate. He was way rusty and had to work through that against players who were in midseason form. Again, it should have been expected for him to struggle. What we saw in the second half of 2019 was the real Miguel Sano. Finally. He will be the 2020 AL MVP.
  24. Look at how lost Miguel Sano was when he resumed play in 2018 after a serious injury and major surgery. And then look at the last 3 months of 2019. I'm not equating the two players, but performance after a serious injury and/or surgery is unreliable data.
  25. This is either really poor logic on Manfred's part or an excuse to never implement automated strike calling. Technology improves. Continuously. The automated systems available 5 years from now will be better than the systems available now. The systems available 10 years from now will be better than the systems available 5 years from now. Ad infinitum. It's just like phones and computers. If you wait for it to be "absolutely the best it can be" then you will never do it. To contrast, the ability of humans to call strikes will never improve. Moreover, that ability will always vary from one human to another and from one situation to another, leading to inconsistencies and injustices. If I were commissioner I would go to an automated system when it surpasses the ability of the average MLB umpire. Without doing any research of the data I would expect that that moment in time has already occurred. That means this change is overdue.
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