Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

Brock Beauchamp

Site Manager
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    32,669

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    328

 Content Type 

Profiles

Minnesota Twins News, Rumors & Analysis

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospect Rankings

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Minnesota Twins Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Minnesota Twins Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    JBJ MiLB slash: .294 .391 .460 .851 JBJ MLB slash over his first 550 PAs: .196 .268 .280 .548 Look familiar? JBJ even entered MLB during his age 23 season if you want even more parity. Buxton got there a bit younger but both were quite young when they were promoted.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Dunno how I never realized the JBJ comp was such a good one.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    It's hard for me to care who is the odd man out, I just want them to make a decision and get either Vargas or Park up here soon.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Byron did that a bit more yesterday, which I thought was promising. In his first plate appearance, he struck out on four pitches. Not good. But in his second and third plate appearances, he laid off some pitches outside the zone and worked the count a bit, taking six pitches in each appearance. The problem I saw yesterday is that pitchers are hammering the zone with Byron and he can't connect. First: Second: Third: If Buxton can continue to take 5+ pitches per plate appearance, he might be okay in the long run... even if that means getting caught looking for a third strike for awhile.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep. Rowson should be spending an abundance of time with Buxton right now. Probably Hunter, too. They need to find a way to convince Byron that consistency is key. If you use the leg kick, use the leg kick. If you want to toe tap, then toe tap. If you want to stand backwards at the plate, stand backwards at the plate. But do it every time.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm not entirely against Duffey as closer. His groundball rate is a lot higher than I remember it being. But I want to see him pitch from the pen more often. I'm always wary of curveball relievers... When the pitch doesn't curve, it often goes a very long away before landing on the ground. And, more than anything else, I want my closer to not give up home runs.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah... the last time I was worried about Mauer's defense was around 2015 and it turned out he was hurt at the time. The guy is solid at first.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    I appreciate how diligently Spicer is sticking to the formula of The Producers and keeping a straight face while doing so.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Also, I refuse to complain when a manager sits a LHB versus a LHP. This is what we've wanted Molitor to do for two years, the problem is the back of the Twins' bench is pretty awful.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Given how Kepler has played every day to this point (to my recollection anyway) while the Twins have faced an unusual number of lefties to start the season, I think this is just a day off for Kepler. And if you're going to sit Max for a day off, do it when a LHP is on the mound.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Probably very little, as BYTO was pretty patient with prospects, especially good ones. But he'd almost certainly have a word filter like "pinwheel" by this point.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, there is still a lot to learn about framing but requiring it to align with CERA - which is wildly inconsistent and generally regarded as a bad statistical measure of a player - is asking framing to correlate with a stat we already know is flawed. We should be asking why CERA isn't a good indicator of catching prowess, not why framing doesn't align with a stat we believe to be broken (and was believed to be broken before sabr people came around at all, really).
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    If we want to be pedantic about it, most relievers pitch around one inning per appearance and as a unit, the bullpen is averaging about four innings per game. Plus two runs per reliever times four innings would give the bullpen a +8.00 ERA. Which isn't that far off my preseason prediction, actually.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    No offense but Chief is right. You worded it as the following: "If the relievers allowed just 2 more runs per game" Relievers don't pitch nine innings per game. If they allowed two more runs per game, that'd be well over a 2.00 ERA. I assume you meant "if the relievers all had a +2.00 ERA", which is different.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    It comes down to the pitching staff. In Santiago, we know his record. He's a passable pitcher when he's throwing well. At this point, Hughes' upside is likely mediocrity unless he magically finds another 3mph on his fastball. Gibson has a little upside but it's unlikely he'll be better than a strong #3 if all goes well. Mejia is a wildcard but he's not exactly the second coming of Sandy Koufax. His upside is probably somewhere around a #3 as well. I just listed 80% of the rotation, which has an upside of middle of the rotation. Then there's Santana, who appears to be rolling again. We can put his ceiling at #2. That kind of rotation is not the hallmark of a postseason team. Can they make the postseason? Sure, anything can happen but I sure wouldn't bet my hard-earned money on it.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Santana is often a #2 or a #4. I think a lot of people use "#3" as short hand to average out his seasonal performances but the reality is that he's rarely a "pretty good" player. He's usually really good or just acceptable.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, that was pretty painful and the sort of mistake Sano shouldn't be making after all those innings at third in the minors. Drive the runner back to the previous base, don't let him advance. With that said, it was one play. Hopefully he learned his lesson. I'm far more interested in seeing him make the routine plays and can discard a one-off blunder as just that.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    I see your point bit FIP isn't technically what happened, as it assumes all non-home run contact is the same. Courtesy of pitchers like Ricky Nolasco, we know that simply is not a safe assumption to make. Nolasco has been in the big leagues for 12 seasons. In 11 of those seasons, his ERA has been higher than his FIP. We know ERA isn't wrong - those runs happened - so that leaves the error in the lap of FIP. FIP is a good metric but not without its faults. Once enough innings have been accrued, there are better indicators of ability, even some of the old ones like ERA.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    This line is fantastic: "Sano, a 6-foot-4, 260-pound cross between a human and a tree, is the kind of player who slugs “only” .462."
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    I can't fault them for taking three films to figure it out. I had no idea I so badly needed to see arena rock god Thor until I saw arena rock god Thor in that trailer.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep. I enjoyed the "boyishly naive" Thor from the first film and I hope that Thor comes back in the third film. He's a god. He's arrogant but kind-hearted. He's at the top of the world. Yeah, he's going to be a little silly at times because he fears almost nothing.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    I was pretty meh about the Thor films. Liked the first one okay, the second felt flat. So I wasn't terribly excited about Ragnarok. Then I saw this trailer. I actually clapped during the trailer because it's just so much FUN. I can't wait for this film now. Also, this *has* to be the hottest film franchise in history. It's ridiculous how many beautiful people exist in Thor's corner of the universe. Now we get Tessa Thompson and Cate Blanchett added to the cast (but minus Natalie Portman). https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v7MGUNV8MxU
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't really consider that insignificant. On the small-ish side but .25 ERA is the difference between a solid #3 and a guy who is edging toward being a #2. And when we're talking about a guy with 13 seasons under his belt, I don't see the need to rely on FIP as much. Santana's ERA should become the standard after a certain number of innings, as it's a better indicator of actual on-field results. At some point in a person's career, we need to replace "what should happen" with "what did happen".
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    I considered that but it doesn't really matter when you check the stats. Here is Santana's 2011-2014 line. I added 2011 because he looks really bad without that extra season (he had several on-again, off-again seasons during that stretch): 2011-2014: 126 games, 99 ERA+, 4.19 FIP, 2.7 BB/9, 7.2 K/9 Almost identical to his career line. And by "almost identical", I mean "almost identical". If you take out his pre-age 25 seasons, the numbers nudge up a small amount (102 ERA+) but still miles below what he has done with the Twins.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    ERA doesn't really tell the entire story there. Here are Santana's ERA+ stats from 2011-2014, which adjusts for the league-wide scoring depression that happened during that time: 2011: 111 2012: 74 2013: 127 2014: 90 His play looks a lot less impressive using adjusted ERA.
×
×
  • Create New...