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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep, right now we should consider him a process guy, not a results guy. If he keeps doing what he's doing, the numbers should come around.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Grossman didn't only play CF in the minors for Cleveland, Houston also had him there most of the time. In his MiLB career, he started 323 games as CF, 87 as LF, 194 as RF. And he didn't play CF in the low minors and then transition entirely to a corner spot, a la Oswaldo Arcia. He routinely played CF all the way through the upper minors.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Not a lot there but I'm super-excited for the film.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Actually, not that far off. Laying off 1-2 (unhittable) pitches per game can drastically change outcomes over the course of a season. It's the difference between a 2-1 and 1-2 count. It's the difference between seeing a hittable fifth pitch and sitting down. Over 150 games, just one pitch per game could theoretically change 150 outcomes. More likely is that it'd change 25-50 outcomes but that's the difference between a bad hitter and an acceptable hitter or an acceptable hitter and a good hitter. Removing the worst 150 strikes thrown to you over a season is a pretty big deal. Each hit over a full season is worth approximately .002 batting average. Changing just 25 outcomes and putting wood on the ball instead of missing the ball is worth around eight hits using a standard BABIP. Even if every one of those hits is a single, that adds .015 batting average to Rosario's line. That's .030 in OPS just from singles. Also remember that I'm not asking Rosario to be a disciplined hitter. I don't think that's in the realm of possibility. But given his talent, merely avoiding being a stupid hitter could pay big dividends.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    The team needs to stick with Rosario for awhile. He's not getting the results but he's trending in a direction that will lead to more long-term success for Eddie. Pitches per PA by season: 2015: 3.57 2016: 3.71 2017: 3.89 Swinging Strike by season: 2015: 14.5% 2016: 15.3% 2017: 11.8% Contact Percentage by season: 2015: 75.1% 2016: 70.3% 2017: 80.7%
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    It's hard to pitch around Sano if you have two OBP guys in front of him. While Sano is a beast, if two guys are already on the basepaths, it's unlikely the other team is going to walk Miguel very often. And you don't need a great hitter behind Sano in that situation, you just need a competent hitter. One of Kepler, Buxton, or Rosario will hopefully fill that role as the season progresses (man, Max was teeing off yesterday, a really impressive performance from him). Thus far in the season, we've seen the Twins thrive by stacking really annoying hitters in a row: Dozier, Grossman, Mauer, and Sano. And when it has worked properly, walks have massacred opposing pitchers. Time will tell whether that success has been a fluke of SSS or whether it's a strategy that can succeed over the long term.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm hoping it's a problem that will be resolved soon and I suspect Michael Tonkin will be the guy left out in the cold. And I'm okay with that. Hard to say anything bad about Haley's performance thus far and the front office may have stolen that guy in the draft.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    10.2% versus 27.5% is kind of a comically large gap. He doesn't have enough plate appearances this season to really judge if there's a trend, though I hope there is.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    I couldn't resist, I had to go look. Yep, that's the Strib comment section.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    And, like magic, I upped the maximum number of likes.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    I think you're focusing too much on individual stats at the expense of the whole. A DH needs to hit, on that we can all agree... but there are different ways to hit. And thus far, Grossman has delivered in the "hitting" category. How he gets there is less important to me than where he ends up.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    And here lies my biggest problem with Mauer. The first pitch thing bugs me but I can accept the passive approach overall. What irks me is his refusal to change his approach with the game, especially once defenses started shifting on him every time.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm pretty sure that no player does that, as I believe you're confusing Ash Wednesday with Good Friday.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    BTW, it should be noted that in yesterday's game with Buxton on third and one out, Mauer swung at the first pitch and knocked a base hit to left field. Yes, it's one pitch and swing but hopefully it's indicative that Mauer is willing to adjust based on situation. Also, if Sano continues to hit behind Joe all season, I'll take all the OBP I can get in any situation. Because Sano launched a moon shot immediately after Joe's base knock.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    No, it's not a good thing, but it's the kind of thing that gives me pause when considering pulling a guy from a rotation. It's two starts. If he doesn't melt down in one of those starts, he looks okay out there. I'm not willing to pull a guy out of the rotation based on two innings.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    I get that but I'm not going for warm and fuzzies from a hitter, I want performance no matter how it comes. And that RISP OBP is jaw-dropping. That doesn't mean Mauer is perfect nor does it mean he can't occasionally swing at the first ****ing pitch but it means I can't criticize the guy too much, either.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    He's 29. But yes, not young. I wouldn't pull the plug on Gibson quite yet. I'm just as wary of Hughes and Mejia as I am Gibson. And Gibson has been solid in two starts with one awful inning in each outing. That's the kind of thing that gives me pause. Maybe he's just that guy, I don't know... but I'm willing to give him a bit more leash before yanking him. Not a lot, though. I'd consider pulling him after six starts if he continues the trend.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    I'd like to see platoons all over the place. Mix and match Kepler, Rosario, Park/Vargas, Grossman, Mauer, Sano, and Escobar based on matchup and rest days. Which is one of the things that has impressed me about Molitor this season. He's not afraid to use a new lineup every day, the biggest problem is that the current bench is pretty awful.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Agreed. And that's really the point of my post. I'm not predicting Grossman to be an .800+ OPS player, I'm merely wondering when we consider him to be that player if he keeps hitting like he has with the Twins. 400 PAs is a slightly problematic sample size but it's not small, either. And Grossman's peripherals back up his performance (outside of BABIP, but if he loses .015-.025 in that regard, how much does that really hurt him?).
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Yes, but there is a difference between a player struggling through his first 400 PAs at ages 22-23 versus a player succeeding through his 650-1100 PAs at ages 26-27.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't see that either but I didn't see him posting an .830 OPS last season, either. I'm going to reserve judgment on Grossman until he stops hitting at that clip.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah. The guy is approaching getting on base 50% of the time in RISP situations. That's amazing. I mean, just ****ing amazing.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Rosario doesn't need good discipline, he simply needs not terrible discipline. He's always going to be a bad ball hitter than that's okay. What he needs to do is stop swinging at the 3-4% of completely unhittable pitches thrown his way.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Home runs don't count in BABIP. Sure, homers remove a few balls from play entirely so therefore "fewer opportunities = easier to maintain a high number" but if we're going by that standard, strikeouts also help BABIP and are far more frequent than homers.
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