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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh man, Buxton for Gray. What an interesting proposition. I wouldn't say no immediately.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    To be fair, no one ranked the 2012 Astros draft to perform as well as it has back in 2012.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    That's fair. I'm just not in that big of a rush to deal Santana in the first place. Dozier, sure, I probably take a lesser deal with him because he's not vital to the Twins winning in 2018 and beyond... but it's hard to see this team taking a step forward without a nearly-ready prospect in return for Santana. Gonsalves and Romero will likely help the rotation in 2018 but I don't see them solving the entire problem.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    I feel the same way. I think they likely lose a couple of games with a Santana trade but how much that impacts them really depends on who replaces him. If it's Gonsalves, the difference could be -3 games or it could be 0 games. Hard to say.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Could they, though? I agree the bullpen could/should have been addressed in a more significant way but the rotation was basically a crapshoot from day one and there was little to be done about it. Also remember that one of the key pieces of the rotation - May - was lost just days before the season began. That stung. It's possible, maybe even likely, the Twins are 3-4 games better right now solely by replacing a terrible starter with a mediocre May (which is a reasonable expectation, as his ceiling is probably more in the "decent starter" range). Never mind that it's a leap to assume Santiago was going to be a tire fire because he lost velocity. The bullpen should be better than it is today but I simply don't see a way the Twins could have significantly improved the rotation. Of course, we can't assume all starters will be healthy for a full season but even a partial season with a rotation of Santana, Berrios, May, Santiago, and Mejia would be miles better than what we've seen in recent weeks.* *With all of that said, call up Gonsalves already. Crikey.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    You know we agree about relief free agents. Neither of us liked what they did this offseason. The only thing at risk was money on a team with a payroll that's already too low. But I had no issues with them refusing to trade prospects going into the season. If you entered their position, would you rely on the backbone of the old organization to find both the prospects you want in trade and the prospects you're willing to trade? I wouldn't. I'd sit it out, institute the framework of an organization I trust to be put in place, and then consider which prospects can/should be dealt. Which is why I give them something of a pass last offseason but will not do the same this offseason.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    I skew toward favoring a single high-end prospect over multiple lesser prospects. YMMV.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    If a team isn't willing to offer one top 50 prospect or two top 100 prospects for Santana, hard pass.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Short of giving up Dozier straight-up for De Leon, I don't make that move if I'm the Dodgers. And if I'm the Twins, I don't move Dozier straight-up for De Leon. After the Forsythe trade, it made a lot of sense why that deal didn't happen. It's unfortunate that 2B is such a strong position among contenders right now. Once the Dodgers non-deal played out, there was nowhere else to go.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    No, I don't think that's the reason. I think the reason the system has been graded as mediocre is the lack of high-end talent... which is natural. After a team graduates the likes of Rosario, Sano, Berrios, Buxton, Kepler, et al in a time span of 28-ish months, coming away from that with a "mediocre" farm system is something of an accomplishment. What we're seeing now is the emergence of a new crop of talent, which is going to bump the farm system back up a few notches. Seeing players like Gonsalves, Romero, Gordon, and Thorpe begin to come into their own suddenly makes the system look a fair amount better.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    They haven't done much... yet. But even at this point in late July, we're still basically grading them on their last offseason. With their recent bullpen implosions, do we even *want* them to pursue someone like Gray? I don't think I do. Given the recent play, I'm eyeing the offseason now (excepting players who may be sold, not "win for 2017" acquisitions). And I will be immensely disappointed if this coming offseason is as quiet as the last.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Yes, at this point, just clearing him off the 40 man is a victory of sorts. It's nice to get a lottery ticket for him, just as the Twins did with Palka. The thing about lottery tickets is that they often don't pan out. It doesn't mean it's a bad deal. If you're releasing a sure loser to pick up a possible winner, that's a deal you make every time.* *not that Murphy is a sure loser, but he's damned close to it at this point
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Eh, Palka is a disappointment but Herrmann had an extremely lucky year. I call the trade a wash, a shuffling of deck chairs. Chris Herrmann, as it turns out, has turned back into exactly what we knew he was.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm wondering what you expected them to do. I think we can all agree that they didn't do what they could to shore up the bullpen in the offseason. But they *did* try to move their only truly valuable (and tradable) asset for starting pitching. There was virtually no help on the free agent market for starters, we all know that. As for what they have done for the long term health of the pitching staff, they pulled off what appears to be a successful draft, largely based on the pitchers they nabbed down the board.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm not declaring it a moral victory, only pointing out that the Twins lost a series to what is likely the best team in baseball and kept it close. Now they get to play some of the cupcakes of baseball. We'll see how this shakes out soon enough. One interleague series in July will not make or break a season.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    They went into the home stadium of the hottest (and likely best) team in baseball and played two competitive games. It hurts the Twins in the standings but this wasn't the Astros series where the Twins were humiliated in three games.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    If you can get Verlander for next to nothing, sure. But that's unlikely to be the case so I would steer clear. Verlander is posting pretty mediocre numbers this season, is 34 years old, and is guaranteed a whopping $56m over the next two seasons.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    14 teams entered the 2017 season with a payroll over $150m. The Twins were at $108m so they have plenty of flexibility to push toward, say, $130m. That gives management a whopping $35m-ish once you subtract expiring contracts. And that's ignoring Mauer's $23m that will come of the books in 14 months. The Twins have no excuse not to spend this offseason. They can add $25m each year for the next two seasons and still only end up at $130-135m (of course, some of that will go to existing players but not a lot).
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    Just saw the write up on Santiago's rehab start. Ish. It's harder to justify Colon staying in the rotation if Santiago isn't on the way back. But I'm still done with Gibson. Call up Gonsalves and let it fly.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    I like Rosario but would definitely consider moving him for pitching if he finishes the season with an .800 OPS.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    And many of us are saying this is a really weird place to take a stand. Both pitchers have been awful. The Twins could release both of them tomorrow and I wouldn't blink twice over the decision.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Eh, they're both bad enough that it doesn't really matter. Gibson has been slightly less awful in 2017, Colon has actually been a good pitcher much more recently than Gibson.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Appears that way.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Other than the loss of on-field talent, it's not a disaster if Santana fades. He only has 14 months left on his contract. There's a vesting option but if he's bad, he won't reach the innings requirement. A team will rarely win if they trade away talent when they fear that talent might decline, especially at a position of need as dire as the Twins' need for pitching.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    That's a possibility but True Detective was its own beast. It was a standalone story that took years to craft. Whereas Stranger Things is a more linear, traditional show. That doesn't mean the showrunners know where to go next (see Heroes) but it's easier to write a second season of this kind of show than starting over from scratch with a new idea.
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