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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Maybe a little but still not a certainty. Colon has been bad this season but only marginally worse than Gibson and his recent track record is a lot better than Kyle (though he's ancient so those halcyon days may be over for good). As for Santiago, I'll take a healthy Hector over a healthy Kyle if I'm trying to win this season (and probably in general, actually). They're close enough in age where it's not a factor and... Gibson has 667 IP, an 86 ERA+, a 4.39 FIP, and 6.0 K/9. Santiago has 785 IP, a 101 ERA+, a 4.85 FIP, and a 7.8 K/9.
  2. I simply do not understand this narrative, which seems to have gained traction on the board. Gibson had a decent game against a terrible Detroit team. Before that, he had what looked to be a decent start that, in typical Gibson fashion, imploded at the end. Before that, he had a brutal game where he went 4.0 innings and gave up 7 earned runs. How is Gibson getting hot? Because if this is him hot, yeesh.
  3. That's how I'm reading the tea leaves as well. And I'm not being snarky here but it always fascinates me how people seem to get upset every time the Twins release a mediocre player. Honestly, why does anyone really care about Haley? He was on the DL for a couple of months and was a marginal talent in the first place. If anything, I'm in favor of the Twins releasing more players of his ilk (which they've been doing more, though I wish it had started a month ago).
  4. Yeah, and I keep forgetting about Santiago. Honestly, the best case scenario is that he gets healthy and bumps Colon.
  5. I'd prefer to see if Santiago can get healthy and bump Colon out of the rotation. If healthy, a rotation of Santana, Berrios, Mejia, Garcia, and Santiago should be quite competent. If one of the latter three go on anything approaching a hot streak, it might even be a good rotation. All of those pitchers are either already above average (Santana, Berrios), somewhere around average (Mejia), or have a long track record of average pitching (Garcia, Santiago).
  6. Once again, Rosario's swing metrics are trending in the right direction and he's seeing success. No surprise there. Compared to 2016, his O-Swing % is -4.3, his O-Contact % is +6.4, and his Z-Contact % is +2.5. Going into the season, I said Rosario just needs to lay off the worst 3-4% of pitches thrown to him. It appears he's doing that and maybe even a bit more. He'll never be a walk machine and that's okay. He simply needs to give himself a real chance of hitting the ball by laying off pitches that no batter could lay good wood on.
  7. Equally bad, which is why I'm confused why anyone cares about this much. Since his promotion in May, Gibson has a 5.27 ERA. In July, he has a 6.00 ERA. He's not getting better, despite having one good start. He's the same guy he's been all season.
  8. Yeah, this. I'm confused why anyone cares whether the Twins chose Bad Option A or Bad Option B. I'm hoping this shuffling of chairs continues and Gonsalves ends up on the MLB team in early August.
  9. Nonononono. Mejia has earned his spot. He has a solid ERA and strikeout rate. Mejia stays, Gibson goes. No question about it. You're better in both the short and long term that way.
  10. I wanted to see this kind of house-cleaning happen nearly a month ago but I'll take it.
  11. On that we probably agree. I'm looking to win in 2018 but maybe not decidedly. Add a few pieces, improve the team out of Spring Training. Add pieces if/when necessary as the season progresses. Then, based on what Gonsalves, May, Romero, et al have or have not done, aim higher the following offseason. This team doesn't need to fix all its problems in a single offseason. Shore up a few things, sign a few guys to smart deals, and get better. That's what I'm looking for right now. The Twins don't need to break open the bank this offseason but they do need to pick up several quality players that will make the team better in April of 2018.
  12. Dunno, I think Gonsalves has to be close to ready now. We'll see how the rest of the season plays out.
  13. I'd go with one starter. You have Berrios and Santana up front. You pick up a free agent starter as your third guy. After that, you leave two spots open for Mejia, May, Gonsalves, and Romero.
  14. Man, forgot about Perkins. That changes my target for free agency. Spend at least $20m this offseason, $25m preferred. They should have even more to spend than that but I'm more interested in shoring up holes than making a giant splash in free agency this offseason. The front office should be able to pick up an adequate starter and some good bullpen pieces for $25m.
  15. Which is why I lean toward Gonsalves. He's not on the 40 man but he's pitching well in AA and is 23 years old. I don't think the Twins should care too much about burning options at this point.
  16. About damned time.
  17. It better be, as Mauer comes off the books in 14 months. If they punt on 2018 because Mauer is making $23m, fans should be outraged. The window to win has opened, now is the time to start adding pieces and payroll. I'll be immensely disappointed if the Twins add less than $15m of free agents this offseason (actually more like $20m would be my target).
  18. If they can't get a deal done for a starter at the deadline, they need to call up either Romero or Gonsalves. Hell, that might be the right decision either way. It's not likely but it's possible that one of those guys could outperform someone like Jaime Garcia over ten-ish starts.
  19. And it's not as if the Twins have no room in their rotation for both a healthy Santiago and another pitcher. God forbid, that might actually make their rotation passable.
  20. Some have, but I always thought he was a decent retention. Yeah, there's risk with any mediocre pitcher who outperforms his peripherals but considering this pitching staff, his modest upside could have been useful given the other options.
  21. And if Santiago was healthy, we might not be having this conversation.
  22. It takes talent to get talent. Garcia is mediocre but Burdi is a wildcard due to injury. I wouldn't jump at the idea of giving up Burdi but it's a reasonable trade.
  23. 40 man be damned, Thorpe is still just 21. I can see the Braves questioning Burdi's medical but if I was them, I'd take Thorpe for Garcia and howl for joy immediately afterward. He's an injury concern but so are lots of guys. Right now, he's healthy, young, left-handed, and flat dealing. It's not as if Garcia is some lust object in the rotation.
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