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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    I often use obscure song lyrics. Easy to remember, can get a 20+ character password that you'll never forget. I also tier my passwords. I use a single password for hundreds of sites. If I don't care whether that site gets hacked, I use that tier 4 password. If I care a little, I use a more complicated tier 3 password. If I care a lot, a very complex tier 2 password. If it'd be disastrous to get hacked, an incredibly complex tier 1 password. I only use that last one in 3-4 places (banking, investments, etc).
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm fine with keeping Berrios in Rochester because he has been a dedicated starter for 3+ years now. Let him stay focused on starting and don't disrupt his learning process. If you want to use him as a reliever, let him glide into that role slowly next spring. But Duffey, he spent a lot of time as a reliever. He knows the process. You can get that guy up to speed in a hurry and if you refuse to call up somebody like Oliveros, there's no valid reason not to go with Tyler because something needs to be done.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Agreed completely, which is why I think the Twins, at best, play .500 ball from here on out. I'm less interested in the 2015 playoffs than I am seeing meaningful progression to set up 2016 and beyond. Don't get me wrong, I want the Twins to make the playoffs, but it won't break my heart if they miss October by a few games. I look at the 2015 squad and see a ton of potential but not a lot of real, tangible talent today. Make a few small moves, improve the team, and hope things break right over the next two months. If something like Tulo falls into your lap, make that move but keep your focus on 2016-2018. Don't give up valuable assets for rental players, especially relievers. Trading valuable players for relievers is a good way to make sure you keep losing for a long, long time. All but the best relievers are so volatile that you may as well flip a coin to predict future performance.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Nobody wants 3 1/2 years of Ervin Santana at the trade deadline. It's that simple, really. That doesn't mean it's a bad contract, he's not worth the money, or anything of the sort... But nobody picks up that contract at the deadline.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    At this point, I don't even care who they call up... But for the love of God, call up someone.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    He's an interesting and unusual prospect, that's for sure. He's probably a corner outfielder but he'll be a very good corner outfielder, at least defensively. To me, the biggest sticking point with Kepler is going to be whether he's a .300+ hitter or a .270 hitter. This season, he's overperforming BABIP but given how new he is to the game of baseball, I have no idea if this is luck or progression as a player. He won't maintain his current .376 BABIP but given his discipline and contact tool, it's possible this is a legit turning of the corner for him. If he's a .300/.380/.400 hitter, you don't care much about the middling power (I don't think he'll be a bad power hitter). To draw a comparison, are we looking at Joe Mauer-lite with good corner outfield defense? Obviously, that's not a 5-7 WAR player like Joe but he could slot in as a 3-4 WAR player if the tools we're seeing this season are for real. 2016 will be very telling about Max.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    I try to avoid using Yankees contracts as proof of anything because they're stupid with money. Really, really stupid with money. Thankfully, their saving grace is that they have a bottomless pit of money. Jacoby Ellsbury. I still can't believe people defended that contract. I damned near fell out of my chair in hysterical laughter when I read the details.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Not elite yet, no. His 2014 is dragging him down. He'll need to finish 2015 strong and do the same in 2016.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    I'd play fast and loose with Arcia and Vargas but Kepler is just getting his feet under him. Due to growing up in Germany and getting injured, I think slow and steady is the right path for Max.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    I know the stats are readily available but Kepler's line at AA is worth posting: .331 .412 .521 .933 294 PAs 35 BB 37 SO (!) As a 22 year old in AA with fringy up-the-middle skills, that approaches "elite prospect" territory. The only major ding on him as a player is that he didn't have a very good season in 2014.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    More than that. If you want to dive into one of the longest threads in TD history, there's A LOT of discussion here: http://twinsdaily.com/topic/19271-article-twins-rockies-talk-tulowitzki/page-23
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Prospect lists haven't caught up with Kepler yet. MLB GMs will not suffer the same problem. Kepler is showing the massive upside the Twins thought he had when they signed him out of Germany. But you're right, if the Yankees get into the mix, they could easily drive up the price with a bevy of good prospects. If I was Ryan, I'd bow out the moment a bidding war started. The risk in Tulo is too great to overpay for him and there's too much to lose if you're wrong.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    I think the Yankees would have to offer both Severino and Judge to match Berrios and Kepler. Severino is a stud and I'd probably take him over Berrios but Judge... Eh, I'd go with the huge upside of Kepler over Judge. I've always been slightly skeptical of Kepler but his contact ability, discipline, and potential as a centerfielder won me over. Judge has to rake to be a good player but Kepler has an outside shot at being a fringy centerfielder in the majors, which makes it a lot easier to get production out of him. Also, Kepler is nearly a full year younger. Agreed on the Mets. If they want to get into the mix, they could win Tulo (really, so could the Twins, but Ryan isn't trading Buxton or Sano).
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Not to mention that you also free up $20m to sign some pretty good players. A team could look pretty good in 2016-2017 with Gibson/Berrios, Polanco, Kepler/Walker, and $20m.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    It didn't work from the Twins' side of things. It wasn't until I started rearranging multiple pieces that I saw a way to make it work. I'm still not 100% sold on the idea. It's a big gamble... But it sure is interesting.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    I know nothing of the Rockies' financials but yeah, there's a good chance they're in no hurry to trade Tulowitzki at all.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    He had no greater injury risk than any other healthy player. Tulo can't say the same. He missed half his team's games from 2012-2014. Santana was as much of a sure thing as one can find in a pitcher at the time of the trade. He never started fewer than 33 games after entering the rotation to start a season.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't know. It's not far from the Johan deal and Santana was the best pitcher in baseball with no injury risk. He was also two years younger. All three players are on the cusp of MLB (unlike the Johan deal). Berrios is a 30-ish prospect. Polanco is a fringe 100. Kepler is pretty much a lock to creep into the 75 range this offseason (that kid is seriously raking at an advanced level). On top of that, who in baseball needs a SS and can even match that offer?
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't see the Rockies getting a top ten prospect from the Twins or anyone else, not with the money he's owed over the next several years (which is why I think cash considerations will not be part of the deal). Prospects, especially blue chippers, are just too highly prized in today's game and there's a lot of risk coming along with Tulo: age, injuries, money.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    That's very possible. We step into the world of pure hypothesis in that regard. If I was the Rockies, I'd tell Ryan to pound sand if he wants cash included in the deal.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    I've become really bullish on Berrios despite his physical makeup. I'm really reluctant to trade the kid because he seems like the kind of person who succeeds through sheer force of will. I don't know if that can be quantified. If I gave up Berrios, I'd be reluctant to include Kepler in the deal. Something has to give there and I'd push Walker I that scenario.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't disagree with that. He might have a 4 WAR season mixed in there somewhere but he's not an ace.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Berrios is the risk. He might be good, he might be a disaster. That's why the deal is a big gamble and would require some serious stones to sign off on. The loss of Gibson puts a lot of risk into this season. 2016 and beyond it's a lesser risk.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    If you can dish off Ricky Bobby in the process, I'd have the paperwork signed and faxed over before I could finish saying "yes" and hang up the phone. But I think that's a whole lot of wishful thinking and not based in reality. I think Nolasco is a drag on the deal, not a benefit.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Losing Gibson would hurt not because of Kyle's greatness but because of the depth behind him on the team. That has always been my argument. I think Kyle is a pretty good pitcher and will continue to be one for a few years but he's a lot more Brad Radke than Johan Santana. If you have two other Brad Radkes, cool. If you have Tommy Milones and Mike Pelfreys, not so cool.
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