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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    One thing to consider about picking Leach first is that it gave the Twins an entire night to negotiate with Enlow, knowing no one could steal him away. Once the draft ended last night, the Twins were in the driver's seat in negotiating a hard price on the guy. If he wouldn't bite, then you move on to other players. There shouldn't have been any guesswork this morning. They either had a price negotiated with Enlow or they didn't.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    No, but thank you. I'm intentionally unemployed because we're nearing the end of the foster care application process. Still, makes it tough to drop to a single income. Well, mostly single... I still bring in money but only about 1/6th what I did working full-time.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    It's not about it being easier to trade, it's about going with players that deliver a higher hit rate and then trading off excess for something that fails more often, especially at lower levels. I'm just making up these numbers but if positional players hit at 70% and pitchers hit at 55%, how hard is is going to be to stockpile positional players to shuffle around for pitching as you need it? It won't be easy but it won't be impossible, either, particularly if you throw a little excess into the deal to make it happen. And the pitcher you get in return is going to be more of a sure thing than the guy you would have drafted, particularly any prep arm. And it's not as if the Twins are ignoring pitching, they've taken arms in rounds 3+.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    It's not stupid if you're generally risk-averse and gain a daily quality of life from not owing anyone money.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    No, it's not easy but it's not impossible, either. The 2016 Indians, who went seven games in the World Series, drafted zero players in their rotation. What I don't get is how people who generally accept advanced baseball strategy are so reluctant to accept that this is a legit strategy used by modern teams. Is it a good strategy in the long run? Well, I guess we'll find out sooner or later.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    The Indians seemed to do okay last season and they don't have more money than the Twins. "Good pitching beats good hitting" is only looking at the end result. What happens if you have 13 good hitters? Don't you think it's possible to acquire good pitching at that point? The fact is that we have no idea whether this was a good or bad draft. Only time will tell the outcome and declaring a failure on June 13th, 2017 is incredibly short-sighted.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm kind of an all-or-nothing guy and pretty anti-debt. Until we had to spring for a new Mazda last winter, the only debt we had was the mortgage. And getting rid of the mortgage also allows me to get rid of the Mazda payment in 18 months or so.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Well, they got Enlow in the third round and have the money to sign him. Most everybody considers that a pretty good get.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Sure, the Cubs have resources unavailable to the Twins but the Indians have a damned fine rotation (which Falvey is largely credited with building) and they don't have any more resources than the Twins. The idea behind avoiding early-round pitching isn't entirely about money, it's about opportunity cost. As we've seen with Stewart and Jay, pitching flames out at a high rate, higher than positional players. And if you have good positional players, you can always make trades. And given that arms are something of a crapshoot, then you go grab a ton of arms in the lower rounds and hope some of them pan out (as the Twins did with Enlow in the third round).
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    No, pitching shouldn't be the first priority. What you feel will be the best MLB player should be the first priority. Unless you think the Cubs have been doing things all wrong for the past five years by mostly avoiding pitching in the first two rounds and entirely in the first round (until this year when they picked at the bottom of the pile).
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    No, it'd need to be a controlled guy. No rentals that aren't relievers this season. If it takes more than that - and it might - then start the discussions there. But Gordon is going to close out this season as a top 50 guy (maybe a top 30 guy) provided he doesn't get injured. He's a prized commodity at 21 years old, .880 OPS in AA, with his defensive acumen.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't have much faith in this market. I'm not working right now so I'm considering selling almost every penny I have in stock and paying off the house. It's a big decision but having a house paid off at 40 years old is really, really enticing. Doubly so because without a house payment, we can live off the wife's income easily with money left over every month.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    He said proven starter, not top of the rotation starter. Personally, I'd strongly consider trying to move Dozier for pitching. If that doesn't work, then I'd default to considering Gordon and one of Gonsalves/Romero for pitching.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, I get the fan frustration over the short-term but this is a loooooong game we're playing here. I won't praise or judge the new front office much until we get to the next Spring Training. At that point, they'll have one full season of evaluation, one full offseason to fix mistakes, and will be entering the first year of play with "their team" beginning to develop. Most front offices look and feel the same when evaluated over short periods of time (outside of obvious steals/blunders). They all play the same game and have similar tools. It's the teams that win deals, pick free agents, and do the little stuff 5-10% better over the long haul that emerge as the best in the business. Will Falvey and Levine be those people? I don't know and don't have enough information to say one way or the other. If they bomb this offseason, that will be a huge black mark against them.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    If you haven't listened to the GatG podcast recorded on Sunday, Gleeman specifically mentions that he talked to someone in a front office from a highly respected team and they were high on Lewis, saying that they'd probably take Greene first but if someone was down on Greene for whatever reason, Lewis was second on their board. So this didn't come completely out of nowhere.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree. It's a dangerous tactic to employ as a mid-market franchise. I mentioned that in another post, but not the post you quoted.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Padres, A's, Cincinnati, Tampa. That's the top of my list. Teams that struggle with bad fan support, a middling market, and little immediate hope for the future. After that, it becomes a mix of Minnesota, Pittsburgh, Cleveland, and Kansas City. Maybe Toronto because of the exchange rate knee-capping their potential market and their dome stadium. Honorary mentions to Arizona and Colorado for pretty obvious reasons, though their markets are solid.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    Friedman, that's why. I don't think the Rays organization is what it once was and their stadium/market only hurts them more. I don't think their front office and scouting is bad, just not terribly impressive... and they're easily the worst MLB market in baseball. Overall, that makes for a team that I wouldn't want to be drafted into. Whereas the Reds are a questionable front office and their market sucks. That's why I'd put them at the bottom of the list.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    Well said. In no way am I saying that this front office deserves an entirely blank slate, but they do deserve a little leeway, particularly when they actually do something different than their failures of years past. I'm skeptical of what happened yesterday. I preferred going with the big talent in Greene and letting it play out. But the Twins didn't do that. It doesn't mean they're wrong, it doesn't mean they're right. But, at the very least, they deserve a little slack to see where all of this is going.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Never mind that he already has a sketchy reputation about free agency. Baseball is a small community. Boras could essentially blacklist himself with that kind of move. And if Boras is blacklisted, potential draftees stop signing with him. That kind of move is a classic "counting pennies while the dollars fly by" situation. Boras doesn't have one client. He can't afford to piss off everybody in baseball with an underhanded move because it will cost him tens of millions, potentially hundreds of millions, down the road. Boras isn't a stupid guy. He's not going to risk his future over $500,000 on a single player. I'm sure he's going to drive hard at the Twins and get the most money possible for his client but it's unlikely he's going to make a face and say "neener neener neener, I LIED, stupid Twins!" during negotiations.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm talking about his prospect ranking, not his draft ranking. Buxton was the cream of the crop as he progressed through the minors with almost every analyst taking him as the #1 overall prospect.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    I tend to agree. Position needs to be considered and I don't see McKay being the next Texeira. I could be wrong (naturally). If McKay profiled with that bat at even third base, maybe the Twins don't try to underslot him. I just don't like the idea of two-way players much. They're fun to think about in the abstract but I think the game is too hard and too complex to be effective as a two-way guy.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    I mean, maybe... but I counter with "the Rays". If I was a pick, that's one of the last teams I'd want to fall to in a draft (though Cincy would probably be the bottom). The Twins aren't much higher on that list but they are higher.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, my problem is that they didn't reach with the 35/37 picks, not that they didn't draft any single guy. Because my knowledge of any single guy is so limited that I'm just making **** up as I go along.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    And there's something really wrong with Buxton that virtually no one identified for years. The guy was the consensus #1 prospect in baseball and absolutely annihilated every level of competition. Buxton was a great pick that has unraveled for reasons unknown. Any prospect who is universally adored by scouts and analysts every moment until he hits an MLB field has to be considered a good pick.
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