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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Ah, good catch. I thought the Orioles were better than that with RISP today.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    I believe the idea is that you won’t go 1-for-9 with RISP every time, which means you score more than two.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Even if you count those losses on top of the blown saves (which obviously shouldn't be the case, as there is overlap there and you're counting twice), he converted saves at a nearly 90% clip. Dave, you're just wrong here. Move on. Talk about something else for awhile and don't disrupt the forum with hyperbole. This isn't a suggestion.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Yet by every metric available to us, he was very good that season. He walked too many guys but he has always walked too many guys. But he missed a ton of bats and didn't allow home runs. As a result, his ERA/FIP were very good and he converted saves at a ferocious pace (don't have the stat in front of me but it was around 95% that season).
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    How didn't he have an outstanding 2014? And his 2017 FIP was 3.03.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    He had one absolutely atrocious season in 2015. He bookended that season with an outstanding 2014 and a good 2016.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    He's an entirely adequate closer. I was pretty unimpressed by the signing but on a team that needed arms and lots of them, his one year deal won't kill the team. Plus, he's the type of guy you have absolutely no problem replacing midseason if one of the young arms steps forward. He's a decent placeholder, provided his age doesn't catch up to him this season.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Its Camden. I’m pretty sure my wife could hit one out of there and she sometimes has to ask which end of the bat to hold.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Well, at least they made it fun.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Molitor is King Midas today. I agreed with the Grossman move but the Rodney move had me on edge.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree but the thought process here is probably to go to the guy who can avoid contact.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    After the past two seasons, I'm using kid gloves on Buxton until he establishes himself for a week or two and shows he's no longer prone to horrific streaks. We've seen what happens when he gets into his own head early in the season. But if we were talking about Buxton vs Adrianza, I let Buxton hack away. It's a little different when you have the option of going to what is possibly the most professional and selective hitter on the team in a situation where the pitcher is rattled and all you need is a single.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    I think we can go ahead and slot Hildenberger to the seventh inning or earlier for a little while and let him get his feet under him.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Same here. But even if they call to the pen, I'd prefer to see Grossman in that position. Maybe once Buxton gets his feet under him that opinion will change but if I need a "not out", Grossman's my guy.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    On a walk listening but a big fan of the Grossman decision. You put a professional hitter in after Kepler obviously rattled the pitcher.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    I suspect the Twins will be looking for a third baseman much earlier than they want to.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    This is the crux of the issue. If the Twins' farm looked more like it has for the past 30 or so years, you probably jump ahead of the pack and sign Dozier. But on a farm that has Javier, Gordon, and Lewis, you hold your cards close to your vest. Maybe next offseason rolls around and you determine that you need Brian Dozier for four more years. Well, then you go out and field a competitive offer to Brian Dozier. But a smart front office of a mid-market team doesn't make that decision before it needs to make that decision. If you're the Yankees, sure, you just throw him $60m and call it a day... but the Twins can't do that for every good player they have on the roster. They need to make smart decisions with their money.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't disagree but I said Dozier would be insane to accept less than four years today. Come next season, I see him easily getting 3-4 years at a good AAV. He may have to settle for three seasons at a higher per year rate given his age but he'll almost certainly start the bidding at 4-5 years. Dozier has shown in the past that he's willing to bet on himself in a big way (he could have easily made $10-12m more in that contract with one free agency season buy out). He didn't do that, he demanded the ability to become a free agent. I don't see why he'd alter his mindset now that he's been very good for three consecutive seasons.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    Youre assuming that the most bizarre offseason of the past two decades is the new standard going forward. That’s a huge assumption.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    How is it a self fulfilling prophecy to wait until the next time you can trade players to evaluate and decide whether to trade players?
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    I think that's pretty common when projecting young teams with high ceilings. Because at some point, if a young team is going to truly turn the corner, they're going to blow a projection wide open because the data points just don't exist for those players to improve by leaps and bounds simultaneously. On the other hand, live people can adjust expectations somewhat irrationally (but not necessarily incorrectly).
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Interesting. See, I have the Twins at 88 wins (and felt a little dicey on that prediction after the Polanco suspension). I have the Indians around 95 games. I can see how people would land differently, though. Before the Polanco suspension, I would have put the Twins at 89 games and would have considered putting them at 90 if I was feeling optimistic. From there, it's not much of a jump to see them line up against Cleveland if, say, Kluber goes down.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    I think Cleveland has a solid 6-8 game advantage right now. Injuries can certainly whittle that away but they'll have to be significant injuries and there will probably have to be more than one of them.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Beat me to it.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    While I'm not against this idea, I'm not quite ready to jump in with both feet yet, either. It really depends on a few things. How does the rest of the AL look in July? Are the Twins vying for the division (more likely to trade pieces for a run) or the Wild Card (less likely)? The Twins still have a lot of control over their major pieces and they still have some interesting pieces in the upper minors. I'm not ready to start moving some of those pieces until I see what the team looks like mid-season.
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