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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm not "resting my laurels" on anything. The Twins had a rough series against the Royals and came away with the split. It happens over a 162 game season. The Astros are probably the best team in the league and they just got swept by the Cincinnati-freakin-Reds last week. It happens. Overall, the Twins are doing just fine against the Royals and that's what really matters.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    The Twins are 6-3 against the Royals this season.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    It was the seventh inning and the Twins have the highest-scoring offense in baseball. You don't play for a run in that situation. You try to take the lead, not tie the game. It's not the ninth inning. And despite giving away an out, what did the Twins do in that situation? They took the lead because Cruz hammering the effing ball, just like the rest of this lineup does on a near-nightly basis. Play for one run when you need one run to keep the game alive. Outside of that specific situation, you play for as many runs as possible.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    LOL, no.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Any team can knock out another team once the postseason begins. In the past four seasons, a Division Series has been played 16 times. The lower-seeded team has won six times (37.5% of the time), including the Wild Card winner three times (also 37.5% of the time). People really underestimate how unpredictable baseball is over five or seven games.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Last I saw, Astudillo graded roughly average as a catcher and marginally sub-par in the field outside playing catcher. If that guy hits, he's a useful player. I'm saying this as a person who is NOT an Astudillo fan, just a person who wants the Twins to field the best team they can.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    He looks good... but it's 50 PAs. Again, if Arraez had more positional flexibility, I'd keep him around but he plays second base, which is a dead-end position. You can put him at third or short but you'll regret the decision if it happens too frequently. Between Astudillo and Arraez, I keep the catcher because catchers are super-useful, especially one that can man several other positions (albeit kinda badly). It gives a lot of flexibility to make moves in-game.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    He’ll likely be sent back down and that’s fine, really. Having a great ~50 intro PAs is great but it’s not enough to displace a starter yet. Arraez is under control for a long time and while I don’t want to see him traded, I’m not ready to move other roster spots to make space for him quite yet. I may feel differently if he had more positional flexibility.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    There can never be enough things written about the greatness of Mike Trout.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Numbers are fine but they don’t tell why something happened. Look at what Boston did to Sano during that series; they threw him breaking balls down and then went high fastball and Sano could not come close to making contact with the ball. Rinse, repeat. As a result, he struck out around 75% of the time in that series. That is not a problem that will go away, especially once teams have a little time to soak in that film and adapt to what Boston did with frightening success.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Ugh. Whatever. If you bothered to understand my posting history, I *never* predict numbers because it’s a guessing game based on a myriad of factors that are largely unpredictable (health being a key factor). If you want to shout numbers back and forth at a person, you barked up the wrong tree and it has nothing to do with me wanting to have it both ways. Also, stop trying to define on your terms how I get to have a conversation on this forum.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Because I’m not concerned about the performance numbers, I’m concerned about the approach that is leading to diminished performance numbers. I care about the disease, not the symptoms. Fix the disease and the symptoms follow. This isn’t a contest where we guess how many jelly beans are in the jar and the closest guess gets a stuffed bear.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, my response is emotional. Try to tone down the arrogance a bit. Strikeouts are not the actual problem but they're a corollary issue that shows there's a problem. And swinging and missing the ball constantly is not like running into a patch of bad luck and posting a .400 OPS for a couple of weeks while slumping; it's indicative of a large issue under the surface. It's like a starting pitcher running out there for three consecutive starts while walking a batter an inning but posting a 4.00 ERA. Sure, the end result looks... okay... but there's obviously something wrong in that situation and it should not be ignored just because the surface stats show mediocre results.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    He hasn't struck out today, which is a bigger positive sign than anything else.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Because it's a bad question to ask, one that depends on whether Sano adjusts to how pitchers are exploiting his swing right now. If Sano continues down the road he's been on for the past few weeks, he'll be demoted. If he improves, then everything is probably just fine. The question is whether Sano can adjust, not what OPS he'll produce in 2019. And I don't know the answer to that question and neither do you.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't think Sano should be sent down right now because Gonzalez is on the IL. But if Marwin gets back and Sano has posted another handful of games with a K rate over 50%, he should probably be sent down because that means there is something terribly wrong with his approach, swing, mental state, or all of the above. Guys can't continue to produce when they're missing the ball that often.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Go ahead, keep ignoring that a guy is striking out in 2/3rds of his plate appearances because that’s obviously not a big deal, nor is it something we’ve seen from Sano in the past as he goes into a long tailspin.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    And it shouldn't be forgotten that Sano did this in 2018 as well. He had a 1.006 OPS through his first eight games before plunging to a .739 OPS by the end of April.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    You're right, Sano has 1700 career PAs. And in the last 411 of them (2018-present), he has struck out 162 times while posting a .721 OPS. This isn't a new problem.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    This is a case where looking at the overall numbers doesn't really indicate what's happening today. Sano's first ten games of the season: 46 PA, 16 SO, .237/.348/.711/1.058 Sano's 11-20th games of the season: 40 PA, 15 SO, .243/.300/.432/.732 Sano's 21-26th games of the season: 26 PA, 16 SO, .130/.231/.391/.622 That's not a slump, that's a massive hole in approach that is being exploited by pitchers.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Mostly agreed, though I'd put pitch recognition on the list over plate discipline. Miguel is getting fooled by some pretty terrible pitches right now.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Stopppppppppp it with this .850 OPS stuff. Over the past 28 days, Sano has a .709 OPS and a .198 batting average. He's not playing well and literally struck out in 80% of his plate appearances last night.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Wow, I didn’t expect to be saying this so quickly, but how long until Miguel is demoted? I think the only thing keeping him on this team right now is the fact that Gonzalez is on the IL. Through his last 23 PAs (including the first two tonight), Sano has struck out 14 (!!!!!!!!!!) times.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Fair enough, I just don't like the increasing comparisons between criticisms of Mauer and Sano. Sano has yet to have a full above average season. Questioning a guy's approach who was once a top ten prospect in baseball and has yet to stay on the field at an above average clip even once is quite a bit different than questioning a borderline HoF candidate.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Sano's career rWAR in over 1700 plate appearances: 5.6 Single seasons Mauer had a 5.6 rWAR or higher: 2006, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2013 Sano's single season high rWAR is 2.5, which is almost one win lower than Joe Mauer's 2017 season. Asking one of those players to "get better" is reasonable and that player ain't named Joe Mauer.
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