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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, my response is emotional. Try to tone down the arrogance a bit. Strikeouts are not the actual problem but they're a corollary issue that shows there's a problem. And swinging and missing the ball constantly is not like running into a patch of bad luck and posting a .400 OPS for a couple of weeks while slumping; it's indicative of a large issue under the surface. It's like a starting pitcher running out there for three consecutive starts while walking a batter an inning but posting a 4.00 ERA. Sure, the end result looks... okay... but there's obviously something wrong in that situation and it should not be ignored just because the surface stats show mediocre results.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    He hasn't struck out today, which is a bigger positive sign than anything else.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Because it's a bad question to ask, one that depends on whether Sano adjusts to how pitchers are exploiting his swing right now. If Sano continues down the road he's been on for the past few weeks, he'll be demoted. If he improves, then everything is probably just fine. The question is whether Sano can adjust, not what OPS he'll produce in 2019. And I don't know the answer to that question and neither do you.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't think Sano should be sent down right now because Gonzalez is on the IL. But if Marwin gets back and Sano has posted another handful of games with a K rate over 50%, he should probably be sent down because that means there is something terribly wrong with his approach, swing, mental state, or all of the above. Guys can't continue to produce when they're missing the ball that often.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Go ahead, keep ignoring that a guy is striking out in 2/3rds of his plate appearances because that’s obviously not a big deal, nor is it something we’ve seen from Sano in the past as he goes into a long tailspin.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    And it shouldn't be forgotten that Sano did this in 2018 as well. He had a 1.006 OPS through his first eight games before plunging to a .739 OPS by the end of April.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    You're right, Sano has 1700 career PAs. And in the last 411 of them (2018-present), he has struck out 162 times while posting a .721 OPS. This isn't a new problem.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    This is a case where looking at the overall numbers doesn't really indicate what's happening today. Sano's first ten games of the season: 46 PA, 16 SO, .237/.348/.711/1.058 Sano's 11-20th games of the season: 40 PA, 15 SO, .243/.300/.432/.732 Sano's 21-26th games of the season: 26 PA, 16 SO, .130/.231/.391/.622 That's not a slump, that's a massive hole in approach that is being exploited by pitchers.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Mostly agreed, though I'd put pitch recognition on the list over plate discipline. Miguel is getting fooled by some pretty terrible pitches right now.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Stopppppppppp it with this .850 OPS stuff. Over the past 28 days, Sano has a .709 OPS and a .198 batting average. He's not playing well and literally struck out in 80% of his plate appearances last night.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Wow, I didn’t expect to be saying this so quickly, but how long until Miguel is demoted? I think the only thing keeping him on this team right now is the fact that Gonzalez is on the IL. Through his last 23 PAs (including the first two tonight), Sano has struck out 14 (!!!!!!!!!!) times.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Fair enough, I just don't like the increasing comparisons between criticisms of Mauer and Sano. Sano has yet to have a full above average season. Questioning a guy's approach who was once a top ten prospect in baseball and has yet to stay on the field at an above average clip even once is quite a bit different than questioning a borderline HoF candidate.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Sano's career rWAR in over 1700 plate appearances: 5.6 Single seasons Mauer had a 5.6 rWAR or higher: 2006, 2008, 2009, 2010, 2013 Sano's single season high rWAR is 2.5, which is almost one win lower than Joe Mauer's 2017 season. Asking one of those players to "get better" is reasonable and that player ain't named Joe Mauer.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm sorry but it's a real stretch to point out that Sano's contact issues are a problem but the end result of contact issues, strikeouts, are not a problem. I'm not terribly concerned about player strikeouts in and of themselves but I am very concerned about the problems that lead to player strikeouts in excessive numbers. Therefore, by extension I'm also concerned about the strikeouts, particularly with Sano. These two things are inextricably linked. If Sano made more contact and had better pitch recognition, he'd strike out less.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Almost certainly but not the kind of guaranteed upgrade I want to see in the bullpen.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Maybe the Twins need a guy like Bumgarner but I’m so fixated on the bullpen that I don’t really care about anything else.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, that’s the PA that really stuck with me last night.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    Good point. I guess it’s not unreasonable to post a WPA that bad over 17 innings if you have an awful game (because it’s essentially two -.200 WPA games rolled into one).
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, it didn’t matter where the pitcher threw the ball, Miguel was going to miss it.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    So what you’re saying is that the Twins actually get five days off.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    They head to KC tomorrow, actually. ... No, you're right. While they technically play the Royals tomorrow, that can and should be considered a day off.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    I've been screaming for this to happen for years now. A standup double. From a bunt. I knew it would happen but MLB players are irrationally resistant to trying it. It's kind of infuriating, really. This is perhaps the easiest bunt in the world to attempt. All you need to do is keep the ball fair and bunt as hard as you frickin' can. No soft hands needed; in fact, you want the opposite. Doesn't matter if it's on the ground or in the air, just get the damned ball 100+ feet and you're standing on second base. https://twitter.com/Cardinals/status/1140797879390527488?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1140797879390527488&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fdeadspin.com%2Fajax%2Finset%2Fiframe%3Fid%3Dtwitter-1140797879390527488%26autosize%3D1
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    This title is underselling the situation quite a bit. It should read: Michael Pineda Provides Upgrade Over Recent Second Starters
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    WPA of -0.1: Sano -.433 By the way, it should be noted that this is really hard to do as a position player. That's starting pitcher disaster start kind of WPA.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Yikes. Even given the team's depth, they kinda need Gonzalez right now with Adrianza out and Sano windmilling at the plate like a drunken ballerina.
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