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    TRADE: Twins Send Jorge Polanco to Mariners in Five-Player Deal


    Matthew Trueblood

    The Twins and Mariners got together on a miniature blockbuster Monday night--one that sends the longest-tenured Twin to a new home, while adding depth to the starting rotation and to the farm system.

    Image courtesy of © Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports

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    The deal is pretty significant, and it's one of those times when both sides dispensed with subtlety in favor of letting quantity show you the quality. Jorge Polanco will go to Seattle, in exchange for outfield prospect Gabriel Gonzalez, starting pitcher Anthony DeSclafani, reliever Justin Topa, and low-level arm Darren Bowen. Jeff Passan broke the news on Twitter. 

    Obviously, this is a monumental move for the Twins, not only in terms of their 2024 roster, but from a fan's perspective. Polanco has been the steadiest force on the team for the last decade, a clutch hitter and up-the-middle defender who has alternated between average and star-caliber but always been versatile and valuable. It's a bitter pill to bid him adieu, but one we've been preparing to swallow for months, even after the team exercised its $10.5-million option on him for 2024 back in November.

    In exchange, they land multiple pieces, reflecting the substantial value remaining on a player they could still control through 2025--or rather, whom the Mariners can now control for that long. DeSclafani can be tentatively penciled in as the new fifth starter for the Twins, and Gonzalez will slot somewhere inside the top 10 on our top prospect countdown in the days and weeks ahead.

    DeSclafani came to the Mariners in a trade with the Giants earlier this month, and is actually owed more than Polanco for 2024. That's probably why, as is now being reported, there will be cash going to the Twins in the deal, as well. Still, he's a nice addition, and one our Cody Schoenmann recognized as a potential target nearly three weeks ago. The Twins didn't slide Chris Paddack or even Bailey Ober down the depth chart with this move, but they've stabilized the back end of the rotation. 

    For his part, Gonzalez is a slugging right-handed outfielder with too little speed for center field, but whom the Twins will hope to refine in terms of approach and turn into another in their recent litany of power hitters. Even if he pans out, he's probably a year and a half from helping in the big leagues, but he's right on the fringe of top-100 lists, so he's a nice get for Polanco. There's a lot of risk here. The approach is not pretty, and there are limitations on even projecting his frame, physically, given his stature. If there's one demographic in which the team needed a bit more minor-league depth, though, it's right-hitting outfielders, so count it as a serendipitous fit.

    Topa has always carried some intrigue. He made a splash as a rookie with the Brewers (albeit in a minute sample) during the 2020 COVID season. Health has held him back, but he brings real funk and pretty good stuff, as evidenced by a 2.61 ERA in 69 innings for Seattle in 2023. He gets ground balls by the bushel, which could make him a neat mid-game weapon for Rocco Baldelli

    Darren Bowen, 23, is in A-ball, and his age and level can tell you he's no top prospect. His fastball touches 95 but gets flat (in the bad way) and hit hard at times, but he's brought along a solid pairing of slider and changeup. It's possible the Twins will try to get him throwing either a cutter or a sinker in lieu of his four-seamer and start limiting hard contact, but he's a true throw-in for now.

    There are many more details and ramifications to sort through here, but they'll belong to separate pieces. Suffice it to say, for now, that Polanco will be sorely missed, but that the team got considerable value in this trade. They might not be better, or have more absolute talent, in the immediate future, but they gained both better roster balance and some long-term upside. Much analysis of this move depends on what (if anything) comes next. In particular, we need to see how much (if at all) this deal reduces their payroll, and to what extent (if any) they'll now invest by going out and either signing or trading for more high-end talent, using any extra financial flexibility they gained here and their increased volume of young talent on hand.

    What do you think of the deal? What do you hope to see next from Derek Falvey and company? Let's keep the conversation going in the comments.

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    Remember Wimpy, of the Popeye cartoons?

    “I will gladly pay you Tuesday, for a hamburger today.”

    The Twins are the reverse. We lost a wonderful pitcher in Sonny Grey, quality start after quality start, and we’ve only added a back of the rotation guy, while realistically getting one real prospect. (Ok, and a relief prospect.)

    It’s the reverse Wimpy. I’ll glad pay you today, for a hamburger on Tuesday.

    9 hours ago, SkyBlueWaters said:

    Remember Wimpy, of the Popeye cartoons?

    “I will gladly pay you Tuesday, for a hamburger today.”

    The Twins are the reverse. We lost a wonderful pitcher in Sonny Grey, quality start after quality start, and we’ve only added a back of the rotation guy, while realistically getting one real prospect. (Ok, and a relief prospect.)

    It’s the reverse Wimpy. I’ll glad pay you today, for a hamburger on Tuesday.

    I think this signals

    1) the FO believes Joe Ryan is going to be closer to ‘22 than his injury hobbled ‘23

    2) Bailey Ober’s 7th in MLB ranked WHIP is real and he’s a lot better pitcher than a back of the rotation type

    3) Paddack is healthy and should slot strong as a mid rotation type starter but at the 5th spot to manage his innings.

    4) Pablo Lopez wasn’t a mirage last year

    5) The FO values depth in the rotation (which there isn’t much past Varland to start the season)

    1 hour ago, Richie the Rally Goat said:

    I think this signals

    1) the FO believes Joe Ryan is going to be closer to ‘22 than his injury hobbled ‘23

    2) Bailey Ober’s 7th in MLB ranked WHIP is real and he’s a lot better pitcher than a back of the rotation type

    3) Paddack is healthy and should slot strong as a mid rotation type starter but at the 5th spot to manage his innings.

    4) Pablo Lopez wasn’t a mirage last year

    5) The FO values depth in the rotation (which there isn’t much past Varland to start the season)

    Front office showed last year how much they love depth, among hitters. This year they want it for pitchers, and likely have it for hitters, though they need another OF....

    On 1/31/2024 at 5:47 PM, Richie the Rally Goat said:

     The FO values depth in the rotation (which there isn’t much past Varland to start the season)


    I think we largely agree. I’d add, however, that this counts on the starters remaining healthy most of the year. How often is that realistic?

    I remember S.F., in 2012 I think, got incredible years from Cain, Bumgarner, Lincecum, Vogelsong, and Zito—those 5 started 160 games, and with that talent, goes a ways toward winning the World Series. But that’s far and away the exception. Most rotations need someone to step in.

    I sure hope that, after Lopez (legit ace), we can find playoff caliber no. 2 and 3 guys from Ryan, Ober, Varland, Paddack, maybe even Disco Desclafini, if he has a helluva bounceback. It’s just asking a lot.

    Especially as the FO has gone all in on position players, and the high ceiling we have in talent with Lewis, Correa, Buxton, even Julien.

     

     

    3 hours ago, SkyBlueWaters said:


    I think we largely agree. I’d add, however, that this counts on the starters remaining healthy most of the year. How often is that realistic?

    I remember S.F., in 2012 I think, got incredible years from Cain, Bumgarner, Lincecum, Vogelsong, and Zito—those 5 started 160 games, and with that talent, goes a ways toward winning the World Series. But that’s far and away the exception. Most rotations need someone to step in.

    I sure hope that, after Lopez (legit ace), we can find playoff caliber no. 2 and 3 guys from Ryan, Ober, Varland, Paddack, maybe even Disco Desclafini, if he has a helluva bounceback. It’s just asking a lot.

    Especially as the FO has gone all in on position players, and the high ceiling we have in talent with Lewis, Correa, Buxton, even Julien.

     

     

    I wonder if DeSclafini starts the season in the rotation pushing Varland to AAA, or if he’s a swing man and pushes Sands and or Winder out.

    having DeSclafini in the rotation and Varland in AAA gives the a ton of Depth as both Raya and Festa could/should give some big league innings this year, hopefully successful big league innings.




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