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    The Twins' Biggest Surprises at the All-Star Break

    The Twins' first half featured plenty of unexpected developments. These four have stood above the rest—for better and for worse.

    Sam Caulder
    Image courtesy of © Matt Blewett-Imagn Images

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    The All-Star break is officially upon us, which makes this a great time to zoom out and look at this Twins team as a whole. We're 97 games into the season, and it's been a year filled with plenty of highs and lows. While we all expected guys like Byron Buxton and Joe Ryan to be among the Twins' best players entering the season, I wanted to focus on some of the more surprising performances we've seen.

    I've got two pleasant surprises, and two disappointments. There are going to be plenty of players I don't mention, so don't get mad at me if I leave out your favorite player who's having a great season—or the guy you can't stand who's underperforming. I should also note that I won't be including players who were acquired or moved into significant roles midway through the year. Guys like Yoendrys Gómez and Simeon Woods Richardson won't be making this list.

    With that out of the way, let's start with the positives. The first good surprise has been Taj Bradley. Bradley's first stint as a Twin last summer didn't exactly leave fans feeling overly confident heading into 2026. There were certainly flashes, but there were also inconsistencies that made it difficult to know exactly what the Twins had. Through 18 starts this season, though, I've been really impressed.

    Bradley owns a 3.59 ERA across 102 2/3 innings while piling up 118 strikeouts, which currently ranks tied for 15th in all of baseball. The strikeout numbers have been especially encouraging because they're backed up by noticeably better swing-and-miss stuff. His cutter and splitter have both taken meaningful steps forward, giving him legitimate weapons beyond his electric fastball. Speaking of that fastball, it's averaging 97 MPH, allowing him to challenge hitters even when they know it's coming.

    Has everything been perfect? Of course not. There have still been stretches where his command has disappeared, and he'll occasionally run up his pitch count because of it. But overall, Bradley has looked every bit like a No. 2 starter for a large portion of this season, and perhaps the most encouraging part is that he's still only 25 years old. There's still plenty of room for him to grow as a pitcher, and if he continues refining his command while maintaining this level of stuff, the best very well could still be ahead of him.

    The second positive surprise, in my opinion, has to be Kody Clemens. When the season began, I don't think many people expected Clemens to become one of the Twins' most valuable position players. But here we are, 60% of the season down, and he's been one of the more consistent bright spots in the lineup.

    He's currently sporting an OPS just shy of .800, while trailing only Byron Buxton for the most extra-base hits on the team. Beyond the offensive production, Clemens has provided value all over the diamond. He's played quality defense at multiple positions, giving Derek Shelton flexibility with his lineup on almost a nightly basis.

    The underlying numbers make his season look even more impressive. Clemens ranks in the 93rd percentile in average exit velocity, while posting an 81st-percentile barrel rate. He's consistently hitting the baseball hard; those aren't the types of metrics you normally see from a player who was viewed as more of a depth piece entering the year.

    Clemens's expected batting average sits roughly 15 points higher than his actual batting average. So as productive as he's already been, there's an argument to be made that he's actually deserved even better results. It's certainly possible that Clemens gets moved over the next few weeks if the Twins decide to sell at the deadline. But if Tom Pohlad believes this team can make a run, Clemens is the kind of player who helps you win baseball games.

    Now, let's move to the negative column. We'll start with Luke Keaschall. Before everyone races to the comments, yes—I know he's been swinging the bat better over the last couple of months. But we're evaluating the season as a whole. Coming into the year, there were some high expectations for Keaschall. He was leading off on Opening Day and looked like someone who could quickly establish himself as a fixture near the top of the lineup.

    Instead, he enters the All-Star break hitting .258 with a .696 OPS. While he’s not known for his power production, his quality of contact has been abysmal. Keaschall ranks in the 11th percentile or worse in average exit velocity, hard-hit rate, and barrel rate among major-league hitters. That's simply not the type of contact profile you want to see from someone expected to be a key contributor offensively.

    To his credit, he still puts the bat on the ball well, and he doesn't chase pitches very often. Those are valuable traits. But when the quality of contact is this poor, it becomes much more difficult to consistently produce. Again, he was batting leadoff on Opening Day. Now he's hitting ninth almost every day. Considering the expectations surrounding him entering the season, a sub-.700 OPS through 97 games isn't where I or you hoped for Keaschall to be.

    The other disappointment has been the Twins' defense as a whole. I don't think anybody entered the season expecting Minnesota to be the best defensive team in baseball, but I also don't think anyone expected things to be this rough. The team currently owns the third-worst defensive efficiency rating in baseball while posting an ugly -28 Defensive Runs Saved, the second-worst mark in the majors.

    The left side of the infield has been an issue for much of the season. Tristan Gray struggled there, while Brooks Lee and Royce Lewis both had their share of defensive problems before eventually changing positions. Keaschall also had a difficult time at second base before making the move to the outfield.

    To the Twins' credit, though, they haven't been stubborn about it. Derek Shelton and the coaching staff have shown a willingness to move players around the diamond in an effort to maximize their chances of succeeding defensively. They recognized certain alignments weren't working and have tried to adjust instead of simply hoping things would improve. That doesn't erase the defensive struggles we've seen over the first 97 games, but it does show they're actively trying to fix the problem.

    Like I said at the beginning, there have been plenty of surprising performances this season—both good and bad—that I didn't mention here. But in my opinion, these are the four that have stood out the most.


    Now I'm curious to hear from you. What has been your biggest surprise from the Twins so far this season? Let me know in the comments.


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    3 hours ago, Scott51104 said:

    Shelton (and his staff) has been a pleasant surprise to me.

    Absolutely right. I was concerned when he was hired that he was just a retread who was the 'safe' choice. Instead, he seems to be a steadying influence - not so much tinkering ala Rocco. When he has moved things around (like Clemens going to 2B, Lewis to 1B, Keaschall to the OF, and Lee to anywhere but SS), the results seem better.

    21 hours ago, Heiny said:

    I would add Kreidler to the positives.  He has played well at the SS position and his bat has been better than expected.  Also Larnach has been better than expected both offensively and defensively.  My biggest disappointement has been Royce.  I like him at 1st base and although he's been a little better after the demotion, his BA has been abysmal at under .220 and the way he chases the outside pitch is very annoying.  Zebby has been a pleasant surprise and I expect him to keep getting better.

    Before his demotion, Royce appeared to be reaching for outside pitches and, simultaneously, pulling hi body back. Now, while he still reaches for the same pitches, it appears he's staying on the ball and trying to go the other way with it. That's a big change for a guy that loved to be a dead-pull hitter and it will (eventually) force pitchers to come inside more.

    A lot of the surprises are rooted in Shelton and his staff learning what's working (and what is not) and making real changes to improve things. There have been temporary demotions before, but only one or two a year. There have been minor position changes before, but nothing like the SS TO 3B, 3B TO 1B, 1B TO 2B, 2B TO OF parade we've seen so far. 

    A lot of the disappointments are rooted in the front office not straying from its position of trash picking and looking a year downfield. While it has yielded a few gems (like Y Gomez) it's also cost a huge number of games as wildly unqualified relievers futilely tried to save leads while desperately saving every per diem dollar offered in the bigs. The following terrible pitchers finished 37 games for this team this year: Garcia, Lawrence, Lawyerson, Topa, Adams plus an injured Sands (and that doesn't even mention the awful Voth and Kent who couldn't reach the ninth.)  Adams maybe gets some slack to learn, and Sands was possibly only bad because he was hurt, but the rest were on the wire for a reason. 

    Your impressions are often driven by your expectations, and in this case the good impressions were made by those who made changes vs those who did not. Step it up Zell and Tom P. 

    4 hours ago, purplesoldier4u said:

    Bat speed does not always directly correlate to HR's.

    Exactly. It's not like the hitter needs to generate high bat speed to hit it out. If they get good wood on the ball it shouldn't matter when pitchers are throwing in the high 90's+. 

    You could think trying to swing harder may cause more head movement than you want. They still need to see the ball to hit the ball.

    On 7/14/2026 at 5:12 PM, Rufus said:

    Kreidler and Larnach?  The experts and fans freaked during the off season when the Twins tendered Larnach.  Looks like the Twins management was right on that tender.  

    Kreidler flew right under my radar, when he was claimed.  Good glove, never hit in multiple tries with Detroit.  Not a factor. 

    Well... I didn't invest the time I sometimes do to look even one layer beneath the surface. 

    Because 1) his tryouts with Detroit were a series of small samples, with results that together still weren't even a decent size, and 2) Batting Average on Balls in Play across all those 211 PA was a comically low .198.  Small sample? Low BABIP? Decent minor league progression in larger samples? Good glove at even the most demanding defensive position? Maybe give him a look.

    Check him now: his BABIP with the Twins is a completely league-normal .292, resulting in a perfectly acceptable .758 OPS for a glove-first guy.  All-Star? No. Positive asset at a position of need for the moment? Yes. And under team control through 2030.

    Kreidler may be a surprise in 2026, but only to those like me who failed to pay attention.  From the Twins FO standpoint, they merely made a reasonable gamble that he could produce.




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