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    Astros 6, Twins 4: Walks Do Haunt

    After beating the Astros in game one of the series, the Twins were unable to win the series in game two after a couple of walks preceded a big swing by Yordan Alvarez.

    Cory Moen
    Image courtesy of © Thomas Shea-Imagn Images

    Twins Video

    Box Score
    SP:
    Joe Ryan - 4 IP, 6 H, 6 R, 6 ER, 3 BB, 5 K (91 pitches, 57 strikes (62.6% strikes))
    Home Runs: None
    Bottom 3 WPA (via Fangraphs):
    Joe Ryan (-0.49), Tristan Gray (-0.06), Brooks Lee/Austin Martin (-0.05)
    Win Probability Chart (via FanGraphs)

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    After a series win against the lowly Colorado Rockies, the Twins won the first game of the series against the Astros in a tight 5-4 win. The Twins took the field looking to climb closer to .500 and stay in the midst of the playoff picture, just over halfway through the season. They sent ace Joe Ryan to the mound; the Astros countered with offseason trade acquisition Mike Burrows.

    The Twins showed a good approach against Burrows in the first inning, loading the bases with a single and two walks prior to Victor Caratini being hit by a pitch to take a 1-0 lead. Ryan Kriedler, playing center field for an ailing Byron Buxton, added to the lead with a single to left field.

    The Astros made a little bit of noise right away in their own right, getting two runners on base in the bottom of the first before Ryan was able to get out of the inning without giving up any runs. 

    Astros third baseman Raynel Delgado led off the bottom of the third with a double, and it looked like the Astros might score after a groundout moved him to third base with one out. Ryan had different plans, striking out Yordan Alvarez and then inducing a groundout off the bat of Isaac Paredes

    The Astros broke through in the bottom of the fourth, however, in decisive fashion. After an RBI single off the bat of Yainer Díaz cut the Twins' lead to 3-1. Ryan struck out Nick Allen, but then walked the next two hitters, making it 3-2. Demoralizingly (and, as it turned out, fatally), Ryan appeared to be out of the inning on a called third strike to Jose Altuve, but Altuve challenged the call. It flipped from a vital strikeout to an RBI walk and brought Alvarez to the plate with the sacks still packed.

    Then, Yordan Alvarez did what Yordan Alvarez does. 

    The Twins answered with two two-out hits of their own in the top of the fifth, as a single by Kody Clemens and a double by Josh Bell trimmed the deficit to two runs. The bullpens for both teams were lights-out, not giving up any runs—which meant that the Twins never got any closer. For the Twins, Eric Orze and Marco Raya threw two scoreless innings apiece, while a contingent of four relievers for the Astros threw innings six through nine, finishing off with Josh Hader completing his eighth save of the season.

    What’s Next?
    The Twins will play a rubber match against the Astros on Wednesday evening, sending Taj Bradley (6-3, 3.98) to the mound, while the Astros will counter with Tatsuya Imai (5-3, 5.36 ERA). 

    Bradley is coming off of two solid starts against the Diamondbacks and Rockies and will look to continue a solid overall year to this point. In his most recent start against Colorado, he threw seven innings, giving up two runs and striking out seven in a Twins win. 

    After tomorrow’s game, the Twins will spend an off day in New York prior to a three-game set against the Yankees.

     

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    On Sunday, Winokur went 3-for-4 with a walk, his third Surge homer and three RBI. He has reached base in all 14 AA games and hit .321/.375/.518 (.893) with a triple and 3 HR.

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    Featured Comments

    2 hours ago, Riverbrian said:

    Unless Kyler was ill or injured.

    The manager choosing Alex Jackson to pinch hit for Tristan Gray against the left handed Hader means that Kyler Fedko can be sent back down to AAA. 

    We will face three left handers in a row. July 4, 5 and 7 so Fedko may get a 3 game run but he isn't getting anything to prepare for it. 

    there is no situation ..ever ..that you send Jackson up as a pinch hitter 

    3 hours ago, MinnInPa said:

    there is no situation ..ever ..that you send Jackson up as a pinch hitter 

    I can't assume that Fedko was available but have heard nothing stating he wasn't available.

    We can assume Buxton was not available and that leaves you three bench options. We know that Keaschall pinch hit for Larnach with one out and nobody on base in the 7th. This occurred with two more innings to go... down by two and a reasonable certainty that Josh Hader would close the 9th. We also know that after Larnach was removed from the game. Left Handers Clemens and Gray were still in the lineup.  

     

    With Keaschall pinch hitting for Larnach in the 7th. He is down to two pinch hitting options for Gray.

    Jackson and Fedko were the available options. Jackson has been decent this year in 45 AB's. However oddly and in a small sample... Jackson's success this year has been against right handers not left handers. His career splits over 487 AB's are poor against right handers and left handers but better against right handers. 

    Jackson does have 162 PA's against lefties and while Fedko has 4 PA's. So... I can't blame him for going with experience. Even if the other guy isn't very experienced at all. 

    However... facing lefties is what Fedko was brought up to do. If Fedko isn't the choice over Jackson... What is Fedko here to do?  

    If they should tie or take the lead in the 9th. The future moves when presented with these two choices.

    Jackson replaces Gray by going to catcher... Caratini goes to 1B, Lewis goes to 3B and Lee to SS. 

    Fedko pinch hitting for Gray would be Fedko to CF... Kreidler to SS. The Fedko sub is also stronger defensively. 

    If he wasn't injured or ill. We can all remove Fedko from our list of players who might be able to help us in the future. 

    11 hours ago, howeda7 said:

    That was the play of the game right there. Caratini has mostly been good on challenges, but not using one there was inexplicable. 

    Truly. Of course, Ryan can challenge, too. Caratini used a failed challenge on a Raya pitch later, with a runner on first and no outs, on a 0-0 count! Basically an inconsequential meaningless challenge at that count even if won. The difference of a 0-1 or 1-0 count. No inning ending result with success. ABS should be used all the time for every pitch. If it is to be used to correct calls, then make them all correct. Challenge system is so wimpy. 

    This game was a huge highlight as to why the ABS system is needed.  Sure, it worked against the Twins, had it not been in place Ryan strikes out Altuve and ends the inning saving 5 runs.  That shows how big a single missed call can be by an umpire.  

    I used to argue with people that would talk about how "accurate" the umps were overall, like 90% or 95% correct.  Except for they were like closer to coin flip on borderline calls.  Others would still push back saying well it is just a few and they "even out" except for in a case like last game, where the call would have ended the inning and rally for Houston, and maybe turn the outcome to a win for the Twins.  Getting a single call wrong on 0-0 pitch normally is not huge deal, but on 3-2 or a call that would end or continue an inning is always huge. 

    6 hours ago, Woof Bronzer said:

    The box isn't official, and not using full ABS absolutely does not change the outcome of every game, lol.  No one forced Ryan to serve up a center-center meatball to Alvarez.  That changed the outcome of the game for sure.  Throw a better pitch, Joe.  

    Add all the ABS (which is only accurate up to about 1/6 of an inch) and replay you want, fans are still going to complain.  Because fans don't actually want the "accurate" call, but the call that benefits their team.  

    Not me, and I am a fan. I love baseball first and want the most correct call available, regardless whether it goes my favorite team’s way. Perhaps you don’t care as long as incorrect calls benefit your team, but you then you may not love baseball first, but your allegiance to your team. You certainly can’t speak for fans in general, just yourself. As for the ABS that is used for challenges, it would be the same one for every pitch. No reason not to use it. If it can overturn a call, it is the standard. It is done for every pitch, regardless of if it is shown or not. That WAS absolutely the time to use a challenge, since we are still stuck in this wimpy transition period. A point of tremendously significant consequence. Not a 0-0 count  

    On 7/1/2026 at 2:03 PM, Trov said:

    This game was a huge highlight as to why the ABS system is needed.  Sure, it worked against the Twins, had it not been in place Ryan strikes out Altuve and ends the inning saving 5 runs.  That shows how big a single missed call can be by an umpire.  

    I used to argue with people that would talk about how "accurate" the umps were overall, like 90% or 95% correct.  Except for they were like closer to coin flip on borderline calls.  Others would still push back saying well it is just a few and they "even out" except for in a case like last game, where the call would have ended the inning and rally for Houston, and maybe turn the outcome to a win for the Twins.  Getting a single call wrong on 0-0 pitch normally is not huge deal, but on 3-2 or a call that would end or continue an inning is always huge. 

    The Delgado at bat was even more reason. If in use, the incorrect ball 4 call to Delgado would have been a strikeout, inning over, even without a challenge (that inexplicably wasn’t made). No Altuve at bat. No Alvarez. No elevated inning pitch count. 3-1 lead and on to the top of the 5th. 




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