Predicting Twins Prospects in the top 100

[jokin]

I agree. Many of the Twins not elite prospects had significant season ending slides. From Mayo's list Berrios (will still be ranked higher than May though), Kepler, Eades, Harrison, Melotakis, Bard, Chargois and Goodrum all struggled significantly at some point this season. My guess is Kepler, Polanco, Santana, Sulbaran and Gonsalves pass him up. Harrison and Felix Jorge also have an outside shot IMO.

 

 

Entirely possible. I look at that split and think, "There is something wrong here."

 

I held off on moving Sulbaran past May, for now, but continued quality performances at A+ next year could easily vault him in to the top ten and a possible leapfrog of May, if May stalls at AAA . Also, do Kepler's health issues and relatively low production output this year create enough questions to tick him down temporarily as new, more productive players come to the fore?

 

Hopefully Berrios just hit the first-full-season innings wall and doesn't flame out.

[diehardtwinsfan]

For what it's worth, Jim Callis said in his Wednesday draft chat, a month before the draft, Stewart would make it to the bigs by 2015. I hope to see Eades up sometime in 2016 and if we take a college starting pitcher in the very deep 2014 draft, I'm guessing the plan would be to have that player available by 2016.

 

Starting pitching is very real concern, and actually the only one I have. If Tanaka passes the close scrutiny of our scouts, I hope we bet the farm. Good post!

 

Callis is being rather generous I think here. Stewart will likely start next season in Cedar Rapids. To make it by 2015, he's got to realistically be pitching in New Brittan by the end of the year. I don't see that happening, especially when Buxton is still in Fort Meyers.

[howieramone1406390264]

Callis is being rather generous I think here. Stewart will likely start next season in Cedar Rapids. To make it by 2015, he's got to realistically be pitching in New Brittan by the end of the year. I don't see that happening, especially when Buxton is still in Fort Meyers.

 

I completely agree and was very surprised when he said it. Regardless, I've been a disciple of his years and I listen to whatever he says very carefully.

[Oxtung]

I completely agree and was very surprised when he said it. Regardless, I've been a disciple of his years and I listen to whatever he says very carefully.

 

Is it possible he said in 2015? If Stewart follows the Buxton path he could make it late in 2015.

[Steve Lein]

Just a note on Kepler, if they're sending him to the Arizona Fall League, it's very possible with a good performance there that he skips Fort Myers. I'm pretty sure he's actually eligible for the Rule V draft this year so it's very likely the Twins want to get him further up the ladder quickly. Kind of a bummer for him that he was injured the first half of the year.

[Seth Stohs]

Just a note on Kepler, if they're sending him to the Arizona Fall League, it's very possible with a good performance there that he skips Fort Myers. I'm pretty sure he's actually eligible for the Rule V draft this year so it's very likely the Twins want to get him further up the ladder quickly. Kind of a bummer for him that he was injured the first half of the year.

 

There is zero chance he skips Ft. Myers, even if he tears up the AFL (like Roberts did). He missed too much time this year with injury and he is far too raw at this point to be skipping levels. I do think he'll be added to the 40 man roster either way.

[Seth Stohs]

Callis is being rather generous I think here. Stewart will likely start next season in Cedar Rapids. To make it by 2015, he's got to realistically be pitching in New Brittan by the end of the year. I don't see that happening, especially when Buxton is still in Fort Meyers.

 

From all I've seen, Stewart has great stuff, but he won't advance as quickly as Buxton has. He is raw. He's spent so much time with Football. They will certainly want to monitor his innings. I think 2016 is realistic though. The key isn't to get him to the big leagues quickly, it should be to make him the best he can be. That said, he's easily Top 100, probably closer to 50.

[Seth Stohs]

Buxton will likely be #1. Sano will be top 3, maybe 4.

Meyer should still be around 50, and Kohl Stewart will be too.

Eddie Rosario should be in that range as well, though I suspect he will be closer to 75.

 

I don't think any others will make it. As has been pointed out, Gibson, Arcia and Hicks are no longer eligible. Other names I've seen won't be particularly close. Berrios would likely be in the Top 120-140 range. May, Walker and Pinto aren't Top 8 Twins prospects.

Gonsalves has great numbers, and I really like him, but as a 4th rounder this year, he won't get any consideration. Polanco and Santana could be in the 120-150 range too. So would Ryan Eades, I think.