Results of all possible tiebreakers

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Here's a link to an article on mlb.com which lists the results of tiebreakers as of the morning of September 30.

https://www.mlb.com/news/2023-mlb-postseason-tiebreaker-scenarios

This article lists the results of 2-way tiebreakers. One note: there is a partial omission. Seattle would lose a 2-way tiebreaker with Texas.

Within this article is a link to a separate mlb.com article listing the results of 3-team and 4-team tiebreakers.

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Here is the update as of the morning of October 1. (Last edit at 11:47 AM CST to account for cancellation of Monday's possible game.)

 

American League

Baltimore is the 1 seed, Minnesota is the 3 seed, Tampa Bay is the 4 seed.

If Houston loses, OR if Texas wins, Houston wins, and Toronto wins: Texas is the 2 seed, Toronto is the 5 seed, Houston is the 6 seed.

If Texas wins, Houston wins, and Toronto loses, Texas is the 2 seed, Houston is the 5 seed, Toronto is the 6 seed.

If Houston wins and Texas loses: Houston is the 2 seed, Texas is the 5 seed, Toronto is the 6 seed.

 

National League

Atlanta is the 1 seed, Los Angeles is the 2 seed, Milwaukee is the 3 seed, Philadelphia is the 4 seed.

If Arizona wins and Miami loses, Arizona is the 5 seed, Miami is the 6 seed.

If Miami wins or Arizona loses, Miami is the 5 seed, Arizona is the 6 seed.

[mnfireman]

If Miami wins today AND Arizona loses, Miami is the 5 seed and does not have to play Monday. 

[mnfireman]

It also looks like Miami has the tie-breaker, according to MLB.com. If both teams win or lose today, Miami is the higher seed and does not need to play Monday.

 

• The Marlins would win a tiebreaker with the D-backs for the second NL Wild Card spot (No. 5 NL playoff seed).

[lecroy24fan]

1 hour ago, mnfireman said:

If Miami wins today AND Arizona loses, Miami is the 5 seed and does not have to play Monday. 

MLB has decided that the game will not be played Monday no matter what happens today.

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59 minutes ago, lecroy24fan said:

MLB has decided that the game will not be played Monday no matter what happens today.

Looks like the StarTrib's own Bobby Nightengale was the first to report this. I would expect that all teams affected (D-backs, Marlins, Mets, Brewers, and Phillies) were part of the discussion and that all parties agreed that it wasn't worth the bother. Not only would there be extra travel for Miami but neither Miami nor Arizona would have been able to make travel arrangements until after the game was completed. If not finishing the game would affect the seeding, so what? I don't think any of the four postseason teams would have objected to either possible pairing. And I certainly don't think the Mets wanted anything to do with having to show up for 4 outs worth of baseball. All in all, MLB got this one right.