Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account
  • entries
    17
  • comments
    77
  • views
    50,498

Patching Holes: How the Twins can still fix their roster (RP Edition)


Andrew Luedtke

1,684 views

 Share

Twins Video

blog-0002241001611170484.jpegIt’s no surprise that the Twins have to address their bullpen after the departures of May, Romo, Clippard, and Wisler. So far all they have to show for it is Robles.

 

This blog is part of a collection of other blogs in the "Patching Holes" series. Also check out my thoughts on the SS/Utility, Starting Pitching, and DH positions.

 

Currently, the Twins RP group ranks 11th in MLB. A far fall from their #2 ranking as a core in 2020. There is work to be done.

 

Here is how the Twins RP group projects in 2021.

 

RP

The Twins can do better. In fact, the hope is that they add at minimum two more arms to this bullpen.

 

Here are some RP options. I noted how the Twins would benefit in “net WAR” as well as the 2021 estimated salary of each player (via Fangraphs).

 

“Net WAR” in this scenario is the difference between the Fangraphs Depth Chart projection for each player below and the least valuable option for the RP position on the Twins currently.

 

For this purpose, we will use the WAR for Ian Gibaut who is projected .1 WAR in 2021 and figures to be the last man in the ‘pen.

 

For example: Brad Hand projects .9 WAR so to calculate “net WAR” you subtract .9 from .1 for a net of +.8 WAR.

 

*All WAR projections use Fangraphs Depth Charts

 

Free Agent RP Options:

 

Brad Hand: +.8 WAR ($9.3M)

Collin McHugh: +.4 WAR ($2M)

Alex Colomé: +.4 WAR ($8M)

Joakim Soria: +.3 WAR($7M)

Mark Melancon: +.3 WAR ($8M)

Trevor Rosenthal: +2. WAR($6.5M)

Tyler Clippard: +.2 WAR ($3M)

Darren O’Day: +.2 WAR($2M)

Keone Kela: +.2 WAR ($4M)

Brandon Workman: +.2 WAR($5M)

Shane Greene: +.2 WAR ($5M)

Jake McGee: +.1 WAR ($4M)

Sergio Romo: +.1 WAR($3M)

 

This is not a perfect formula. There are a lot of moving parts in each of these instances due to how each player would impact the rest of the team. Also, Fangraphs Depth Charts is very conservative when projecting the output for relievers. Please keep in mind, I pulled these projections from a website, I didn’t make them myself so don’t shoot the messenger :)

 

It’s kind of difficult to run these scenarios for the reliever market. It’s not as clear how each individual reliever impacts the rest of the team like it was for SS, DH, and SP.

 

Currently there are really only a few top end guys left (Hand, Colome, and Rosenthal). The rest fall in the middle tier of the market and as you can see, the options are plentiful.

 

In any case, there are opportunities the Twins can pull from to improve their pen. The real value is when you add 2-3 of these guys and can replace Gibaut, Thorpe, and Smeltzer on your RP depth chart.

 

My take:

 

I would love to see the Twins add 2-3 arms here. I am a big fan of Rosenthal, I see value in having Soria’s veteran presence (plus, he’s good), and I want to see Clippard return.

 

That would line the Twins up to have a bullpen of:

 

Rogers

Duffey

Rosenthal

Soria

Clippard

Thielbar

Robles

Stashak

Alcala

 

Optional/minors: Gibaut, Sparkman, Waddell, Colina, Law, Coulombe

 

That bullpen will absolutely play. Especially in the AL Central.

 

In the comments below, let me know who you think the Twins should sign and why!

 Share

2 Comments


Recommended Comments

Well, it looks like it's being reported the Twins signed Happ to a one-year $8 million dollar deal.

 

They've GOT to sign Rosenthal.  He takes over the closer spot allowing Rogers and Duffey to nail down the 7th & 8th.

 

Rogers and Duffey could close when Rosenthal needs a night off.

 

Then for me it comes down to Clippard or Soria.  Clippard is the more cost-efficient.

Not sure what I actually think of Colome.  

Link to comment
Guest
Add a comment...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
×
×
  • Create New...