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snap4birds

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Everything posted by snap4birds

  1. snap4birds
    I think I read that Consumer Reports or somebody tested some supplements they bought at GNC. You'd think those would be on the up-and-up, but there were a lot of problems (things that weren't supposed to be in there, not as much of the active ingredient as advertised, etc.). Basically, there isn't a lot of regulation and testing going on in the supplement industry.
  2. snap4birds
    Entitling the article "Fernandomania" reminded me of Fernando Valenzuela bursting on the baseball scene back in the 80's. Man, I thought he was headed straight to Cooperstown. Let's hope Fernando Romero's success lasts a little longer.
  3. snap4birds
    Supposedly, there was some concern over the number of innings Reed logged the past couple years (77 & 76) that contributed to a lack of options for him last winter. I'm no expert on how many innings a guy should throw, but there are only about 6 or 7 who threw 75 or more in '16 and '17. I think the Twins should be very careful about overusing him.
  4. snap4birds
    Addison Russell/Addison Reed????
  5. snap4birds
    I saw that article on ESPN claiming Dozier was 'playing the long game'. But the funny thing is, you could just as easily claim that Sisco was playing it, too. His team was down 6 runs with one out in the ninth. If he gets on base, how much does that raise his team's win probability? How much more does it rise if he hits a solo home run? Not much, in either case. But him putting down a successful bunt in that situation just might make teams re-consider that shift against him the next time around. And it's a good opportunity to practice it so he will be better at it, too.
  6. snap4birds
    Jaime gets $8 million this year, plus a $2 million buyout if they don't pick up the option. So $10 mil guaranteed. If they pick up the option for 2019, he gets $18 mil guaranteed. Plus, up to $2 million per year in bonuses. Depending on the details of the 2/20 offer, Garcia could even earn more $ than what the Twins offered Lynn. Somehow Garcia wrangled a pretty nice contract in this weird free-agent season. Lance Lynn, Arrieta, Cobb, etc. should hire his agent. http://www.espn.com/mlb/story/_/id/22457044/toronto-blue-jays-sign-lefty-jaime-garcia-1-year-contract
  7. snap4birds
    Grossman is a switch hitter with better splits as a RH batter.
  8. snap4birds
    I was wondering how a pitcher with 143 IP, 117 hits allowed, 127 KO's could have a 0 bWAR. I like the 'new' stats, but don't always understand how they are calculated. So from reading the comments to this point, I'm guessing Odorizzi had a 0 bWAR because of a high(ish) walk rate, a high(ish) HR rate, extremely low BABIP, and a high strand rate. I still think it was a great trade, now if they can land Archer or someone at the top, Cleveland should be worried. But that can also occur during the season.
  9. snap4birds
    I think the biggest key for the Cardinals was drafting Albert Pujols in the 13th round. They surrounded him with decent homegrown talent and traded for most of the rest of their all-star type talent (Rolen, Edmonds, Wainwright). Carpenter was a FA who sat out his first year with an injury, I think. I guess that Molina guy was a nice draft pick, too. But Pujols was definitely the tent pole or unicorn or whatever they're calling it nowadays. If Buxton or Sano becomes that kind of player, then the Twins will need to open the pocketbook a little more and/or trade some of their prospects. I always thought Sano had the better chance at that, but Buxton has actually out-WARed him so far (7.2 to 5.4 per baseball-reference) in about 350 fewer at-bats.
  10. snap4birds
    I was going to try to answer this argument by using Game Score as a tie-breaker. But now I can't find a source for that....I thought Baseball-reference used to have it.... I guess resume the fWAR/bWAR/ERA/FIP/SIERA/WHIP/W-L arguments
  11. snap4birds
    The story I read said they need to continue using/selling the image, or they lose their copyright on it, then anyone could use it. It would probably be more widespread in that case, as anyone could produce it and nostalgic fans might want to still display it. Kind of a tricky situation......I'd assume the Washington DC football team faces the same problem.
  12. snap4birds
    I skimmed through that, so maybe I missed some details. But I just wonder how it all gets implemented, while the story was more on the accuracy of the calls. Is there still an umpire behind home plate to call safe/out, fair/foul, checkswings? How about foul tips, is that part of the system or up to an ump? How does the call get broadcast quickly enough for a batter to know to run on a dropped 3rd strike, or a catcher to throw out a runner? I'd like to see it tried in a minor league game and see how it goes. The players probably wouldn't like it at first. But once they worked out most of the kinks, maybe it would be better?
  13. snap4birds
    Gil Meche says "Hi".
  14. snap4birds
    If Tampa is looking for MI prospects, they won't be trading with the Cardinals . STL has pitching, OF, C prospects, but the infield is looking pretty barren. Their 2 best MI prospects were just acquired from Oakland for Stephen Piscotty.
  15. snap4birds
    Just saw a tidbit here about Reed http://www.stltoday.com/sports/columns/ben-frederickson/questions-benfred-on-stl-sports/collection_4882833c-1aef-5fd1-995a-1bef5729a101.html Speculation that many teams had reservations about Addison Reed's workload the last couple years. I haven't really paid much attention, but the article stated he seemed close to signing with 'multiple' teams, only to have the deals fall through.
  16. snap4birds
    OK, I didn't really explain my point then. Hampton & Zito don't count, because this was limited to the past decade (not sure if that was by you or someone else in the thread-I'm not going back & re-reading it). My point is that if you are looking at free agent starting pitchers signing contracts for 6 or more years in the past decade, you're not really looking at very many actual examples. So is it valid to state that teams of the Twins financial position never sign them? If there are only 3 examples, does it really amount to any sort of statistical significance? (Just used 3 as an example, I have no idea how many there were.....) And I said nothing about the wisdom of signing Darvish, Hampton or Zito, I was just commenting on the history of the market size of teams that make signings like this, and the rarity of free agent pitchers actually receiving them.
  17. snap4birds
    How many pitchers have signed 6 year contracts overall? To me, that's a pretty SSS. Maybe there are more than I remember, but I'd think that there aren't all that many examples in the last decade. (The 1st 2 I thought of were Mike Hampton & Barry Zito......) So if you're going to posit that teams in the Twins financial situation don't sign that type of contract, I think you should show which teams have signed them and their relative revenue stream.
  18. snap4birds
    Another thread mentions how many Twins prospects are rated B- or better by Sickels. I don't remember the exact number (21?), but it might be the perfect time for the Twins to cash in some quantity for quality. They lost 2 prospects in Rule 5 this year, that might be a recurring event if the system is truly that deep.
  19. snap4birds
    They are Designated For Assignment. As Tom Froemming noted, the Braves & Brewers did this in the past week. They then have 10 days to open up a new spot on the roster and return them to the roster. Or they can put them on waivers, trade, release or outright them to the minors. Here is a good description of the possibilities https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Designated_for_assignment
  20. snap4birds
    Ladies and Gentlemen, I present your South Dakota Twins, starring Yu Darvish! Maybe set up a rotation where he only pitches home games, or in other states that have low income taxes..... I think this is a fairly new phenomenon, prior to maybe 10 years ago pro athletes just paid their income tax where they played. Now it has to be pretty complicated. If a pitcher never faces the Tigers, does he not have to file in Michigan, or does he have to prorate his earnings out to the percentage of games his team played against the Tigers?
  21. snap4birds
    I've felt all along the eye issue was legit. But your post reminded me of one thing I just read elsewhere, that most of these international signings are worked out in advance. I just read another post that most of the J2 2018 contracts are agreed to already. If this is true, it's possible that Terry Ryan had agreed to a deal with Marte, but maybe Falvine weren't as enthusiastic about him, but didn't want to back out of an agreed upon deal. So now, I'm a little more open to the 'conspiracy theory' that the eye issue wasn't the primary factor in voiding the contract, just a convenient excuse. But I'm still giving them the benefit of the doubt....
  22. snap4birds
    Is that for sure? I think they can use either this year or next year's money. If you have enough money left over this year, it would make sense to use that, since most of the hot prospects sign in July.
  23. snap4birds
    It's $2.2 million bad.
  24. snap4birds
    I thought the deal was that the Astros had an agreement with Aiken for less than slot, they were going to use the extra money for Nix. But when Aiken's physical came back, they weren't willing to pay as much as agreed upon and they then didn't have any extra money for Nix. So if they wanted Nix, they essentially were paying for him and a damaged Aiken. Pretty sticky situation all around....
  25. snap4birds
    Interesting side note to that no-hitter. Somewhere in that game, a Cardinal hit a fly down the line that was called foul. Replay showed it was fair, and it would have ended the no-hit bid (TV replay, not an official MLB review, this was before replay was allowed to overturn calls). Johan would have been pulled around 100-110 pitches and may have been able to avoid the arm injury that shortened his career. What seemed like good luck turned out to be bad luck....
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