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caninatl04

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Everything posted by caninatl04

  1. Bux stole two bases today. Why do projected line ups have him so low? I know it didn’t work well when Bux led off last year, but I’d love to see Bux, Mauer, Dozier as 1-2-3.
  2. Yes, supply will be higher, but some big spending clubs, like The Evil Empire, will be out of Luxury Tax Repeat Offender jail, so, demand will also be higher. I concur that the most likely outcome is a qualifying offer.
  3. 2 Let's see how many of the starting pitcher prospects deserve to start in 2019 before deciding on options. If I had to guess, I would guess that options will be declined on Gibson and Santana. I would concur that re-signing Dozier would be nice, but shouldn't be a high priority since: - one place where the Twins farm is particularly strong is middle infield, and - scoring runs will not be a problem. By the way, does anyone have a guess what starting pitcher free agents might be available in 2019?
  4. Well, there is hope on the (very distant) horizon. There are two catchers: Mason Denaburg and Will Banfield who are slotted around the Twins' first pick in this years draft. So, I write sarcastically, all should be well in, say, 2024.
  5. Regression: Polanco, Dozier, the catcher position, Joe Mauer. Wild Cards: well, each of the 3 OFers. Progression: DH
  6. You wrote: "he gave up a home run about every seven innings. That’s about average for a major league pitcher last year. But before the injury, it was every four(!) at-bats" Is this correct?
  7. Thank you for a great article. Its great since it touches on so many points and raises a few questions. First, maybe someone could clarify the seeming inconsistency that a) Grossman was second in OBP, but the DH position had an OBP of only .328. Second, could someone explain how anyone, and I mean anyone, could generate such a negative Defensive Runs saved. Grossman didn't play RF often enough to let so many fly balls fall in and / or make so many bad throws. As for Brian Dozier. I know. Minnesota sports fans, including me, aren't used to situations where Plan A is good, and Plan B is also good. Under Plans A & B, Dozier is certainly incentivized (and I hate that word also) to play well. If the Twins are "in it" (Plan A), they have a great 2B. If he leaves in FA, they have a number of good to great replacements in the minors. If the Twins are not "in it", then the Twins get something for someone who was going to go FA anyway. Finally, Joe. Aside from resigning him at his current contract levels (I forget $27 mill per?), there is again, not a bad outcome. If his '18 is like his '17, and he still wants to play, then that is good. If his '18 is like his '16 and / or he doesn't want to play, then they can exercise their option on Morrison and / or use one of their many minor leaguers who can hit and play 1B. What I like about the FO is that they have created options such that two things have to go wrong rather than just one.
  8. Click bait aside (and I did try the "three simple rules to lose 40 pounds" he suggested), the ultimate question is a good one First, I want to concur with ND-fan that Kepler needs to prove he can carry his own against LHSP. But, if he can't, I'm not sure if there is a dominant Plan B. This is contrast to Polanco. If he hits / fields like he did in the later half of 2017, then there is not a problem. If, however, he more reflects his mid-season swoon, well, the Plan B's are legion. This is a roundabout way of saying that one dimension of "proving it" involves minor leaguers nipping at ones heels.
  9. From a strictly analytic point of view, I can think of one team that has too many left handed bats, especially at the 1B / DH position. Could the Twins trade him to... the Twins? (smiley face). On a serious note, the poster used the work "options". One part of the FOs movements that I like is that they have set up options where the worst outsome isn't that bad.
  10. I hope Bux can one day soon hit first or second. I’d love to see 40 SBs a year from him. And hopefully one day, it will be explained to him it’s legal to steal third.
  11. Like the move, Love the price. I really doubt he will even approach 600 PAs this year, so this is essentially a one year deal. This is consistent with the Twins aiming for 2019 with an outfielder / 1B / DH to be determined. First best option would be someone in the minors now. If none of them are ready a year from now, exercise the option on Morrison. The only part I don’t like is that he is a LH hitter with worse splits against LHP. As numerous other posters have pointed out, this seems redundant.
  12. I’m sure they can find a right hand hitting utility infielder to spell him if need be. So will he be a #2 hitter or a #8?
  13. ESPN recently posted an article suggesting that Cleveland’s success is not sustainable due to mid market economics. Again, this points to planning for 19 rather than 18. This suggests shopping for an ace next year. Of course, the big players will be out of luxury tax hell next year, so prices will be MUCH higher.
  14. Actually, as someone who has been forced to live a peripatetic life style, I vote Minnesota as having the nicest summers anywhere.
  15. Having the young core of Berrios (#2), Gonsalves (#3), and Mejia (#4) and seeing them perform up to their talent levels would be huge for this team. Now if they only had a true ace. I’m not sure if / when this would occur, but having numbers 2, 3, and 4 in your rotation for 3 times the major league minimum (or 2 through 5 for 4 times) should warm the hearts of ownership. Maybe, just maybe, it would get them to look under their seat cushions to pony up for a true ace.
  16. Who is the David Wells mentioned who was a long time “minor leaguer”?
  17. We have a brilliant new front office. Oh, by the way, our #2 starter is Kyle Gibson. Both of these statements cannot be true simultaneously.
  18. Given the lack of SP FA signings, are we seeing implicit or explicit collusion?
  19. Oh, I concur. But a team needs only 1 or 2 #4 starters. The Twins seem to have 6 or 7.
  20. I think we are in agreement. The Twins could narrow the gap, but I am skeptical they could overtake the Tribe this coming year.
  21. Had the Twins finished last year, say, 4 or 5 games behind the Indians, then I could find arguments that the Twins could compete this year feasible. But it would take several acts of god, and several Yu Darvishs to make up, what, 18 games.
  22. By the way, as I wrote a few months ago, the perfect fit from a quant point of view would be Ryon {sic} Healy who was with the A's but is now with the Mariners.
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