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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. I agree with getting a SS to move Polanco to 2B. I'm not sure I want to put Arraez at 3B though. As much as I like him, if the Twins were going to go after Storey or Arrenado, I might supspect that Arraez would be part of the haul going back to Colorado.
  2. We’ve had this discussion before, it’s disrespectful, let’s please use other less derogatory terms to describe these players.
  3. How so? Rich Hill has been one of the best pitchers in the league when he's healthy. People didn't hold that against Ryu. But mostly, calling people garbage is an awful thing to do.
  4. If the Twins have a full rotation performing well and Hill's best spot is the pen no one will be up in arms. They will have incentive to do just that. Which also makes sense of why Hill's incentive is based on either starts OR innings pitched. You don't see that often, if ever. It gives the Twins the ability to avoid the top of the incentive scale if Hill is not needed in the rotation while still allowing Hill the ability to recoup plenty of incentives if healthy and capable, from the pen.
  5. I couldn't disagree more. Hill is only guaranteed 3M if he does nothing but nearly 10M if they set him loose on the mound. They have nearly a 7M incentive not to break Hill's "Only break in an emergency" seal.
  6. Almost like Rich Hill's aren't typically found in a dumpster.
  7. By this point I don't think it's just the posters but the entire organization and fanbase. Their continued losing is beginning to look like a self-fulfilling prophecy. To get past that, I think they need to make some aggressive moves, if for no other reason than the send a message and change the vibe.
  8. Well come July I'm guessing the Twins will have a better read on Hill's timeline and since they only owe him 3M if they kick him to the curb (or bullpen) or 9M if they give him a long leash, I'm guessing his presence isn't going to be what would stop them from acquiring other players should Hill's outlook become questionable. As for Bailey last year, no idea why they had no interest, I was just disputing it was about money. As for me being optimistic? I've wanted trades over free agents all off season and while the lack of top free agents and the signing of lotto tickets and back of the rotation arms is understandably disappointing folks, those things are more supportive of the idea of getting a bigger name via trade, so yeah, I'll be optimistic until it either doesn't happen or until an arm I like is traded to a team that's not the Twins.
  9. What deadline moves? It's a 3M guaranteed deal, the team clearly hasn't put too much weight on the idea of Rich Hill being a shoe in for the rotation this year. I think every post I've written today has had the qualifier that I like these moves only if the team also makes a trade. I meant this winter, not in July. Rich Hill is a lotto ticket only and based on his contract, I think the Twins brass see it the same way. As for Bailey being too expensive, the Royals only paid him the vet minimum salary last year as the Dodgers were still, and still are on the hook for the remainder of the Cincinnati contract.
  10. Why don't you wait until they actually call these guys "impact pitching" and fail to make a trade for some this winter before stating it as fact.
  11. That's not even close to what I said. I was only refuting the idea that Homer Bailey was a shoe in for regression.
  12. I guess his value isn't really what would be at the forefront of a Homer Bailey deal for me. I don't think the Twins will get to any kind of uncomfortable payroll situation and I expect them to compete again so I don't imagine he'd get traded. To me just looks like a better bet to be reliable rotation piece than the Dobnak/Smeltzer/Thorpe alternatives.
  13. While many pitchers don't bounce back well from injury, Hill does it about every year. Since he's proven to have this ability to produce after an injury induced layoff, returning at all is a bigger concern than returning at diminished capacity. But since Hill returning and providing subpar performances is certainly still a possibility, it gives the team all the more reason to make additional moves so they can bump Hill to the pen and avoid those 75 innings. An additional trade could help save 6.75M if Hill doesn't work out.
  14. Also, if Bailey believes his new approach will bring him better results, he might just prefer to bet on himself. The Twins have been giving out quite a few option years to their free agents the last couple of years and both Bailey and Hill seemed like prime candidates to get one this year, if not from the Twins than from another club. So I might suspect they were the one's who didn't want to be tethered to a 2nd year.
  15. I'd have a hard time seeing Bailey be so good he'd be worth a QO, but there just seems like a lot of hand wringing for what looks to be a 5th starter. Hill on the other hand is a top of the rotation arm when healthy, if he's not healthy, well it was well worth the $3M to find out from my perspective. But yes, this is all predicated on the Twins still swinging a trade for a higher ceiling, hopefully longer-term arm, which I am still just as hopeful for. They still only have three starters for opening day, so I don't think they're done. Ownership and the front office will still be well aware that these moves will not scrub any egg from their face, face they'll surely still want to save coming off of last season's fan building momentum.
  16. Well Perez wasn't good in 2019, but he was significantly better than in 2018. If Bailey's new approach holds it will be a good deal for the 5th starter. If he improves at the same rate as Perez did, he'd be a really good pitcher.
  17. It's a pretty cheap bet. After last season I think we saw the Twins prefer the splitter to the two seamer, which Bailey himself shifted more heavily towards last year. I wouldn't be surprised if the club saw a like-minded approach in Bailey and thought last year's results may be more indicative of his numbers going forward than whatever stagnant non-sense was occurring back in Cincinnati.
  18. If you're talking about Bailey, his K% jumped 6% last year. That's got me interested. I never liked him when he couldn't miss bats, but now that he can he has my attention.
  19. I had been asking for Hill early on in free agency before I got egg on my face after someone pointed out he was going to start the year off on the IL. But he's been fantastic when on the mound, so if he comes back healthy I think there are few pitchers who'd be available in a mid season trade that could provide the the boost that Hill is capable of. Assuming health, (foolish mortal!) Hill is already my pick for Game 1 of the playoffs. He's old and not a sexy name, but he's got the track record and pitch-ability that matches up best against whomever the Yankees and Astros will be throwing out there.
  20. I'm not sure if that last bit was also sarcasm, but yeah, I wanted nothing to do with Kuechel and next to nothing to do with Bumgarner, so I do prefer this. Not that I won't be upset if there still isn't a trade for an arm for the front of the rotation.
  21. With Hill and Pineda out to begin the year, I think it's more likely the Twins swing a trade. I know the rotation could get crowded at some point, but the good teams like rotation depth and have no problem shuttling good-not-great rotation vets out to the pen when needed.
  22. I'd prefer to get some rotation stalwarts, but if the option is doing multi year deals for pitchers of Gibson's caliber, I'd rather cherry pick my rotation each year.
  23. Because of the last man in the bullpen? I'm actually really interested in seeing Wisler this spring. I love bullpen guys with a wipeout slider.
  24. He still has a 94-95 MPH fastball, a wipeout slider and dropped the Pittsburgh-mandatory sinker midway through last year and his peripheral stats are always show he's better than his ERA. I like those things as better indicators of future results.
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