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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    I agree the Twins should emulate the Cardinals but they aren't conservative. I can't think of any team that is successful on the field consistantly and conservative in as many aspects of the game that the Twins appear to be. Maybe the A's and Rays in terms of financial conservatism but that is due to those teams being in terrible financial situations. Those teams make up for it by not being conservative on the trade fronts. Those are wheeling and dealing GM's who have a proven track record when it comes to drafting and developing pitchers, who they later will have no qualms about agressively trading. I'm not in favor of trading away a bunch of prospects, but then the team needs to fill it's holes in free agency. Because there WILL be holes. Always.
  2. nicksaviking
    For nothing?! For nothing?! If not for that trade we would not have fan favorite Drew Butera. I'm not big on trading away the prospects, I'd rather the team predicted team needs better and filled the holes in free agency. Even so, there are times to make these trades like early this century when the Twins had outfield prospects everywhere with Torii Hunter and Jacque Jones as mainstays and Michael Cuddyer, Michael Restovich, Michael Ryan, Garrett Jones, Brian Buchanan, Dustin Mohr and Bobby Keilty all fighting for their chance to play. Ryan ended up making nice trades flipping Kielty for Shannon Stewart and Buchanan for Jason Bartlett. You'd think he would have realized he could keep dealing from his OF surplus but he didn't. Restovich was such a highly rated prospect and there was never going to be room for him. Considering what Buchanon and Kielty brought back, Restovich might have landed a really nice player.
  3. nicksaviking
    Rumored title of Terry Ryan's autobiography.
  4. nicksaviking
    Just have Berrios strike everyone out. Kepler can sit his butt on the warning track and build his arm strength back up by picking his nose.
  5. nicksaviking
    Can he play catcher? I think the Molina Prophacy only applies to catchers. The Twins did seem to target them in this draft though. Maybe they were confused.
  6. nicksaviking
    Right, but you clearly didn't read the preceeding paragraph. The June, July, August time table was in referrence to the possibility of Gibson pitching out of the pen early in the year ala Kris Medlen. That did not happen. This idea was scrapped early it seems. If you want to take this report as gospel because of of the June, July, August deadline, I fail to see how you missed the part about getting "the 25-year-old right-hander to get to the big leagues as soon as possible." I've said it before but I don't think this orgainzation has a solid gameplan. It seems like they are just winging it.
  7. nicksaviking
    ??? He can't be pitching well, I've been told he's inconsistant!!!
  8. nicksaviking
    For me, 90% #2 but admittedly 10% 5. He should have gotten a cup of coffee in AAA then gotten the call up in May. Now he'll get his token couple starts at the MLB level this year, and every team will have the offseason to read the book on him and he'll have to adjust to the adjustments next year as opposed to doing so now. Ideally this team would have let him take his lumps at the MLB level this year as opposed to when he's 26, an age when he should be entering the prime of his career. It almost seems like the Twins think he can take his lumps at Rochester and thus he automatically won't have any when he reaches the majors.
  9. nicksaviking
    Not to mention Slowey, Blackburn, Perkins, Garza and Liriano were all top 100 prospects. It is absolute folly to think Gibson is a given. If this front office is basing decisions on blind assumption we're in for a long rebuild. You seem to be annoyed by anyone who would suggest the front office should opperate differently. You might not like it here. I'm not sure what exactly you'd have us discuss, the team is losing and generally change is the remedy.
  10. nicksaviking
    And Molina was pick 11 so if they decided not to sign him they wouldn't lose any of the draft pool. Though I don't have the emotional ties to Shore some folks do, he looks good on paper but a lot of prep arms do.
  11. nicksaviking
    Great interview, regardless of if these two make it or not, we should be seeing them in the system for a long time barring trade. They both seem to be good enough ballplayers for the orgainzation to give long leashes. I like that Melotakis acknowledges that he needs to continue to work on the change up and I'm not surprised he said they are starting from scratch with that pitch but I'm a little surprised they are doing so with the slider. I'd think that would be a big reason why his K numbers are down. Rebuilding two pitches has to be pretty tough at this point yet he's still pitching well enough. I'd imagine if the changeup develops those K numbers will rise quite a bit. Hicks is my adopt a prospect and after the draft I took him last year too. I remember looking at the college numbers and thinking, wow, this dude is not a 17th round pick, especially in a day and age of profession baseball where the strikeout is not nearly the stigma it once was.
  12. nicksaviking
    Digging a little deeper into the inability to get a strikeout with men on base I found this trend. For his career, Mike Pelfrey has performed much different in low, medium and high leverage situations. Low: 221K in 1466 PA = 15.0% K rate Medium: 243K in 1971 PA = 12.3% K rate High: 77K in 785 PA = 9.8% K rate Then trending upward Low: 93 BB in 1466 PA = 6.3% Medium: 173 BB in 1971 PA= 8.7% High: 73 BB in 785 PA = 9.2% It should go without saying we would all prefer those numbers to be going the opposite direction. He has a 77/73 K/BB rate in high leverage situations. It seems to me that this is at least a factor in his struggles.
  13. nicksaviking
    I don't think it's a lack of effort, it's a lack of ability. However many pitchers with the ability to miss bats do have higher strikeout numbers in high leverage situations, which tells me they in fact can bear down and dial up the heat or make a pitch break a little bit more in a clutch situation. There are curretnly 100 qualifying starting pitchers. 55 of them have a K/9 over 7.00, 45 of them have a K/9 of 7.5. So I guess I'd give a satisfactory chance at acquiring a strikeout in high leverage situations to roughly 50% of the pitchers in the league.
  14. nicksaviking
    That seems awfully high. I suppose we could go off-tangent and get down to what it actually means to be a pitch-to-contact arm but the overriding idea was that Pelfrey doesn't have the ability to bear down and strike guys out when he has runners on the bases. 95% of the pitchers in the league don't have the same issue. If Pelfrey had pitched one more inning he would be a qualifying pitcher and would be fifth from last in K/9. Of course Diamond and Correia are one and three, but that would be off-tangent too.
  15. nicksaviking
    I think you should start a Frey Mike Pelfrey thread.
  16. nicksaviking
    Are you saying no one on this site knows of a legit reasons to keep him down? Or are you saying don't second guess the front office unless you are a 94-year-old butt-kisser? Right, but most of us agreed at the start of the season that none of these place-holder pitchers should be able to justifiably block the top prospects. This was part of the reason people were disappointed with the Correia 2-year-deal. Will the Twins actually justify keeping the top prospects out of the pitcture due to vets being under contract? If next year Sano is in the same position, are we to be satisfied with Plouffe simply because he's adaquate?
  17. nicksaviking
    I assume this is the Twins plan with Sano but the Twins don't seem to have a SS anywhere close to MLB ready that profiles to have an above average bat let alone Derek Jeter who was a #6 overall pick and the #6 prospect overall prior to his call up. This team gets criticized for thier inablity to draft and develop top of the rotation arms but they are equally inefficient at drafting and developing middle infielders. Not that I disagree, I'll trade defense for offense any and every day of the week.
  18. nicksaviking
    How about just until the trade deadline?
  19. nicksaviking
    I would imagine a lot of pitchers who don't have the ability to strike out batters have a similar breakdown in regards to big innings. When guys get on base it's very difficult for them to stop runners from advancing even on routine outs.
  20. nicksaviking
    And exactly which numbers would be your starting point? Pull up their stats yourself, any way you slice it Gibson has been the better pitcher over the last month. Heck over the last ten starts.
  21. nicksaviking
    I appologize for the derogatory label, I actually wasn't speaking specifically to you, I was addressing everyone on the board who appeared to believe Gibson should not be in the rotation currently.
  22. nicksaviking
    No, obviously the issue is that the 70 innings may change how he pitches in 2014. Then how he pitches in 2014 may change how he pitches in 2015. As it stands now, he likely doesn't have 70 innings left. Your arguement in defense of Terry Ryan seems to soley be, "It doesn't matter." If it doesn't matter then why not call him up? We have yet to hear from a front office defender a legitimetly negative consequence that would actually befall Gibson due to a call up.
  23. nicksaviking
    Unless one was to think 2012 was the exception not the rule for him.
  24. nicksaviking
    So make him wait another year before he gets regular experience at the big league level? Are we seriously waiting becuase we want him to be ready to win the Cy Young the second he gets called up?
  25. nicksaviking
    Can AP play CF? He's pretty quick.
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