Jump to content
Our top free agent ranking is up to 75 names; click here to check it out! ×
Twins Daily
  • Create Account

Mike Frasier Law

Verified Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    217

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Profiles

Minnesota Twins News, Rumors & Analysis

Minnesota Twins Videos

2026 Minnesota Twins Top Prospect Rankings

2022 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Minnesota Twins Trade & Free Agent Rumors

Minnesota Twins Fan Guides & Resources

2023 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

The Minnesota Twins Players Project

2024 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2025 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

2026 Minnesota Twins Draft Picks & Signing Bonuses

Forums

Blogs

Events

Store

Downloads

Gallery

Everything posted by Mike Frasier Law

  1. Mike Frasier Law
    This sounds excellent. Thanks John and TwinsDaily for putting this on. My wife and I will be there with metaphorical bells on. Not real ones - that would just be silly.
  2. Mike Frasier Law
    I just love this crowd. If I asked a random sampling of my friends, they would probably predict between 1-5 wins in that stretch. I say 8-6. I think we take two from each of 'em!
  3. Mike Frasier Law
    This is a surprisingly progressive attitude I did not expect from the Twins. I always thought of them as a strict pitch count team. But the fact that they are considering the exertion of the pitcher and not just counting pitches is encouraging to me.
  4. Mike Frasier Law
    I pegged them for 71 wins before the season started. I'll take the over, and that's assuming (and hoping for) the fire sale. The Twins were pegged to have the toughest schedule to start the season (not sure how that compares to prior years), and survived it. Some of it was riding some really lucky and unexpected hot streaks, and some was legitimate, sustainable performances. I don't think I need to name names. The Twins are not going to make the playoffs. Before the season started, I hoped Willingham and Correia would start out hot, but the Twins would tank, so we could and would trade them. The start to the season was the exact opposite, but it looks like that's what's happening now. Subtract Correia, Willingham, Morales, and Florimon from the team and you don't lose much - maybe 2 wins. But with them gone, you have May, more Arcia and Escobar, and who knows who else - maybe Rosario. Better for the future certainly, and it may not hurt 2014 too much.
  5. Mike Frasier Law
    It's interesting to me because it seems like Hicks has made some significant progress since abandoning switch hitting. Since the switch, his line is 231/412/308. For the last 30 days, it's 267/400/311. Both lines are above average (112 wRC+). It's a better line than Escobar or Nunez in the same time frame (wRC+ of 107 and 102 respectively). Heck, Fuld's season line is 250/291/365 (wRC+ of 82). I understand that he's not living up to expectations, but since he was called out, he's been hitting better than average, and he's been hitting better than his replacement. What else is he supposed to do?
  6. Mike Frasier Law
    The article doesn't mention it, but the lawsuit names Bud Selig as an individual defendant. Under most circumstances, he would not be personally liable for the acts of the MLB. But the Fair Labor Standards Act defines "employer" very broadly, and courts have held owners, officers, and directors of companies individually liable if they were personally involved and in charge of the corporate conduct that violated the FLSA. Can you imagine Bud being on the hook personally for a multimillion dollar judgment?
  7. Mike Frasier Law
    Players not on the 40 man roster are not represented by the union. If they were represented by the union, they could not have brought this suit - they would have had to have the fight in front of the National Labor Relations Board.
  8. Mike Frasier Law
    I'd shed a tear over losing Arcia.
  9. Mike Frasier Law
    I imagine BABIP captures what I've seen a few times. In looking through his game log, I found this interesting: 5/25 - BABIB .444 - His defense included Santana, Nunez, Parm outfield. 5/18 - BABIP .333 - OF of Kubel, Hicks, Parm 5/13 - BABIP .267!! - I can't tell who played CF, but the lineup included Nunez, Parm, Santana, Kubel and Escobar. I imagine three of those played OF, but it's hard to know who. 5/7 - BABIP .357 - OF of Kubel, Fuld, Colabello. 5/2 - BABIP .286 - OF of Kubel, Fuld, Colabello 4/24 - BABIP .391 - OF of Fuld, Hicks, Colabello 4/18 - BABIP .435 - OF of Mastro, Hicks, Colabello 4/12 - BABIP .200 - OF of Kubel, Hicks, Colabello 4/6 - BABIP .353 - OF of Kubel, Hicks, Bartlett!! 3/31 - BABIP .421 - OF of Arcia, Hicks, Willingham Point is that he's had some pretty bad OF defense behind him. Particularly bad for a flyball pitcher. It seems to me that since May, he's been pitching about how we should expect him to, and if we put a good defense behind him (a topic in another thread, I believe), we might actually see good results.
  10. Mike Frasier Law
    Yea, I felt bad for Nolasco this weekend. I started watching the game, and when the Twins gave up a run in the first inning because two mediocre shortstops playing in the outfield misplayed hits (but did not commit errors, of course), I just turned it off. Hopefully having Arcia back will help keep outfielders in the outfield for awhile.
  11. Mike Frasier Law
    Offensively (wRC+), he's had a similar season as billy hamilton and grady sizemore, and he's been more valuable than BJ upton, Jackie Bradley Jr, Will Venable, and Revere. By the same measurement, he's actually been above average (119 wRC+) over the last 30 days - granted, he hasn't had many at-bats. In that time, he's hitting .231/ .388 / .359. It's hard to say what his defense will look like by the end of the year, but I think he's given us reason to believe he can provide positive value. I hope his bat and defense will improve to the point where we could put him in RF, but if he never reaches that point, I think it's likely he will be worth more in trade value this offeseason than Revere was.
  12. Mike Frasier Law
    Hey, maybe that start suddenly created trade value for him! Right? anyone? Bueller?
  13. Mike Frasier Law
    I am more excited about May than most, I think. And his numbers are not only great - they're trending in the right direction. k/9 has gone from 9.08 in 2012 to 9.94 in 2013 (AA) to 10.54 this year. bb/9 has gone from 4.69 in 2012 to 3.98 in 2013 to 3.34 this year. Anyone have stats on his gb%? I couldn't find it anywhere.
  14. Mike Frasier Law
    Aaron "clutch" Hicks.
  15. Mike Frasier Law
    replay broke gameday apparently.
  16. Mike Frasier Law
    Mike wants wins and Brock - agree completely that IBB are very very rarely considered a good idea. But I would have guessed Gardy favored them, considering how he doesn't pay much attention to advanced metrics and loves the hit-and-run, sac bunts, moving the runner over, etc. It looks like the Twins have been pretty middle of the road on IBB. From 2010 - 2013, they've issued 130 - 7th in the AL. The Red Sox only issued 84 and the Orioles issued 155. I'd be curious to see how Gardy fell on the IWRS over his career.
  17. Mike Frasier Law
    Posnanski - one of my all-time favorite writers - created the Intentional Walk Rage Scale (IWRS) and wrote about it at hardballtalk. Although it is mostly just hilarious, it does have some analytical value, IMO. Naturally, the writers at SB Nation decided to create a 2014 leader board for IWRS. It should be fun to watch this year. Here's the link: http://www.beyondtheboxscore.com/2014/5/14/5715186/intentional-walk-rage-scale-iwrs-leaderboard One interesting thing to note is that Gardy has issued the second fewest IBB this year at 3, and the Rage/IBB is tied for lowest. In other words, he doesn't order IBBs often, and when he does, it's usually a relatively good decision. I'm curious to hear what TD community thinks of IBB and the Twins. Ready? Go!
  18. Mike Frasier Law
    I'm no constitutional scholar, but if I remember right, there have only been a handful of cases where the Supreme Court found a particular activity NOT to affect interstate commerce (guns free school zones act and the plurality decision on the affordable care act off the top of my head). It's not common sense at all, but it is how the constitution has been interpreted for quite a long time. Anyway, baseball!
  19. Mike Frasier Law
    That's close but not quite right. The 10th amendment does reserve powers for the states and the people. But the constitution also contains the commerce clause - granting the feds the right to regulate anything affecting interstate commerce (which has been interpreted very, very broadly), and it contains the supremacy clause - stating that any time state and federal laws directly conflict, the federal law wins.
  20. Mike Frasier Law
    Hicks never swings the bat. I had no idea until this afternoon, playing around on Fangraphs. (o-swing = swing percentage at pitches out of zone, z-swing = swing percentage at pitches in zone, and swing = swing percentage at all pitches) 2013: o-swing 22.1% z-swing 55.5% swing 39.7% 2014 o-swing 18.5% z-swing 54% swing 35.8% to put that in context, of qualified hitters in 2013, here's the range: o-swing 20% (Votto) to 49.6% (AJ) z-swing 52.2% (Prado) to 85.7% (Freeman) swing 37.3% (Carpenter) to 60.7% (AJ) He NEVER swings. I don't know how to find these stats for MILB, but I'd be curious to see how this compares to his A and AA seasons.
  21. Mike Frasier Law
    Agreed that dWAR can't be trusted to be 100% accurate. However, I don't think we have any reason to doubt that it's at least close. And his 3.7 base running WAR is cumulative - so he accumulated a significant amount of value despite being on base so rarely.
  22. Mike Frasier Law
    Among batters with 400+ plate appearances last year, Florimon was 9th worst according to wRC+ and wOBA (purely offensive statistics) - ahead of three other shortstops. So I don't think he's a slightly below average hitter. BUT - (according to Fangraphs at least) his defense and base running more than made up for it. His 9.9 defensive WAR was 13th and his and 3.7 base running WAR was good for 5th among shortstops.
  23. Mike Frasier Law
    Interesting article on Fangraphs here about Kyle Loshe's transition from a thrower to a pitcher. Very interesting perspective. He makes it sound like the Twins wanted him to be a strikeout pitcher and he didn't really learn the value of being a control pitcher until he left the organization. It's interesting to me because that seems to be the exact opposite of what we hear everywhere else. I wonder if this has more to do with his emotional maturity and ability to respect/connect with a different pitching coach or organization. Thoughts?
  24. Mike Frasier Law
    Here's a link to it: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/mlb-blackout-policy-under-attack-in-the-courts/
  25. Mike Frasier Law
    John and TD crew - thanks for drinking bourbon with us and geeking out on baseball and the law. In my opinion, these agreements among MLB teams and with the cable providers hurt both the competitive balance of the league (increasing the revenue imbalance between teams like the Yankees and the Twins) as well as us consumers. I've read that as much as half our cable bill is attributed to the cost of broadcasting sports, and that's only going to increase. The blackout restrictions, specifically designed to curtail competition, makes it possible.
×
×
  • Create New...