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jsteve96

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Everything posted by jsteve96

  1. jsteve96
    Your calculations are wrong. He’s not going to drop to below average this year according to these graphs. The decrease is not -40 for age 34. It’s the decrease from age 33 to age 34. So it’s a 8 or so drop off. It’d be a more accurate guess to say he goes from 132 to 124 this year. 116 year 2 and 108 year 3 and by his last year, about league average. Will his last 2 years be worth the money? Depends on defense but the 1st 2 easily worth the money. Thanks for writing though.
  2. jsteve96
    I would think that a big part of that is because not as many under 6'2 guys can throw 95-100.
  3. jsteve96
    No chance they give up both Graterol and Javier in this deal. I don't think I'd give up either.
  4. jsteve96
    Miranda turns 21 this week, he's 4 years younger than the average FSL player. he's holding his own in a pitchers league and he showed power with 16 HRs as a 19 year old last year. He might be rated too LOW if anything
  5. jsteve96
    Lucky for you he never was a pick and never really was fat. He signed as an International free agent and was 6'4 185 Lbs before the last couple years of bulking up. He's also hit quite a few triples in his pro career, so he hasn't been that slow. also has never had a bad K rate too. must be thinking of a different player. Congrats to Lewin, well deserved!
  6. jsteve96
    Yeah you're right Gray wouldn't be too cheap, I added him after I was already thinking about Bundy. I don't think he'd cost a ton though as he has struggled to keep the ball in the park for 2 years and hasn't been great this year. Think he would be better than Pineda and would be a piece for the rotation past this year so I'd consider moving a couple mid range prospects for him.
  7. jsteve96
    Other potential trade targets I think the Twins should look at are Zack Wheeler and Jose Urena. Wheeler has a good resume and is one of the hardest throwers but is a rental so shouldn't cost a ton. Urena has 2 years of control and has been a solid starter but never been a strikeout guy even though he throws 97.. If the Twins think that they can help him add strikeouts he could be a great pick up. Aaron Sanchez could also be a 5th starter candidate with 1 year of control. Everyone is focusing on Stroman but I'm not sure he's that much better than Sanchez and Sanchez would likely cost quite a bit less. A project pitcher they could get fairly cheap would be Dylan Bundy or Jon Gray, they have good stuff so I wouldn't be mad to see them take a chance on him for the right price. One of these moves would allow Pineda to work in the bullpen like he should be. Any thoughts about these guys?
  8. jsteve96
    Thanks for the response, Seth. I agree with most of this. I do think Helman will have some power and that a line drive hitter can destroy baseballs as well
  9. jsteve96
    This lineup is insane. I don't really get why they'd want to have Rortvedt and Jeffers at the same level, or that many infielders who should be starting somewhere. IMO, Jeffers and Rortvedt should both be starting somewhere. Also think that either Blankenhorn or Miranda should be at another level. Miranda should be playing everyday. Hope this loaded roster doesn't force Helman to the bench too often. Very interested in seeing him destroy baseballs.
  10. jsteve96
    Polanco's OPS has been over .723 every year, and his worst year was his breakout after a slump. Phil Hughes had 1 good year, and got twice as much money. Polanco is younger, and has always hit. Even if he doesn't do great its 25M over 5 years, at 5M/year you can barely get a decent utility IF in FA. He will be worth twice that pay. as for the option years, they may not be great deals come that time but they're options so we can get out after 5 years if needed. GREAT signing
  11. jsteve96
    How? He has never hit besides AA for half a season. And he's gonna be a 2nd baseman.
  12. jsteve96
    Prospect status isn't just about stats. A lefty with low velo can succeed in lower levels if they have 2 decent offspeed and control, which Gonsalves has. I'd put them the same spot if I could. I'm still hopeful for Gonsalves but the "remember berrios" thing isn't relevant because they are complete opposites
  13. jsteve96
    Everyone is always sleeping on Polanco.. I'd give him 6/40 today with last 2 years being option years 1 team, then 1 player and I doubt he would turn it down. Similar deal would be Ketel Marte.
  14. jsteve96
    These 5 are all about the same spots in my list. I agree that Acala and Miranda should be in the 16-20, but I could easily see them both being top 10 on the midseason list. That is what makes this system fun. A lot of high ceiling guys in the teens and outside top 20. I could see 2 of these 5 turning into really good MLB players.
  15. jsteve96
    Tell me about the pitchers who threw 100 in 1982.
  16. jsteve96
    look at their outfield depth after 2015, It has been incredible
  17. jsteve96
    I agree Wade is a little high, but he has shown he can hit and get on base at every level. I don't like the Grossman COMP because Wade could play CF if needed. I like the list, the only thing I'd do differently would be swapping Javier and Wade. The system is just so strong it is tough to keep a guy like Javier up there, but he's my breakout candidate to jump into the top 4 next year.
  18. jsteve96
    If I were GM, I'm keeping Tyler Austin. We have POTENTIAL options with Rooker/Wiel, but if Wiel is truly a good option he will get picked in the rule V draft thursday. Tyler Austin has homered 1 out of 15 AB's and at 400 AB's that's a 30 HR pace. Only 8 players in MLB in 2018 had a better HR/AB pace. CJ Cron has not been much better in terms of OPS and owns a 26% K rate as well. He also has not been much better v RHP. The difference between RHP and LHP for Austin was .130 different in 2018, while Cron had an .160 OPS drop off vs RHP. Austin is a younger version of Cron for 4 million less, and has 2 more years of control. If the Twins are able to sign Cruz I would move on from the Cron experiment and put Austin at 1st and platoon him with Kepler. That way Kepler can play almost everyday and Jake Cave will get in the lineup a lot more vs RHP. It's a Win win. VS RHP 1B Kepler RF Cave Vs LHP 1B Austin RF Kepler
  19. jsteve96
    Definitely would buy it again. I would sign go for Marwin and Corbin for sure. Along with a reliever like Robertson. Wouldn't mind Lowrie or Iglesias, though. would not want to target through a trade unless a sneaky pick up like Odorizzi comes through the door. Also wouldn't mind Lemahieu and a reliever along with trading for Carlos Santana, but I would not give Lemahieu 12 million a year. maybe 10. I don't believe a SP is necessary because I'm a huge believer that Romero and or Mejia/Gonsalves will become good starters. Berrios/Gibson/Odorizzi/Romero/Mejia/Pineda should be a good group to start to the season. Those would be my blue prints for a great offseason.
  20. jsteve96
    I like this list. 6-9 are really all interchangeable but this is probably the order I would go as well. My changes would be to flip Baddoo and Celestino. I probably also would move acala up 2 spots, Jeffers up a couple, and Severino up about 6. I love the backend talent of this list. Colina, Arraez, Balazovic and the sleeper that is left off the whole list is Anthony Escobar. A 1.10 ERA with 53K's in 57 innings really intrigues me.
  21. jsteve96
    This is arguably Kohl's best year, IMO. K's up, BB's down.. FIP is low. I believe Kohl can become a FA after this year if not added to 40 man (correct me if i'm wrong), so might as well see if this years #'s can translate to MLB.
  22. jsteve96
    Ryan Jeffers might be working his way into the top 5-10 prospects for next year. After Rookers rookie MiLB campaign I didn't think we'd see another as good for awhile.. I think Jeffers is 1-upping him. I would love to see him in High A next weekend when I'm at the Miracle games. On a side note, really good to see Jaylin Davis having a silently strong season at AA.
  23. jsteve96
    The new guys couldn't be doing any better in their first few days... The hitters have hit .359/.468/.539 (1.007 OPS) in 49 PA's... And the one pitcher, who pitched, threw 7 no hit innings. Lets just hope a couple of the 11 new guys can pan out.
  24. jsteve96
    Trapezius strain. nothing serious, but likely done for year. Maybe will make a couple starts at the end of August.
  25. jsteve96
    1st game.
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