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SarasotaBill

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Everything posted by SarasotaBill

  1. SarasotaBill
    Did Suzuki not get traded because the Twins may want to renew his 2017 option?
  2. SarasotaBill
    Tanking = trading away your veteran players. Trading E.Santana, Nunez, and Suzuki will make the Twins worse this year. Playing D.Santana will make the Twins worse. Picking at 1 or 2 provides the extra money to get another top ten pick in the top of the 2nd round. Look at the Astros draft of Correa and McCullers. The MLB draft and int'l budgets are set up now to provide a significant advantage to the bottom teams.
  3. SarasotaBill
    The Way Too Early Top Five - 2017 Draft 1. Jeren Kendall, OF, Vanderbilt 2. Tanner Houck, RHP, Missouri 3. Alex Faedo, RHP, Florida 4. J.J. Schwarz, C, Florida 5. Hunter Greene, RHP, Notre Dame High (Sherman Oaks, Calif.) Twins need a top four pick.
  4. SarasotaBill
    The remainder of 2016 is all about 2018 and there after. Trade any asset (for good value) that will not be around in 2020. Nunez, E. Santana, and Suzuki need to be traded. Dozier needs to be traded if the return is very good. Unfortunately Mauer cannot be traded (no trade clause and Twins won't eat that much money).
  5. SarasotaBill
    Ryan should have known the Twins of 2015 were not going to win the World Series. The plan has been to shoot for 2017 and beyond. Trading away any 2017 asset for 2015 was stupid. You have to know the timing of your team - Buxton, Sano, Kepler, Berrios, ...... The Jepsen trade was done by a GM who either feels the pressure to get into the playoffs for his ego or truely doesn't understand about team construction timing. A few years ago Theo Epstein traded away his best pitcher who still had another year and a half on his contract to get a top prospect (who played last night at SS). He knew his team timing was for 2016 and beyond.
  6. SarasotaBill
    It doesn't matter if Chih-Wei Hu is a good MLB pitcher or not. A good GM has to know to build up his assets when his team will have the best chance to make a run for the World Series. See Theo Epstein and the Cubs for example. Last year the Twins were not close to the Royals. The only reason they were as close to the playoffs (close doesn't count) was that Duffey exceeded everyone's expectations down the stretch.
  7. SarasotaBill
    Every move should be based on improving 2018-2022 teams. Trade Nunez and Dozier since they have peak value. Trade Suzuki and Obad if you can get anything good. Trade Plouffe because Sano needs to be playing 3rd base. Trade E. Santana if you get decent value. Park should be in AAA getting at bats every day for the next month or two.
  8. SarasotaBill
    Since the Twins are out of contention, it's in their best interests to maximize the evaluation of every player vs. wins. In fact since the top two picks in the draft have a significant advantage, there's additional incentive to view wins as secondary. Keep Buxton & Kepler in AAA until late August (there's no rush - they have options left). Play Arcia, Grossman, Santana, and Park as much as possible. Bring up and play Polanco after the ASG. But the Twins are short sighted.
  9. SarasotaBill
    Take BPA with upside no matter what they're asking. At worst case: Next year is loaded with college arms. Twins could really take advantage of #1-1, 1-16, 2-1. 1-1 and 1-2 teams have a significant advantage - millions above 1-3 and 1-4. To be honest, if the Twins were more aggressive like the Astros and Cubs, then the best move would be not to sign their top pick this year.
  10. SarasotaBill
    I don't disagree not doing the 150 mil pitcher which means you need to draft the high potential pitchers to get an ace. Draft the best available player which at 15 this year looks like a prep arm. Don't get scared by Boras or any others.
  11. SarasotaBill
    Take the best available player (most likely a prep pitcher). If he doesn't sign then at least you get a pick the following year. However, you need top of the line pitchers and you need to swing for the fences as much as possible to get them. Or bundle your future money on one pitcher instead of spreading it over Hughes, Nolasco, and E. Sanatana (unlikely to happen with Ryan in charge). The Twins have plenty of #3 and #4 pitchers in their farm system.
  12. SarasotaBill
    Kepler's stature reminds me of Von Hayes.
  13. SarasotaBill
    Seth, You need an insider account. http://espn.go.com/blog/keith-law/insider/post?id=4748 11-19 are in the text below 1-10 list.
  14. SarasotaBill
    KLaw 11-19 list: Jake Reed (11) Lewis Thorpe (12) Yorman Landa (13) Dereck Rodriguez (14) Amaurys Minier (15) Johan Quezada (16) Trey Cabbage (17) Travis Blankenhorn (18) Mason Melotakis (19)
  15. SarasotaBill
    Duffey will be the #4 starter. Milone and Nolasco fighting for #5 and long relief.
  16. SarasotaBill
    You may want Kepler now but that makes him more expensive every year compared waiting a month or two. I would rather have one more year of Kepler in his prime than two months as the fourth OF as a rookie. I believe you're overlooking Santana as the CF or 4th OF. I see Rosario-Santana-Arcia-Sano-maybe 5th defensive OF breaking camp. I doubt think Ryan wants to trade Plouffe (most probably think he's bluffing about Sano in the OF) and Buxton needs a big Spring to stay.
  17. SarasotaBill
    Even if not picked, Jones must be viewed lowly in the eyes of the Twins. The good thing is that the Twins are protecting most of the high velocity arms. I think Dean is a starter in reserve insurance policy in AAA next year. Remember the Twins will need to remove players from the 40 next year when Berrios, Burdi, Reed, or other non-40s get promoted.
  18. SarasotaBill
    RP and utility are the two places where teams can hide players on the MLB roster. Michael can't play SS. After Rogers and Walker, protect the hard throwing RP. No brainer - Chargois, Jones, Williams (LHP) Should - Melotakis (LHP) Probably - Bard (if healthy)
  19. SarasotaBill
    Twins will protect 5-7 this year not counting Berrios. Protection Order: Rogers Walker Chargois Jones Williams Melotakis Bard
  20. SarasotaBill
    Short Term: Line-Up: Murphy/Suzuki & Santana vs Suzuki/Fryer & Hicks 40 Man: (gain one spot) Murphy vs Hicks & Fryer Avoiding Buxton & Kepler call up but I assume before July. Long Term (2017 to 2019): Line-Up: Murphy/Turner & Kepler vs Turner/Fryer & Hicks Every trade has risk but I believe the benefits are greater than the costs. Kepler has the better MiLB track record than Hicks and OF is a position of strength. Murphy was on the fast track (like Pluffe) hopefully he has more upside than what his stats indicate.
  21. SarasotaBill
    Buxton needs some time in AAA. Start Santana in CF. Sign a cheap defensive OF to spell Arcia or Sano (if not at 3B) in the late innings. Sign an expensive top reliever. Trade Plouffe only if return value has upside (no Hoey caliber talent).
  22. SarasotaBill
    Comparing (ranking) two prospects, I believe the best method is which player would you be willing to trade. Javier vs Turner Javier vs Navaretto It's not close. Obviously the Twins think very highly to use their whole int'l pool on him.
  23. SarasotaBill
    Javier is top ten or the Twins made a large mistake.
  24. SarasotaBill
    Navaretto, Turner, and Rogers are too high. Navaretto and Turner look to be back-up catchers. Rogers looks like a LOOGY.
  25. SarasotaBill
    Ryan will say that they have Jepsen for 2016 ($4 mil). 2015 does not matter (Hughes and Gibson) is not enough for the playoffs especially after a one game wild card game. Instead they should have demoted Pelfry to the bullpen and hoped he was a Wade Davis II. Earlier this week Ryan said he would do Ramos for Capps again. Is he just being stubborn or does he just over values RP?
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