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jharaldson

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Everything posted by jharaldson

  1. jharaldson
    Any chance as a preview of the 2015 handbook you could give us the answer he gave this year?
  2. jharaldson
    Regarding spelling, there are 40 guys on the roster plus at least another 20+ that we are following that are not on the 40 man. Add the front office and field staff (20-30) and a number of ex-Twins we are looking at an extremely large amount of names to always spell correctly. If all names in a post are wrong I might think badly but I personally forgive understandable misspellings. Especially with phones auto-correcting things. On a personal note, my last name is Haraldson. I have gone my whole life with everyone misspelling it because the normal person would put an "O" in Harold. I decided a long time ago that I could either go through life pissy and annoyed every time someone screwed it up or I could just roll with it and help the person out who is having the problem. I decided to do the later.
  3. jharaldson
    Did the Rangers, Astros, and Diamondbacks rush their manager hirings without vetting? It seems as if they were able to make informed choices in less time than the Twins. I agree with your statement in principle but what I don't agree with is how the internal candidate is always the right choice. When the coaching staff was purged 2 years ago it was all internal guys who came in. When Smith was let go it was an internal guy who came in. When Ryan retired in 2007 the replacement was an internal guy. When looking for a VP of Player Personnel the guy to get was internal candidate Mike Radcliff. I have a hard time trusting that they are seriously looking at external candidates based on this track record but I hope to be proven wrong.
  4. jharaldson
    If the "immediate" candidate was an external candidate then I would have been predisposed to be happy but would have reserved judgement based on the candidate. If the "immediate" candidate was an internal candidate then I would have been predisposed to think "more of the same" but would have respected the honesty and upfront nature of his disagreement with fans over the value of internal knowledge. This is demonstrably false. I have provided a "winning" scenario above. Here is another: If the "delayed" candidate was an external candidate then I would have been predisposed to be happy but would have reserved judgement based on the candidate. The one situation where he can't win in my eyes is the following: If the "delayed" candidate was an internal candidate then I would say "what the hell?!?". Why did you waste all of our time when you were just going to grab the internal candidate. This feels like a PR cover rather than an actual search.
  5. jharaldson
    I want the Twins to get the right guy as well but the speculation that they are delayed is not just coming from Rubes on this board: http://blog.startribune.com/sports/randball/thursday-an-extended-twins-managerial-search-edition-wha-happened I also don't think it is fair to say they have narrowed it down to 2-3 guys when Terry Ryan has just stated the following: My personal opinion is that this search is not looking like Ryan is taking his time and making a careful judgement but instead looks like Ryan just wants to pick a guy from the Twins org but is aware of what perception of that would be and is dragging out this process to provide some cover.
  6. jharaldson
    We are the last team without a manager this offseason and have lost at least 1 candidate to another team. The last team to hire a manager did so almost a week ago. I think at this point it is reasonable to describe our process as delayed.
  7. jharaldson
    I did not know that about Molitor. Quick google showed some drug use early in career, difficulty with relationship with daughter from first wife, young daughter from a second wife, and a illegitimate son that he has a limited relationship with. While these are not nice things I am not sure how much they would impact my opinion on him as a manager. http://articles.chicagotribune.com/2004-07-26/sports/0407260040_1_eckersley-and-molitor-paul-molitor-dennis-eckersley
  8. jharaldson
    Mr. St. Peter, I need to leave suddenly, can you pick up the check?
  9. jharaldson
    With a dramatic reduction in ticket sales likely, are you considering any short term programs (Ex. Knothole Games) to keep fan interest? Dick and Bert are fixtures in the TV booth but the Twins have mixed in a number of guest commentators over the past few years (Coomer, Kelly, ect...). Any new faces coming in 2015, potentially even Gardenhire? The Vikings have been getting some heat for a refusal to put glass in their new stadium that would help reduce the amount of bird deaths. Did you have a similar "niche" problem while building Target Field and how did you go about addressing the issue?
  10. jharaldson
    I did some more looking this year and with the likelyhood high that the Twins will continue to not win in any bids for Cubans the Prospect Payroll has dropped again: College Draft 2014 - $7.5 million http://www.baseballamerica.com/draft/2014-draft-signing-bonus-allotments-by-team/ International Draft 2012 - $3.7 million http://www.baseballamerica.com/international/2014-15-mlb-international-bonus-pools-and-slot-values/ All Prospects 2014 - $11.2 million I understand the Twins have limitations with what they can do to increase this amount but their are options: - Trade for draft picks. It is limited biut possible to do so. http://m.mlb.com/news/article/35452042/ - Sign professional cubans. See my info about Hinojosa from old post. - Bust the limits for international and get sanctioned like the Yankees did.
  11. jharaldson
    When selling the handbook this year would you be willing to make the audio of the Ryan interview available to people who purchase? The bit you spliced in with Ryan discussing, or more accurately, refusing to discuss the glut of RF/1B/DH players in the system was very interesting. His tone was dismissive and he frankly came across as a bit of a jerk. It would be intersting to hear the tone of the other answers.
  12. jharaldson
    Ha! I didn't notice I basically asked your question but did it in corporate speak ;-)
  13. jharaldson
    It is a touch sad that an actual player didn't get the media award. It kind of emphasizes the void still on this team from a media/fan presence since Cuddy and Hunter left.
  14. jharaldson
    There seems to be a disconnect between the front office and the fans regarding payroll. Why do you think this is? Are there things you feel you can do to correct this? What is the Twins position on speed of game? Is there any part of in stadium sales that would be negatively affected by a shorter game? You posed a question on Twitter last spring asking why everyone was so caught up in who the 25th player on the roster was going to be (Bartlett). Do you regret that Tweet and do you think in 2015 more care will be had with all roster spots? How do you feel the Twins as an organization are doing in regards to diversity? Do you feel that you have a diverse front office and on the field staff (Minors and Majors) or is this something you want to improve on?
  15. jharaldson
    The Twins had 696 chances in left field and the Royals had 683 chances which is roughly equal. Looking at how pitching did impact the OF the Twins were roughly equal to the Royals in number of flyballs but the Twins had 21 more line drives hit to left field. Maybe the Twins crappy pitching affected the Twins LF as much as the Twins crappy LF defense affected the pitching.
  16. jharaldson
    When I look at the chart Parker provided I noticed the Royals made 435 outs in LF and the Twins made 416 outs for a difference of 19 outs over the year. How is 1 additional out every 8.5 games that big of a deal? I also noted that the Twins and Royals were roughly equal on Flyballs but the Twins had 20 more line drives hit to the outfield which are harder to field.
  17. jharaldson
    In regards to content I would like to see all of the Blueprints use a similar format so it is easier to flip between them and compare. I would also be interested in some additonal blueprints. Last year it was Seth, Nick, and Parker. Maybe add in John, Brock, and possibly even a guest blueprint (Gleeman, PA, Mackey, ect...). I would also be interested in seeing the authors react to their previous years blueprints. Thanks!
  18. jharaldson
    I don't think anyone is claiming perfection has to be the goal. We traded away over 10 WAR for 2013-2014 in Revere and Span and it isn't unreasonable to say that at least one of the 3 players we got back has to pay out. Just because they follow the right process and trade older guys for younger guys doesn't mean they should not be held accountable if none of the young guys work out. Worley's value in the trade is now known so at least one of May or Meyer has to hit or it is reasonable to say that Ryan and the scouts have failed in these 2 very closely tied trades.
  19. jharaldson
    Aaron Gleeman posted something to this effect as well and added the following stat: When I dug into that second half performance I found that he ended the year on not that great of note. In his final 28 games of 2014 he has an .746 OPS, .075 ISO, and a 23.6% K%. This makes me think that the concussion is not the whole answer and Joe may just be slowing down.
  20. jharaldson
    In our interview last year you stated the following: Why was this true last year and not this year?
  21. jharaldson
    If you believe in WAR then the downgrade is 1.7 wins (3.7 WAR for Shields and 2.0 for Odorizzi). If you take the 3.1 WAR for Davis vs. the .2 WAR for Myers then you are at 4.6 wins the Royals would be out. In regards to Myers, if you break his career into quarters this is what you find: 2013 June/July - .900 OPS 2013 Aug/Sept - .781 OPS 2014 April/May - .666 OPS Injury 2014 Aug/Sept - .530 OPS Myers still has a lot of baseball ahead of him and can turn this around but you can't look at that trend and be anything but troubled. We won't know the grade on this trade for many years but it is certainly more positive now for the Royal than it was last year at this time.
  22. jharaldson
    Let's say the Royals took your advice last year and kept Myers and Odorizzi. They would have a prospect in Myers who is now in the process of failing. He had a negative value for his team this year. Odorizzi had a fine season and his K/9 numbers are nice but he graded out a 2.0 fWAR which translates to seviceable starter. That doesn't sound like "mission accomplished" either and the futility of the Royals would still be in effect.
  23. jharaldson
    Wil Myers had an OPS of .614 this year and a fWAR of -.1. Even if you only count the pre-injury numbers and assume his wrist injury and layoff caused an end of year slump he had an OPS of .666. The fact is that prospect often don't work out and that hoarding them isn't always the right tactic.
  24. jharaldson
    I would personally be interested in a Nolasco for Edwin Jackson trade. Cubs would get Nolasco who last was good in the NL and has better BB/9, ERA, FIP, and xFIP numbers than Jackson. Twins would get Jackson who has less money (2y/$26 vs 3y/$37) and has a better K/9 number. I would also say the one skill that Gardy and Anderson have shown is improving a pitchers walk rate and Jackson is a guy who could use a reduction to make him valuable again.
  25. jharaldson
    I still don't see why it is obvious. The numbers are close and May pitched in a better league. There is at least a discussion, right?
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