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prouster

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Everything posted by prouster

  1. I . . . don't understand the knocks against Bosio. I don't know enough about him to say whether the Twins should make a run at him, but the Cubs won the World Series last year in part because of an excellent pitching staff. No idea why the Cubs let him go, but I have a hard time accepting it's because he's a hack.
  2. Because the home stats are part of his body of work.
  3. I think it's possible, if only because his FIP rose pretty significantly, as well as the arbitration debacle last year. The Yankees have more than enough bullpen arms to offer him at a bit of a discount.
  4. On his chat today, Dave Cameron said that he thinks a Betances trade is the single most likely transaction of the offseason. The walks have been a big issue lately, but he could be a nice buy low candidate.
  5. Apparently Cleveland was prone to hiring baseball writers this while Falvey was there. On its face, the move is quite interesting.
  6. I agree. The prevalence of 12 (and now 13) man pitching staffs makes it tough to keep a full time DH. It'll probably be some rotation of Sano, Mauer, Escobar, maybe Grossman, assuming he's tendered, which I think he probably will be.
  7. Ideally, they'd lock up all of Berrios, Buxton, Sano, Kepler, and Rosario. Realistically, I think the majority are going to want to test the market. I think the most appealing balance between cost and upside is Buxton. He's had enough struggles so far to give the FO some leverage, though he has performed well enough to certainly justify at least talking about an extension. I don't know, maybe that second fact is enough for him to want to reach free agency as quickly as possible. In any case, I doubt they'll be able to lock up all of them, given the increasing rarity of pre-arb extensions. If it was my choice, I'd prioritize Buxton.
  8. Sounds like they may have some names already in mind.
  9. I can't understand why people continue to assess drafts this way. It's cherry picking at it's finest. Yes, if only MLB would allow the Twins to make their picks 3-4 years *after* the draft. They'd never miss.
  10. Berrios had a fine season (1s pick). Other than him, there aren't many first rounders in the system. Stewart had a decent year. Jay dealt with injuries.
  11. A slight addendum: just because Nishioka failed doesn't mean other Japanese players would. Nationality has nothing to do with it.
  12. Interesting analysis, although I think there's a lot of value in a relief pitcher's consistency. In how many outings did Belisle give up more than, say, two runs? What about Davis? What about the percentage of inherited runners who scored? I think there's more to the story than the frequency of hanging zeroes. I'd rather take the consistent guy with a slightly worse ERA (which Davis isn't; you're not saying that he is) than the boom or bust reliever who may be untrustworthy in tight spots. Or, I should say that I'd rather take the guy who is both lights out and consistent, like Davis. Not that I'd be against them bringing Belisle back next year, but there are better options out there.
  13. I agree about Pittsburgh and Houston. Seattle had interest in Santana at the deadline. I don't know enough about their system to have an opinion on the matter, though.
  14. Right. What I meant was, "more competent than what they had this year." So (relatively) competent would have been more accurate.
  15. Congrats to Molitor. Now let's see how he does with a (more) competent pitching staff.
  16. Agreed. Buehler would probably require some lower level arms with great upside (otherwise why trade a controllable arm on the cusp of what looks like a very fruitful promotion), plus a few more ready/near ready pieces. I don't know if the Twins even have the pieces. Maybe something like Graterol, Enlow, Baddoo, & Gordon? I don't know why the Dodgers would even make that or a similar trade. They don't need help on their MLB roster, they already have a very deep system, and there's no reason to give up control on a potential number 1-2 guy on the threshold of the 25-man roster. I guess my point is that Buehler probably isn't going anywhere, so the Twins should look someplace else.
  17. That's certainly a strategy they could take, but a lot of things would have to go right for it to work. Out of curiosity (not snark), how would you spend the approximately $20 million another poster mentioned? Bullpen? Bench bat? Both?
  18. See, this is more fun. My assumption is that a guy like Cobb, or maybe Lynn, will fetch somewhere between $15-18m AAV for 3-4 years. It's not my money, so I'm on board. The fact that it isn't my money makes me believe they should sign Darvish, Otani, and Arietta. More realistically, $15-18 sounds steep, but I think it's approximately what competent pitching will cost.
  19. My other replies to this were deleted. At any rate, this isn't at all what I said. My post begins with an opinion (that I like Cobb out of the available starting pitchers), then it moves into supposition hedged by a qualifier (that he'll likely be affordable). If he's not affordable, they probably shouldn't sign him. Edited for friendliness.
  20. Santiago's $8m is off the books. So is Belisle's (I think) $2.5m. There are some other free agents closer to the league minimum. Of course, there will also be some arbitration raises. I don't know what the totals are, but my un-mathematical assumption is that there will probably be some money freed up. Enough to sign a decent FA starter? I don't know. I sure hope so.
  21. I would be hesitant to move him, but I can see the reasoning. I guess it comes down to what the FO thinks he'll turn into. If they think he has a good chance to hit his upside, I assume they'll keep him. If not, I assume they'll at least listen when other GMs call.
  22. As far as FA starters go, I like Cobb. He's put up good performances and is likely affordable. Darvish would be great. He'd also be really, really surprising. Otani is also likely to come over from Japan. Again, he would be great, but the actual chances of getting him to sign here might actually be 0%. So Cobb. Maybe Lance Lynn. In my opinion, any free agent starter they sign is likely to be a mid rotation arm at best. That's not a bad thing, but it means they also need to work on building a better pen.
  23. Well, they already have Escobar, Adrianza, and Polanco. If tonight they come up one guy short who has MLB experience and hits right handed and can play third base, then we'll know who they should have called up thirty-three days ago.
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