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jimmer

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Everything posted by jimmer

  1. jimmer
    It DOES seem that since he's moved to the AL, the amount of hard hits he's allowed has gone up which contributed to his BABIP against (much higher in AL than NL). Just like some batters (Trout for example), can maintain higher than normal BABIP, some pitchers maintain higher BABIPs against. Nolasco is an FIP outlier.
  2. jimmer
    It's my understanding that's actually being seriously talked about.
  3. jimmer
    Mr. Goin, Are you a fan of UZR/150 over DRS? I prefer DRS cause it tells us a players total defensive value and it's based on a rolling one year scale as opposed to 'several years' like UZR. So, with DRS, each year is measured on it's own merits. Anyway, Hunter wasn't a guy in his prime. I think as players get to Hunter's age, where you expect serious decline, one can just look at the last couple seasons to know what you have. This seems to apply to offense as well as defense though defensively the drop seems much more predictable. In 2013, 23 RF had 600 or more innings in RF, he ranked 17th in UZR 150 and 22nd in DRS. (but worth 2.7 WAR due to his 118 WRC+). In 2014, 26 RF had 600 or more innings in RF, he ranked last (by far) in UZR 150 and last (by far) in DRS. (and worth 0.0 WAR overall). The offense and defense had dropped off quite a bit. Hunter bounced back somewhat in 2015. 25 RF had 600 or more innings in RF, and he was 10th in UZR/150, but tied for 19th in DRS. He was worth 0.5 WAR with us. So yeah, Hunter signing was more than just stats. I'd be interested in knowing if you endorsed his signing from a stats standpoint or whether the move was made for more PR standpoint.
  4. jimmer
    I wasn't saying you did it at all. Just a similar example. Sorry if it read differently.
  5. jimmer
    Is it as silly as someone railing against using WAR as a stat for pitchers and then using WAR as a stat for a pitcher a post or two later? :-)
  6. jimmer
    Cubs can't put a QO tag on Chapman.
  7. jimmer
    This trade, along with the Montgomery one, doesn't really hurt them. And, who knows, maybe they keep Chapman.
  8. jimmer
    For my part, I want him at DH. Always have. The most he should be in the field is 1B when we play in NL parks or occasionally spelling Mauer whenever the team decides Mauer needs a day off (like against Chris Sale). When a player hits as well as he does, but plays defense so terribly like he does, DH is the spot.
  9. jimmer
    I'd trade Rosario or Grossman before I traded Palka. Rosario is best served as a 4th OF, not a starter. Been saying for a long time,
  10. jimmer
    Buxton see Sano's 33% K rate in the majors this year and raises him 6% :-)
  11. jimmer
    Q: How much of a step back does the Cubs system take after the Montgomery and Chapman trades? Eric A Longenhagen: A moderate but not devastating one. Vogelbach had no place on the big club and it's likely Torres would not have either. This is exactly what a farm system is for when you're a contending team...
  12. jimmer
    Brandon: Obligatory question of the day. What are the Cubs doing? A lot to give up for a rental closer…. Eric A Longenhagen: I’m not quite as high on Torres as some, but yes if you’re doing value-based analysis he is a lot. Eric A Longenhagen: There’s also something to be said for adding the most explosive closer of all time, the best in the game right now, in effort to end a historic drought of winlessness. 
  13. jimmer
    I did, and yet some still want to defend the reasoning. Whatever.
  14. jimmer
    It was always going to be a dull deadline. Like it is pretty much every single year. Our big move was Ryan being removed/quitting.
  15. jimmer
    yeah, I' m sure they'll be great ;-)
  16. jimmer
    It's harder to get errors in the outfield than it is the infield. One only needs to look at error totals every year for each position to see that. He was just as bad in the OF, if not worse, than he has been at 3B.
  17. jimmer
    In regard to the Twins, could say that for quite a few positions. Starting pitching comes to mind.
  18. jimmer
    Hunter was worth a whopping 0.5 WAR last year. 10.5M for 0.5 WAR. I'm not sure that should be labeled as having worked. When Ryan talked about signing Hunter the one thing he and Hunter mentioned was defensive metrics and how the metrics said Hunter was bad on defense. Both of them tossed that notion out as rubbish. Our losses this year has zero to do with losing Hunter. We've already gotten more from Kepler. The biggest difference this year is not us losing a 1/2 WAR guy. It's that we didn't haven't one fantastic month like last year that hides how bad this team is combined with the sequencing being not so advantageous as it was last year. Oh, and did you seriously bring up inheriting Blackburn's contract as if that was some sort of albatross? Lot of excuses for Ryan in yourt post. Any mistakes by Ryan you want to acknowledge that he wasn't supposedly forced to do out of desperation or someone else's incompetence?
  19. jimmer
    Super 2 for 2017? :-)
  20. jimmer
    I don't think he stays where he is for long.
  21. jimmer
    He was just drafted out of college.
  22. jimmer
    I'm not sure I understand that line of thinking, but okay.
  23. jimmer
    VERY vaguely similar. So vaguely similar one has to squint really hard and tilt one's head. :-)
  24. jimmer
    Fangraphs and BR use different things for their pitcher WAR. For example, Fangraphs heavily favors FIP. http://www.fangraphs.com/library/war/differences-fwar-rwar/
  25. jimmer
    You talking about Miller or Gibson? :-)
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