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Eris

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Everything posted by Eris

  1. Maybe this is covered elsewhere and I have not found it. There are a number of very talented Cuban baseball players that have or will be making it to the MLB. The latest being Yoan Moncada. An article on how some of these players would fit into the Twins organization would be nice. The Twins do not seem to be linked to any of these free agents. Is there a reason for this?
  2. Six of the teams that made the playoffs last year (Royals, A's, Orioles, Pirates, Dodgers and Cardinals) were ranked in the top 10 on FanGraphs Defensive Runs Saved (DRS). Kansas City had 3 outfielders (Gordon, Cain and Dyson) individually ranked in the top 10 is DRS. From Teams stats on DRS, Royals (40), Tigers (-65) and the Twins (-73). A different way of looking at this is that all of Miguel Cabrera's offense (109 RBI) was essentially neutralized by the Royals defense. I don't see any team in the division matching K.C.'s defense and they should be one of the contenders just because of that. I enjoyed watching KC last year and wish the Twins, especially in the outfield, were modeled after the Royals outfield. They also remind me alot like the 80's Cardinals outfield of Coleman and McGee.
  3. Interesting, but I am not sure how much age really matters because there are many other factors that influence MLB success. For age to be usefully incorporated into minor league stats, it would need to be correlated with MLB results. Sorry the results are not the most readable. Here are some examples given by Player: Age in AA/BA/OPS Aaron Hicks: 22 / 286 / 844 Ben Revere 22 / 305 / 734 Danny Santana: 22 / 297 / 719 Torri Hunter: 22 / 282 / 768 (note this was his 3rd year in AA) Carlos Gomez: 21 / 281 / 773 Denard Span: 22 / 285 / 689 Lyman Bostock: 22 / 331 / 851 Andrew McCutchen: 20 / 258 / 710 Adam Jones: 19 / 298 / 825 Jacoby Ellsbury: 22 / 308 / 821 Mike Trout: 19 / 326 / 958 The person who is a star based on minor league stats is clear. The only person where age may have a factor in under performance is Andrew McCutchen. Several players have elevated themselves above their AA comparisons (Span and Hunter). Based on these comps. Hicks should be almost a star, certainly with a career prospecting somewhere between Torri Hunter and Adam Jones (but that probably will not happen unless he gets his act together soon). In case you are wondering how I got these names, these are the list of Twins centerfielders that I can remember, with the exception of Dan Ford. Kirby Puckett and Jim Eisenreich did not play AA, although Eisenreich played AA later in his career while trying to make a comeback from Tourettes syndrome. The others are some of the best CF in the game today.
  4. One item that is missing in this evaluation is the importance of the second baseman in converting DP. If this is the case, an above average 2B should elevate a SS DP metrics and conversely. Can you test for this?
  5. I assume you are referring to the Astros (but you could also be in reference to the Twins). One benefit of stocking up on decent bullpen arms is that they can be traded for prospects at the trade deadline as there will always be contenders in need of strengthening their bullpen. There were several trades involving relief pitchers at the July 2014 trade deadline, including Miller (Bos) to Bal for Rodriquez.
  6. I am a transplanted rural Minnesotan living on the east coast, with no cable and no intention of getting cable I listen to the games on the radio just like I used to listen to Herb Carneal. Another MLB negative is that playoff games are now late in the evening, often ending near or after midnight on the East coast. This issue is almost as significant as all the games being on cable, because most young children/early teens would not stay up late to watch the games. This is quite different from my youth when many playoff games were in the late afternoon/early evening.
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